PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Saga vs Diamond Dolphins Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 71-66
21-24 17-11 19-19 14-12
Position#12
Record29-26
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game81.9
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#7
Record41-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game74.0
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Diamond Dolphins
30 Jan 2027
SAGA v DIAM
upcoming
26 Jan 2027
SAGA v DIAM
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
SAGA71
DIAM66
06 May 2024
SAGA68
DIAM80
05 May 2024
SAGA77
DIAM81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diamond Dolphins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
90-86
90
86
+4
95avg 77
H29/03
B League
Shiga
#18
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 77
A01/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
82-66
82
66
+16
80avg 77
A04/04
B League
Sendai
#11
L
66-87
66
87
-21
57avg 77
A05/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
82avg 77
H08/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
90-89
90
89
+1
88avg 77
H11/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
83-87
83
87
-4
90avg 77
H12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 77
H15/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
83-74
83
74
+9
74avg 77
A18/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
103-68
103
68
+35
102avg 77
A19/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
27-11
18-14
21-34
29-28
19-15
19-16
16-18
29-12
15-19
17-18
21-17
23-22
23-16
13-26
7-23
21-25
13-15
26-17
19-19
26-23
25-25
17-18
22-23
20-22
20-19
25-29
18-17
12-22
31-22
19-16
15-23
14-25
27-24
21-13
21-12
27-20
25-15
29-19
22-14
162.9Avg total
83.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)82.381.9164.2+0.353%
Season at home (29)81.983.5165.3-1.648%
Season away (26)82.880.2163.0+2.558%
Last 10 (10)83.679.3162.9+4.370%
Last 5 (5)87.280.2167.4+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.283.5161.8-5.238%
vs Similar (9)82.284.2166.4-2.044%
vs Weaker (13)87.177.2164.2+9.985%
This opponent (Diamond Dolphins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond DolphinsJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDolphins
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
L
74-78
74
78
-4
69avg 78
H29/03
B League
Akita
#26
W
74-66
74
66
+8
58avg 78
H01/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
92-65
92
65
+27
82avg 78
H04/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-58
91
58
+33
98avg 78
H05/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
82-90 OT
82
90
-8
70avg 78
A08/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
88avg 78
A11/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
61-91
61
91
-30
41avg 78
A12/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
69avg 78
H15/04
B League
Shiga
#18
W
106-95
106
95
+11
108avg 78
H18/04
B League
Shiga
#18
L
84-86
84
86
-2
73avg 78
H19/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
27-25
9-14
22-21
27-20
12-12
13-20
22-14
29-15
19-16
25-18
19-16
21-11
22-10
25-16
23-21
16-20
19-18
23-24
17-13
23-14
21-13
25-27
20-25
10-25
14-29
15-18
22-19
12-22
22-25
22-13
24-16
24-21
19-19
33-24
30-31
15-25
31-16
21-19
17-26
161.7Avg total
83.3Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)84.074.0158.0+9.975%
Season at home (28)82.872.2155.0+10.675%
Season away (27)85.275.9161.1+9.374%
Last 10 (10)83.378.4161.7+4.960%
Last 5 (5)84.085.4169.4-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)77.678.9156.4-1.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.775.6162.3+11.274%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
SagaDiamond Dolphins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H29/03
B League
Shiga
#18
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A01/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A04/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A05/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H08/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H11/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H15/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A19/04
B League
85.7Avg total
45.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.384.2+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.442.083.4-0.636%-
Last 30 away (16)44.340.684.9+3.769%-
Last 10 (10)45.040.785.7+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.443.488.8+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.442.579.9-5.112%-
vs Similar (9)43.940.384.2+3.667%-
vs Weaker (13)45.741.286.8+4.569%-
This opponent (Diamond Dolphins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond DolphinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H29/03
B League
