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Ryukyu vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 10:35
Final 101-97 (OT)
17-13 24-27 18-16 19-22 23-19
Position#5
Record38-15
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game77.2
Ryukyu 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#15
Record27-26
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game74.5
JapanB League· Okinawa Arena (Okinawa)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ryukyu v Saga
25 Apr 2027
RYUK v SAGA
upcoming
23 Apr 2027
RYUK v SAGA
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
RYUK96
SAGA91
25 Apr 2026
RYUK92
SAGA78
04 May 2025
RYUK85
SAGA76
03 May 2025
RYUK87
SAGA71
17 Apr 2024
RYUK101
SAGA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ryukyu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
L
78-81
78
81
-3
66avg 75
H23/03
B League
Akita
#14
W
81-59
81
59
+22
70avg 75
H24/03
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 75
A27/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
98-96
98
96
+2
86avg 75
H30/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
81-77
81
77
+4
66avg 75
H31/03
B League
Chiba
#9
W
85-76
85
76
+9
81avg 75
H06/04
B League
Chiba
#9
W
83-79
83
79
+4
76avg 75
H07/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
87avg 75
H10/04
B League
Shimane
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
74avg 75
A13/04
B League
Shimane
#12
L
73-77
73
77
-4
63avg 75
A14/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
17-19
22-24
14-23
24-24
18-9
17-12
22-14
22-16
11-13
20-18
23-21
24-28
21-22
27-18
26-28
19-26
19-18
23-19
20-14
23-21
22-15
16-13
24-27
22-15
18-18
17-26
26-20
21-20
15-20
20-21
27-22
15-16
21-13
21-19
23-18
22-18
20-12
12-20
19-27
160.7Avg total
83.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)82.477.2159.7+5.272%
Season at home (27)83.177.8160.9+5.374%
Season away (26)81.876.7158.4+5.169%
Last 10 (10)83.077.7160.7+5.370%
Last 5 (5)83.279.2162.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.880.3163.2+2.567%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.973.9155.8+8.060%
vs Weaker (14)84.877.8162.6+7.071%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#10
L
65-74
65
74
-9
54avg 67
A23/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
86avg 67
A24/03
B League
Shimane
#12
W
66-64
66
64
+2
60avg 67
A27/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
64-56
64
56
+8
58avg 67
H30/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
81-66
81
66
+15
84avg 67
H31/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
58avg 67
A06/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
79-88
79
88
-9
66avg 67
A07/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
86-74 OT
86
74
+12
76avg 67
H10/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
61-63
61
63
-2
55avg 67
H13/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
73-80
73
80
-7
67avg 67
H14/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
20-11
17-21
14-21
23-23
22-15
19-21
23-19
16-15
17-12
15-25
18-12
2-21
24-4
21-17
17-14
23-16
22-15
23-17
13-18
25-16
19-28
19-23
12-21
25-26
16-20
22-24
16-18
16-20
27-18
19-11
10-23
21-20
9-14
12-19
19-10
16-31
21-15
17-18
19-16
146.8Avg total
73.7Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)74.874.5149.4+0.351%
Season at home (28)73.575.3148.8-1.846%
Season away (25)76.473.7150.0+2.756%
Last 10 (10)73.773.1146.8+0.650%
Last 5 (5)74.878.6153.4-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.784.0152.7-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.475.5145.8-5.138%
vs Weaker (10)82.164.5146.6+17.6100%
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
RyukyuSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H23/03
B League
Akita
#14
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H24/03
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A27/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H30/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H31/03
B League
Chiba
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H06/04
B League
Chiba
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H07/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H10/04
B League
Shimane
#12
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A13/04
B League
Shimane
#12
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A14/04
B League
75.7Avg total
39.9Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.578.0+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.639.279.8+1.447%-
Last 30 away (13)40.535.375.8+5.269%-
Last 10 (10)39.935.875.7+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.833.673.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.539.382.8+4.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.934.173.0+4.870%-
