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Kyoto vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 52-73
13-18 22-18 13-23 4-14
Position#21
Record16-39
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#15
Record27-28
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game75.3
JapanB League· Kyoto City Gymnasium (Kyoto)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kyoto v Saga
18 Oct 2026
KYOT115
SAGA70
16 Apr 2025
KYOT85
SAGA74
06 Oct 2024
KYOT71
SAGA77
05 Oct 2024
KYOT70
SAGA48
21 Apr 2024
KYOT52
SAGA73
20 Apr 2024
KYOT88
SAGA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kyoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
83-90
83
90
-7
84avg 71
H27/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
56-64
56
64
-8
50avg 71
A30/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
66-81
66
81
-15
59avg 71
A31/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
83-91
83
91
-8
78avg 71
A06/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
78avg 71
A07/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
82-78
82
78
+4
79avg 71
H10/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
101avg 71
A13/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
93-83
93
83
+10
87avg 71
A14/04
B League
Shimane
#12
L
80-92
80
92
-12
75avg 71
H17/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
88-87
88
87
+1
87avg 71
H20/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
29-22
9-29
21-15
21-2
4-24
17-21
14-17
16-23
15-22
17-23
18-13
28-21
22-18
14-25
19-27
24-19
20-22
23-20
14-27
13-22
23-20
19-22
27-14
20-14
23-27
27-27
17-19
23-26
23-21
19-23
28-13
18-26
17-26
23-21
22-19
33-27
15-22
9-17
31-21
166.7Avg total
81.2Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)77.484.5161.9-7.129%
Season at home (27)76.585.2161.7-8.730%
Season away (28)78.383.9162.2-5.629%
Last 10 (10)81.285.5166.7-4.330%
Last 5 (5)88.688.2176.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)76.084.8160.8-8.827%
vs Similar (4)94.895.0189.8-0.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
W
66-64
66
64
+2
60avg 67
A27/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
64-56
64
56
+8
58avg 67
H30/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
81-66
81
66
+15
84avg 67
H31/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
58avg 67
A06/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
79-88
79
88
-9
66avg 67
A07/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
86-74 OT
86
74
+12
76avg 67
H10/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
61-63
61
63
-2
55avg 67
H13/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
73-80
73
80
-7
67avg 67
H14/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
83avg 67
A17/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
87-88
87
88
-1
79avg 67
A20/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
17-12
15-25
18-12
2-21
24-4
21-17
17-14
23-16
22-15
23-17
13-18
25-16
19-28
19-23
12-21
25-26
16-20
22-24
16-18
16-20
27-18
19-11
10-23
21-20
9-14
12-19
19-10
16-31
21-15
17-18
19-16
13-17
27-24
16-18
22-19
27-33
22-15
17-9
21-31
153.7Avg total
76.9Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)75.575.3150.7+0.249%
Season at home (28)73.575.3148.8-1.846%
Season away (27)77.575.2152.7+2.352%
Last 10 (10)76.976.8153.7+0.140%
Last 5 (5)80.881.2162.0-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.885.7154.5-16.80%
vs Similar (14)72.377.3149.6-5.036%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.667.0147.6+13.690%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.5-1.5
KyotoSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H27/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A30/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A31/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A06/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A07/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H10/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A13/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A14/04
B League
Shimane
#12
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H17/04
B League
Saga
#15
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H20/04
B League
83.9Avg total
41.1Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.843.282.0-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.545.484.9-5.823%-
Last 30 away (17)38.341.579.8-3.235%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.883.9-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.646.287.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.943.281.0-5.327%-
vs Similar (4)45.043.588.5+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A27/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H30/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H31/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A06/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A07/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H13/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H14/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A20/04
B League
76.8Avg total
38.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.277.5+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.939.777.6-1.943%-
Last 30 away (16)40.636.977.5+3.656%-
Last 10 (10)38.838.076.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.481.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.844.281.0-7.317%-
vs Similar (14)38.339.177.4-0.936%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.233.475.6+8.890%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.1
53.5%
50.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.9
38.5%
33.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.513.3
71.9%
72.0%13.3
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.217.2
46.2%
50.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.1
34.9%
33.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.311.2
61.2%
72.0%11.2
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kyoto
WLWLWLLLLL
Saga
LLLLWLLWWW
#21
League position
#15
-6.5
Net rating
-0.1
110.6
Offensive rating
99.0
117.1
Defensive rating
99.1
55.1%
Effective FG%
48.9%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
18.2%
Turnover %
14.9%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.5%
3-point %
34.9%
68.3%
Assist %
66.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 99.0Defence117.1 · 99.1Shooting55.1% · 48.9%3-point %38.5% · 34.9%Ball care18.2% · 14.9%Off. rebounds29.0% · 22.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Kyoto   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kyoto wins
2
Saga wins
DateGameScore
20/04/24Kyoto v Saga88-87
31/03/24Saga v Kyoto81-66
30/03/24Saga v Kyoto64-56
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HSaga88-87
17/04/24HShimane80-92
14/04/24AOsaka93-83
13/04/24AOsaka100-101 OT
10/04/24HNagasaki82-78
07/04/24ASun Rockers Shibuya81-88
06/04/24ASun Rockers Shibuya83-91
31/03/24ASaga66-81
30/03/24ASaga56-64
27/03/24HDiamond Dolphins83-90
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24AKyoto87-88
17/04/24ARyukyu97-101 OT
14/04/24HNagasaki73-80
13/04/24HNagasaki61-63
10/04/24HOsaka86-74 OT
07/04/24ADiamond Dolphins79-88
06/04/24ADiamond Dolphins75-88
31/03/24HKyoto81-66
30/03/24HKyoto64-56
27/03/24AShimane66-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kyoto
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW29%
HomeLLWLW30%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552728
Win %29%30%29%
Points / game77.476.578.3
Allowed / game84.585.283.9
Point differential-7.1-8.7-5.6
Avg total161.9161.7162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%7%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)83% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %9%4%14%
Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL49%
HomeWWWLL46%
AwayWLLLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552827
Win %49%46%52%
Points / game75.573.577.5
Allowed / game75.375.375.2
Point differential+0.2-1.8+2.3
Avg total150.7148.8152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%21%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %7%11%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex5547885%81.569.7+11.8
2 Alvark55441180%81.469.8+11.6
3 NeoPhoenix55441180%90.479.4+10.9
4 Ryukyu55401573%83.177.4+5.6
5 Diamond Dolphins56371966%84.179.6+4.5
6 Chiba55342162%84.781.3+3.4
7 Hiroshima D.55322358%79.773.9+5.8
8 SeaHorses Mikawa55322358%80.075.7+4.3
9 Shimane56322457%82.979.0+3.9
10 Brave Thunders55312456%80.477.8+2.6
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya55312456%75.174.5+0.6
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles55292653%75.675.2+0.3
13 Gunma55292653%80.081.1-1.2
14 Saga55272849%75.575.3+0.2
15 Akita55262947%73.675.4-1.8
16 Sendai55243144%78.680.5-2.0
17 Nagasaki55233242%80.483.8-3.4
18 Osaka55223340%79.283.2-4.0
19 Yokohama55223340%77.382.6-5.3
20 Hokkaido55173831%75.982.3-6.5
21 Kyoto55163929%77.484.5-7.1
22 Ibaraki Robots55104518%76.486.3-9.9
23 Shinshu5694716%72.282.9-10.8
24 Toyama564527%72.285.7-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kyoto132213452
Saga1818231473
← all games of the day
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