Akita
#26
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H01/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H04/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H05/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A08/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A11/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
24-54
24
54
-30
A12/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H15/04
B League
Shiga
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H18/04
B League
Shiga
#18
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H19/04
B League
77.3Avg total
39.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.638.781.3+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.438.681.0+3.867%-
Last 30 away (15)42.838.981.7+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.477.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.880.0-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)38.444.082.4-5.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.937.181.0+6.778%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.1
55.5%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.8
36.5%
33.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws14.810.7
72.3%
73.1%10.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Diamond Dolphinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Diamond Dolphins: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.719.5
47.9%
53.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.0
33.4%
33.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.914.3
71.9%
73.1%14.3
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WWLLWWLWWW
Diamond Dolphins
LWWLWLWWWL
#12
League position
#7
+3.1
Net rating
+5.4
97.6
Offensive rating
91.5
94.5
Defensive rating
86.1
55.2%
Effective FG%
48.9%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.5%
3-point %
33.4%
81.9%
Assist %
65.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 91.5Defence94.5 · 86.1Shooting55.2% · 48.9%3-point %36.5% · 33.4%Ball care15.2% · 14.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Saga   ■ Diamond Dolphins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saga wins
6
Diamond Dolphins wins
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles103-68
18/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles83-74
15/04/26HSeaHorses Mikawa77-83
12/04/26HKyoto83-87
11/04/26HKyoto90-89
08/04/26HHokkaido79-76
05/04/26ASendai66-87
04/04/26ASendai82-66
01/04/26AShiga83-77
29/03/26HIbaraki Robots90-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/26HShiga84-86
18/04/26HShiga106-95
15/04/26HRyukyu80-76
12/04/26ASeaHorses Mikawa61-91
11/04/26ASeaHorses Mikawa89-79
08/04/26AKyoto82-90 OT
05/04/26HToyama91-58
04/04/26HToyama92-65
01/04/26HAkita74-66
29/03/26HGunma74-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW53%
HomeWWWLL48%
AwayWWLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552926
Win %53%48%58%
Points / game82.381.982.8
Allowed / game81.983.580.2
Point differential+0.3-1.6+2.5
Avg total164.2165.3163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%17%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)50% (12)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Diamond Dolphins
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL75%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWWLWL74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552827
Win %75%75%74%
Points / game84.082.885.2
Allowed / game74.072.275.9
Point differential+9.9+10.6+9.3
Avg total158.0155.0161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%57%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)44% (9)80% (5)
Overtime %4%4%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki55431278%91.379.8+11.6
2 Diamond Dolphins55411475%84.074.0+9.9
3 Utsunomiya Brex55411475%85.780.3+5.4
4 SeaHorses Mikawa55391671%84.177.7+6.4
5 Gunma55381769%82.772.7+10.0
6 Ryukyu55381769%81.674.7+6.9
7 Chiba55371867%83.576.8+6.7
8 Alvark55371867%80.176.9+3.1
9 Hokkaido55342162%88.086.1+1.9
10 Sendai55332260%82.279.3+2.9
11 NeoPhoenix55332260%86.183.5+2.6
12 Hiroshima D.55302555%86.583.8+2.7
13 Saga55292653%82.381.9+0.3
14 Shimane55262947%79.680.5-1.0
15 Yokohama55253045%79.181.2-2.1
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya55233242%76.480.2-3.8
17 Osaka55223340%81.082.8-1.8
18 Shiga55223340%80.885.0-4.1
19 Altiri Chiba55183733%79.083.9-4.9
20 Kyoto55183733%73.980.9-7.1
21 Koshigaya Alphas55183733%74.881.9-7.1
22 Nagoya Fighting Eagles55173831%80.284.5-4.3
23 Ibaraki Robots55154027%75.681.8-6.2
24 Toyama55144125%80.988.9-8.0
25 Brave Thunders55144125%75.684.1-8.5
26 Akita55104518%73.385.0-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2117191471
Diamond Dolphins2411191266
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.