PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Saga vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 61-63
21-20 9-14 12-19 19-10
Position#15
Record27-24
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#17
Record20-31
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game84.3
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Saga v Nagasaki
21 Oct 2026
SAGA66
NAGA84
05 Mar 2025
SAGA86
NAGA92
02 Dec 2024
SAGA78
NAGA93
01 Dec 2024
SAGA80
NAGA51
14 Apr 2024
SAGA73
NAGA80
13 Apr 2024
SAGA61
NAGA63
06 Dec 2023
SAGA81
NAGA91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
55avg 67
H06/03
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
80-71
80
71
+9
74avg 67
A20/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
65-74
65
74
-9
54avg 67
A23/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
86avg 67
A24/03
B League
Shimane
#12
W
66-64
66
64
+2
60avg 67
A27/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
64-56
64
56
+8
58avg 67
H30/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
81-66
81
66
+15
84avg 67
H31/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
75-88
75
88
-13
58avg 67
A06/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
79-88
79
88
-9
66avg 67
A07/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
86-74 OT
86
74
+12
76avg 67
H10/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
16-29
16-17
17-20
23-19
24-32
24-9
9-11
14-21
20-11
17-21
14-21
23-23
22-15
19-21
23-19
16-15
17-12
15-25
18-12
2-21
24-4
21-17
17-14
23-16
22-15
23-17
13-18
25-16
19-28
19-23
12-21
25-26
16-20
22-24
16-18
16-20
27-18
19-11
10-23
149.3Avg total
74.9Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)75.274.6149.8+0.553%
Season at home (26)74.075.6149.6-1.650%
Season away (25)76.473.7150.0+2.756%
Last 10 (10)74.974.4149.3+0.560%
Last 5 (5)77.074.4151.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.784.0152.7-15.30%
vs Similar ◀ (12)71.876.2148.0-4.550%
vs Weaker (11)82.563.5146.1+19.0100%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
94-82
94
82
+12
89avg 74
H06/03
B League
Saga
#15
L
71-80
71
80
-9
65avg 74
H20/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
90-76
90
76
+14
91avg 74
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
69-102
69
102
-33
56avg 74
A24/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 74
H27/03
B League
Shimane
#12
W
74-67
74
67
+7
66avg 74
H30/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
78avg 74
H31/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
85-88
85
88
-3
82avg 74
A06/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
86-65
86
65
+21
85avg 74
A07/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
78-82
78
82
-4
74avg 74
A10/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
27-16
23-27
19-23
19-23
32-24
9-24
11-9
17-26
34-10
23-23
16-17
14-30
23-18
25-32
7-22
16-22
13-11
18-20
21-23
11-16
20-21
21-17
22-13
20-15
9-17
22-26
23-16
25-15
17-32
17-21
26-20
25-16
18-13
27-21
16-15
22-13
20-23
22-19
14-27
159.9Avg total
79.6Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)80.884.3165.1-3.439%
Season at home (27)77.582.9160.4-5.433%
Season away (24)84.685.8170.5-1.246%
Last 10 (10)79.680.3159.9-0.740%
Last 5 (5)80.877.4158.2+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.386.7165.1-8.433%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.987.4164.3-10.611%
vs Weaker (6)81.576.5158.0+5.033%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
SagaNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H06/03
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A20/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A23/03
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/03
B League
Shimane
#12
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A27/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H30/03
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H31/03
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A06/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A07/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/04
B League
77.1Avg total
39.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.477.0+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.438.778.1+0.756%-
Last 30 away (14)40.035.975.9+4.157%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.077.1+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.876.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.443.078.4-7.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.038.877.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker (11)43.132.375.4+10.891%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H06/03
B League
Saga
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H20/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A23/03
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A24/03
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H27/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H30/03
B League
Shimane
#12
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H31/03
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A06/04
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A07/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A10/04
B League
78.4Avg total
40.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.583.0-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.141.981.1-2.838%-
Last 30 away (14)42.143.185.2-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.778.4+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.273.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.243.981.1-6.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.743.987.6-0.256%-
vs Weaker (6)44.236.881.0+7.383%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.016.7
47.7%
50.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.4
32.2%
33.5%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.012.1
60.5%
72.0%12.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.021.3
54.6%
50.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.6
30.1%
33.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws13.810.2
73.9%
72.0%10.2
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WLLWWWWLWL
Nagasaki
LWLLWLLWLW
#15
League position
#17
-0.4
Net rating
-0.9
99.4
Offensive rating
102.9
99.8
Defensive rating
103.8
48.0%
Effective FG%
50.6%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
13.5%
Turnover %
19.1%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.2%
3-point %
30.1%
69.7%
Assist %
63.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 102.9Defence99.8 · 103.8Shooting48.0% · 50.6%3-point %32.2% · 30.1%Ball care13.5% · 19.1%Off. rebounds21.9% · 30.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Saga   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saga wins
1
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
20/03/24Nagasaki v Saga71-80
06/12/23Saga v Nagasaki81-91
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24HOsaka86-74 OT
07/04/24ADiamond Dolphins79-88
06/04/24ADiamond Dolphins75-88
31/03/24HKyoto81-66
30/03/24HKyoto64-56
27/03/24AShimane66-64
24/03/24ABrave Thunders87-78
23/03/24ABrave Thunders65-74
20/03/24ANagasaki80-71
06/03/24HHiroshima D.66-85
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24AKyoto78-82
07/04/24AHokkaido86-65
06/04/24AHokkaido85-88
31/03/24HShimane81-85 OT
30/03/24HShimane74-67
27/03/24HRyukyu68-76
24/03/24AYokohama69-102
23/03/24AYokohama90-76
20/03/24HSaga71-80
06/03/24HDiamond Dolphins94-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game75.274.076.4
Allowed / game74.675.673.7
Point differential+0.5-1.6+2.7
Avg total149.8149.6150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%23%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL39%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayWLLWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512724
Win %39%33%46%
Points / game80.877.584.6
Allowed / game84.382.985.8
Point differential-3.4-5.4-1.2
Avg total165.1160.4170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%7%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)67% (6)29% (7)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex5244885%81.469.5+11.9
2 Alvark52421081%81.669.7+11.9
3 NeoPhoenix52421081%90.279.0+11.1
4 Ryukyu52381473%82.677.2+5.4
5 Diamond Dolphins52351767%84.179.5+4.6
6 Chiba52322062%84.981.4+3.5
7 SeaHorses Mikawa51302159%80.576.3+4.1
8 Hiroshima D.52302258%79.473.7+5.7
9 Shimane52302258%83.278.4+4.8
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya51282355%75.174.4+0.7
11 Brave Thunders52282454%80.378.1+2.2
12 Gunma52282454%79.781.1-1.4
13 Saga51272453%75.274.6+0.5
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles52272552%75.075.2-0.2
15 Akita52252748%73.574.8-1.2
16 Sendai52232944%78.680.6-2.0
17 Yokohama52223042%77.682.1-4.5
18 Osaka52213140%79.083.0-4.1
19 Nagasaki51203139%80.884.3-3.4
20 Hokkaido52163631%75.782.1-6.5
21 Kyoto52143827%76.884.4-7.5
22 Ibaraki Robots5294317%76.186.4-10.4
23 Shinshu5274513%72.083.3-11.3
24 Toyama524488%72.886.7-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga219121961
Nagasaki2014191063
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.