PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Saga vs Osaka Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 86-74 (OT)
16-20 27-18 19-11 10-23 14-2
Position#15
Record26-24
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game74.7
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#18
Record20-30
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game82.6
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Saga v Osaka
03 Jan 2027
SAGA v OSAK
upcoming
02 Jan 2027
SAGA v OSAK
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
SAGA81
OSAK83
08 Nov 2025
SAGA87
OSAK82
27 Apr 2025
SAGA106
OSAK82
26 Apr 2025
SAGA90
OSAK79
09 Apr 2025
SAGA81
OSAK85
10 Apr 2024
SAGA86
OSAK74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#20
W
87-72
87
72
+15
81avg 67
A03/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
55avg 67
H06/03
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
74avg 67
A20/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
65-74
65
74
-9
54avg 67
A23/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
86avg 67
A24/03
B League
Shimane
#12
W
66-64
66
64
+2
60avg 67
A27/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
64-56
64
56
+8
58avg 67
H30/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
81-66
81
66
+15
84avg 67
H31/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
58avg 67
A06/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
79-88
79
88
-9
66avg 67
A07/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
19-25
27-21
22-10
17-19
16-29
16-17
17-20
23-19
24-32
24-9
9-11
14-21
20-11
17-21
14-21
23-23
22-15
19-21
23-19
16-15
17-12
15-25
18-12
2-21
24-4
21-17
17-14
23-16
22-15
23-17
13-18
25-16
19-28
19-23
12-21
25-26
16-20
22-24
16-18
149.2Avg total
75.0Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)74.974.7149.6+0.352%
Season at home (25)73.575.6149.2-2.148%
Season away (25)76.473.7150.0+2.756%
Last 10 (10)75.074.2149.2+0.860%
Last 5 (5)73.072.4145.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.887.0156.8-17.20%
vs Similar (12)71.876.2148.0-4.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.262.5144.7+19.7100%
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
88-75
88
75
+13
86avg 72
A02/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
70-77
70
77
-7
55avg 72
H06/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
79-88
79
88
-9
75avg 72
A20/03
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
89-86
89
86
+3
80avg 72
A23/03
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 72
A24/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
81-67
81
67
+14
76avg 72
H27/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
96-74
96
74
+22
96avg 72
H30/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
98-90
98
90
+8
99avg 72
H31/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
79-96
79
96
-17
71avg 72
A06/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
81-101
81
101
-20
73avg 72
A07/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
26-19
20-21
20-18
16-19
26-22
14-16
14-20
16-26
22-18
21-22
20-22
19-17
23-27
22-22
25-20
26-17
23-22
8-14
21-17
26-13
16-20
18-15
21-19
23-22
27-17
26-23
20-12
25-25
21-22
25-23
27-20
18-25
18-23
23-23
20-25
19-22
24-35
18-19
20-25
166.3Avg total
83.9Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)78.682.6161.3-4.040%
Season at home (25)81.481.0162.4+0.456%
Season away (25)75.884.3160.1-8.424%
Last 10 (10)83.982.4166.3+1.560%
Last 5 (5)87.085.6172.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.786.6161.3-11.911%
vs Similar (10)87.182.8169.9+4.370%
vs Weaker (2)83.578.0161.5+5.5100%
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
SagaOsaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#20
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A03/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H06/03
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A20/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A23/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/03
B League
Shimane
#12
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A27/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H30/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H31/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A06/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A07/04
B League
76.9Avg total
38.6Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.278.0+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.138.777.9+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)40.637.678.2+3.053%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.376.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.672.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.145.482.5-8.212%-
vs Similar (12)39.038.877.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.131.774.8+11.490%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A02/03
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H06/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A20/03
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A23/03
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A24/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H27/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H30/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H31/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A06/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A07/04
B League
86.4Avg total
43.6Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.984.3-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.742.684.3-0.946%-
Last 30 away (17)39.344.984.2-5.629%-
Last 10 (10)43.642.886.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.888.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.245.383.5-7.128%-
vs Similar (10)43.142.085.1+1.150%-
vs Weaker (2)45.541.587.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.117.3
49.3%
50.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.7
31.4%
33.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.812.9
59.2%
72.0%12.9
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.223.6
55.9%
50.9%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.7
32.4%
33.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.912.6
70.4%
72.0%12.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLWWWWLWLW
Osaka
LLWWWWWLLW
#15
League position
#18
-0.5
Net rating
+1.5
99.9
Offensive rating
110.6
100.4
Defensive rating
109.2
48.3%
Effective FG%
53.3%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.4%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.4%
3-point %
32.4%
67.3%
Assist %
66.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 110.6Defence100.4 · 109.2Shooting48.3% · 53.3%3-point %31.4% · 32.4%Ball care14.2% · 16.4%Off. rebounds23.0% · 29.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Saga   ■ Osaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Saga wins
0
Osaka wins
DateGameScore
17/01/24Osaka v Saga69-91
03/12/23Osaka v Saga45-79
02/12/23Osaka v Saga79-84
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24ADiamond Dolphins79-88
06/04/24ADiamond Dolphins75-88
31/03/24HKyoto81-66
30/03/24HKyoto64-56
27/03/24AShimane66-64
24/03/24ABrave Thunders87-78
23/03/24ABrave Thunders65-74
20/03/24ANagasaki80-71
06/03/24HHiroshima D.66-85
03/03/24AHokkaido87-72
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24ANeoPhoenix81-101
06/04/24ANeoPhoenix79-96
31/03/24HHokkaido98-90
30/03/24HHokkaido96-74
27/03/24HHiroshima D.81-67
24/03/24AShinshu78-70
23/03/24AShinshu89-86
20/03/24ARyukyu79-88
06/03/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles70-77
02/03/24ASeaHorses Mikawa88-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL52%
HomeLLLWW48%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502525
Win %52%48%56%
Points / game74.973.576.4
Allowed / game74.775.673.7
Point differential+0.3-2.1+2.7
Avg total149.6149.2150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%20%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Osaka
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeWLWWW56%
AwayLWWLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502525
Win %40%56%24%
Points / game78.681.475.8
Allowed / game82.681.084.3
Point differential-4.0+0.4-8.4
Avg total161.3162.4160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%28%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)57% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex5043786%81.569.2+12.3
2 Alvark50401080%81.569.8+11.7
3 NeoPhoenix50401080%90.179.3+10.7
4 Ryukyu50371374%82.477.1+5.4
5 Diamond Dolphins50331766%83.679.1+4.5
6 Chiba50311962%84.881.7+3.1
7 SeaHorses Mikawa50302060%80.676.2+4.4
8 Hiroshima D.50292158%79.774.4+5.4
9 Shimane50292158%83.878.7+5.1
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya50282256%75.574.3+1.3
11 Gunma50282256%80.180.7-0.6
12 Brave Thunders50262452%80.178.5+1.6
13 Saga50262452%74.974.7+0.3
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles50262452%74.674.8-0.2
15 Akita50242648%73.474.7-1.3
16 Sendai50222844%78.980.8-2.0
17 Yokohama50222844%77.881.9-4.1
18 Nagasaki50203040%80.984.3-3.4
19 Osaka50203040%78.682.6-4.0
20 Hokkaido50143628%75.582.6-7.1
21 Kyoto50133726%76.384.2-7.9
22 Ibaraki Robots5094118%76.486.6-10.1
23 Shinshu5064412%71.683.6-12.0
24 Toyama504468%73.686.6-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Saga162719101486
Osaka20181123274
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.