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Saga vs Diamond Dolphins Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 77-81
18-17 18-18 24-25 17-21
Position#15
Record29-29
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#4
Record39-19
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game79.6
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Saga v Diamond Dolphins
30 Jan 2027
SAGA v DIAM
upcoming
26 Jan 2027
SAGA v DIAM
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
SAGA71
DIAM66
06 May 2024
SAGA68
DIAM80
05 May 2024
SAGA77
DIAM81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diamond Dolphins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
58avg 67
A06/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
79-88
79
88
-9
66avg 67
A07/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
86-74 OT
86
74
+12
76avg 67
H10/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
61-63
61
63
-2
55avg 67
H13/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
73-80
73
80
-7
67avg 67
H14/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
83avg 67
A17/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
87-88
87
88
-1
79avg 67
A20/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
73-52
73
52
+21
66avg 67
A21/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
65-73
65
73
-8
56avg 67
A27/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 67
A28/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
19-28
19-23
12-21
25-26
16-20
22-24
16-18
16-20
27-18
19-11
10-23
21-20
9-14
12-19
19-10
16-31
21-15
17-18
19-16
13-17
27-24
16-18
22-19
27-33
22-15
17-9
21-31
18-13
18-22
23-13
14-4
9-26
22-17
20-12
14-18
29-22
10-18
21-19
29-20
157.1Avg total
78.5Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)75.574.9150.4+0.650%
Season at home (28)73.575.3148.8-1.846%
Season away (30)77.374.5151.8+2.853%
Last 10 (10)78.578.6157.1-0.130%
Last 5 (5)82.278.6160.8+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)70.484.0154.4-13.60%
vs Similar (14)73.179.4152.4-6.329%
vs Weaker (11)79.965.6145.5+14.391%
This opponent (Diamond Dolphins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond DolphinsJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDolphins
Date
Competition
Saga
#15
W
88-75
88
75
+13
91avg 81
H06/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
88-79
88
79
+9
86avg 81
H07/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
94avg 81
A10/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
98-87
98
87
+11
90avg 81
H13/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
67-84
67
84
-17
62avg 81
H14/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
76-92
76
92
-16
69avg 81
A17/04
B League
Shimane
#12
W
100-85
100
85
+15
103avg 81
H19/04
B League
Shimane
#12
W
93-63
93
63
+30
98avg 81
H20/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 81
H27/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 81
H28/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
28-19
23-19
21-12
26-25
20-16
24-22
18-16
20-21
20-15
21-20
22-27
25-27
27-17
20-18
26-25
11-21
15-15
19-20
22-28
13-24
17-23
22-28
24-17
21-24
26-19
30-17
23-25
23-11
26-14
20-21
24-17
14-13
29-22
16-14
24-28
21-18
21-17
13-19
31-25
169.3Avg total
87.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)84.179.6163.7+4.667%
Season at home (30)85.379.0164.3+6.377%
Season away (28)82.980.2163.1+2.757%
Last 10 (10)87.781.6169.3+6.180%
Last 5 (5)87.679.2166.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)85.982.0167.9+3.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.779.1167.8+9.688%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
SagaDiamond Dolphins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A06/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A07/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H13/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H14/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A20/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A21/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A27/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A28/04
B League
80.5Avg total
39.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.577.5+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.039.377.3-1.346%-
Last 30 away (17)39.837.977.7+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.580.5-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.480.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.044.081.0-7.020%-
vs Similar (14)37.740.478.1-2.729%-
vs Weaker (11)41.633.575.2+8.191%-
This opponent (Diamond Dolphins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond DolphinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H06/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H13/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H14/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A17/04
B League
Shimane
#12
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H19/04
B League
Shimane
#12
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H20/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H28/04
B League
80.5Avg total
41.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.539.783.2+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.638.483.0+6.382%-
Last 30 away (13)41.941.583.4+0.546%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.680.5+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.079.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)42.236.979.1+5.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.642.286.8+2.462%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.917.7
46.7%
50.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.4
36.0%
33.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.210.5
57.7%
72.0%10.5
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Diamond Dolphinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Diamond Dolphins: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.3
51.5%
50.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.7
37.4%
33.5%35.1
🏀 Free throws16.211.6
71.6%
72.0%11.6
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WLWLLLLWLL
Diamond Dolphins
WWWWLLWWWW
#15
League position
#4
-1.2
Net rating
+9.6
100.8
Offensive rating
115.3
102.0
Defensive rating
105.7
49.9%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
14.8%
Turnover %
18.0%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
39.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.0%
3-point %
37.4%
66.2%
Assist %
69.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 115.3Defence102.0 · 105.7Shooting49.9% · 53.5%3-point %36.0% · 37.4%Ball care14.8% · 18.0%Off. rebounds23.7% · 39.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Saga   ■ Diamond Dolphins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
2
Diamond Dolphins wins
DateGameScore
07/04/24Diamond Dolphins v Saga88-79
06/04/24Diamond Dolphins v Saga88-75
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24ASeaHorses Mikawa89-79
27/04/24ASeaHorses Mikawa65-73
21/04/24AKyoto73-52
20/04/24AKyoto87-88
17/04/24ARyukyu97-101 OT
14/04/24HNagasaki73-80
13/04/24HNagasaki61-63
10/04/24HOsaka86-74 OT
07/04/24ADiamond Dolphins79-88
06/04/24ADiamond Dolphins75-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24HRyukyu86-79
27/04/24HRyukyu83-77
20/04/24HShimane93-63
19/04/24HShimane100-85
17/04/24AOsaka76-92
14/04/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles67-84
13/04/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles98-87
10/04/24ARyukyu98-95 OT
07/04/24HSaga88-79
06/04/24HSaga88-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWWLL46%
AwayLLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582830
Win %50%46%53%
Points / game75.573.577.3
Allowed / game74.975.374.5
Point differential+0.6-1.8+2.8
Avg total150.4148.8151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%21%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %7%11%3%
Diamond Dolphins
B League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayLLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games583028
Win %67%77%57%
Points / game84.185.382.9
Allowed / game79.679.080.2
Point differential+4.6+6.3+2.7
Avg total163.7164.3163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%33%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)83% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex5950985%81.569.3+12.2
2 Alvark60481280%81.270.0+11.3
3 NeoPhoenix59461378%89.879.2+10.7
4 Ryukyu60411968%82.677.8+4.8
5 Diamond Dolphins58391967%84.179.6+4.6
6 Hiroshima D.60362460%79.273.4+5.8
7 SeaHorses Mikawa59352459%80.475.8+4.6
8 Chiba59352459%84.281.5+2.7
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya59342558%75.274.3+0.9
10 Brave Thunders59332656%80.478.2+2.2
11 Nagoya Fighting Eagles60332755%75.974.9+0.9
12 Shimane59322754%81.978.8+3.1
13 Gunma59312853%80.081.6-1.6
14 Saga58292950%75.574.9+0.6
15 Akita59293049%73.875.0-1.2
16 Sendai59263344%79.080.8-1.8
17 Nagasaki58253343%80.783.5-2.8
18 Osaka59243541%79.283.1-3.9
19 Yokohama59233639%77.082.5-5.5
20 Kyoto58174129%77.184.2-7.1
21 Hokkaido60174328%75.381.9-6.6
22 Ibaraki Robots59124720%76.586.5-10.0
23 Shinshu59104917%72.482.6-10.2
24 Toyama604567%72.085.8-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1818241777
Diamond Dolphins1718252181
← all games of the day
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