vs Weaker (14)40.439.179.6+1.350%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A23/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/03
B League
Shimane
#12
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A27/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H30/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H31/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A06/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A07/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H13/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H14/04
B League
73.9Avg total
37.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.576.6+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.338.977.2-0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)40.035.975.9+4.157%-
Last 10 (10)37.836.173.9+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.680.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.443.078.4-7.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.239.077.2-0.838%-
vs Weaker (10)42.931.774.6+11.290%-
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.6
48.4%
50.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.6
35.2%
33.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.013.6
71.6%
72.0%13.6
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.316.7
47.3%
50.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.2
32.9%
33.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.211.7
60.9%
72.0%11.7
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ryukyu
LWLWWWWWWL
Saga
LLWLLWWWWL
#5
League position
#15
+8.1
Net rating
+0.5
111.2
Offensive rating
97.4
103.1
Defensive rating
96.9
50.4%
Effective FG%
48.2%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.3%
36.8%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.2%
3-point %
32.9%
59.9%
Assist %
68.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 97.4Defence103.1 · 96.9Shooting50.4% · 48.2%3-point %35.2% · 32.9%Ball care16.4% · 15.3%Off. rebounds36.8% · 22.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Ryukyu   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ryukyu wins
0
Saga wins
DateGameScore
31/01/24Saga v Ryukyu58-96
07/10/23Saga v Ryukyu79-80 OT
05/10/23Saga v Ryukyu63-80
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24AShimane73-77
13/04/24AShimane80-66
10/04/24HDiamond Dolphins95-98 OT
07/04/24HChiba83-79
06/04/24HChiba85-76
31/03/24HIbaraki Robots81-77
30/03/24HIbaraki Robots98-96
27/03/24ANagasaki76-68
24/03/24HAkita81-59
23/03/24HAkita78-81
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HNagasaki73-80
13/04/24HNagasaki61-63
10/04/24HOsaka86-74 OT
07/04/24ADiamond Dolphins79-88
06/04/24ADiamond Dolphins75-88
31/03/24HKyoto81-66
30/03/24HKyoto64-56
27/03/24AShimane66-64
24/03/24ABrave Thunders87-78
23/03/24ABrave Thunders65-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ryukyu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL72%
HomeWWWWL74%
AwayWWWWL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532726
Win %72%74%69%
Points / game82.483.181.8
Allowed / game77.277.876.7
Point differential+5.2+5.3+5.1
Avg total159.7160.9158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%22%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (21)69% (13)62% (8)
Overtime %9%7%12%
Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL51%
HomeWWWLL46%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532825
Win %51%46%56%
Points / game74.873.576.4
Allowed / game74.575.373.7
Point differential+0.3-1.8+2.7
Avg total149.4148.8150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%21%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex5446885%81.569.6+11.9
2 NeoPhoenix54441081%90.479.2+11.2
3 Alvark53431081%81.569.6+11.9
4 Ryukyu53381572%82.477.2+5.2
5 Diamond Dolphins54351965%83.779.9+3.8
6 Chiba53332062%84.981.3+3.7
7 Shimane54322259%83.278.3+4.9
8 SeaHorses Mikawa54322259%80.375.8+4.5
9 Hiroshima D.54312357%79.573.9+5.6
10 Brave Thunders54302456%80.678.1+2.5
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya54302456%74.874.2+0.6
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles54282652%75.275.4-0.2
13 Gunma54282652%79.881.6-1.7
14 Saga53272651%74.874.5+0.3
15 Akita54262848%73.875.1-1.3
16 Sendai54233143%78.580.6-2.2
17 Nagasaki54233143%80.683.5-2.9
18 Osaka54223241%79.383.1-3.8
19 Yokohama54223241%77.582.3-4.9
20 Hokkaido54173731%75.982.3-6.4
21 Kyoto54153928%77.284.5-7.3
22 Ibaraki Robots54104419%76.286.2-10.0
23 Shinshu5474713%72.283.5-11.3
24 Toyama544507%72.486.2-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ryukyu1724181923101
Saga132716221997
← all games of the day
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