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Saga vs Diamond Dolphins Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 May 2024
Tip-off: 04:05
Final 68-80
7-21 23-17 23-17 15-25
Position#15
Record29-30
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#4
Record40-19
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game79.5
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Saga v Diamond Dolphins
30 Jan 2027
SAGA v DIAM
upcoming
26 Jan 2027
SAGA v DIAM
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
SAGA71
DIAM66
06 May 2024
SAGA68
DIAM80
05 May 2024
SAGA77
DIAM81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diamond Dolphins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
79-88
79
88
-9
66avg 68
A07/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
86-74 OT
86
74
+12
76avg 68
H10/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
61-63
61
63
-2
55avg 68
H13/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
73-80
73
80
-7
67avg 68
H14/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
83avg 68
A17/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
L
87-88
87
88
-1
79avg 68
A20/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
73-52
73
52
+21
66avg 68
A21/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
65-73
65
73
-8
56avg 68
A27/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 68
A28/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
77-81
77
81
-4
70avg 68
H05/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
16-20
22-24
16-18
16-20
27-18
19-11
10-23
21-20
9-14
12-19
19-10
16-31
21-15
17-18
19-16
13-17
27-24
16-18
22-19
27-33
22-15
17-9
21-31
18-13
18-22
23-13
14-4
9-26
22-17
20-12
14-18
29-22
10-18
21-19
29-20
18-17
18-18
24-25
17-21
156.6Avg total
78.7Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)75.575.0150.5+0.549%
Season at home (29)73.675.5149.1-1.945%
Season away (30)77.374.5151.8+2.853%
Last 10 (10)78.777.9156.6+0.830%
Last 5 (5)78.274.6152.8+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.583.5155.0-12.00%
vs Similar (14)73.179.4152.4-6.329%
vs Weaker (10)78.865.3144.1+13.590%
This opponent (Diamond Dolphins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond DolphinsJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDolphins
Date
Competition
Saga
#15
W
88-79
88
79
+9
86avg 81
H07/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
94avg 81
A10/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
98-87
98
87
+11
90avg 81
H13/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
67-84
67
84
-17
62avg 81
H14/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
76-92
76
92
-16
69avg 81
A17/04
B League
Shimane
#12
W
100-85
100
85
+15
103avg 81
H19/04
B League
Shimane
#12
W
93-63
93
63
+30
98avg 81
H20/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 81
H27/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 81
H28/04
B League
Saga
#15
W
81-77
81
77
+4
78avg 81
A05/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
20-16
24-22
18-16
20-21
20-15
21-20
22-27
25-27
27-17
20-18
26-25
11-21
15-15
19-20
22-28
13-24
17-23
22-28
24-17
21-24
26-19
30-17
23-25
23-11
26-14
20-21
24-17
14-13
29-22
16-14
24-28
21-18
21-17
13-19
31-25
17-18
18-18
25-24
21-17
168.8Avg total
87.0Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)84.179.5163.6+4.568%
Season at home (30)85.379.0164.3+6.377%
Season away (29)82.880.1162.9+2.759%
Last 10 (10)87.081.8168.8+5.280%
Last 5 (5)88.676.2164.8+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)86.682.5169.2+4.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.279.0167.2+9.288%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
SagaDiamond Dolphins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A07/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H10/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H13/04
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H14/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A20/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A21/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A27/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A28/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H05/05
B League
78.8Avg total
38.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.777.3+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.939.076.9-1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)39.438.477.8+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.678.8-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.278.4-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.842.579.3-5.733%-
vs Similar (14)37.740.478.1-2.729%-
vs Weaker (10)41.133.975.0+7.290%-
This opponent (Diamond Dolphins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diamond DolphinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#15
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H13/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H14/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A17/04
B League
Shimane
#12
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H19/04
B League
Shimane
#12
W
49-25
49
25
+24
H20/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H27/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H28/04
B League
Saga
#15
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A05/05
B League
78.8Avg total
41.0Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.083.3+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.039.084.0+6.081%-
Last 30 away (14)41.441.182.5+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.878.8+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.234.878.0+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)42.537.580.0+4.969%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.041.885.8+2.259%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.5
47.6%
50.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.7
36.4%
33.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.710.4
58.8%
72.0%10.4
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Diamond Dolphinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Diamond Dolphins: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.5
50.6%
50.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.112.0
37.4%
33.5%36.0
🏀 Free throws15.911.4
71.7%
72.0%11.4
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LWLWLLLLWL
Diamond Dolphins
WWWWWLLWWW
#15
League position
#4
+0.5
Net rating
+7.9
101.5
Offensive rating
114.2
100.9
Defensive rating
106.3
50.7%
Effective FG%
53.1%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.7%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
38.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.4%
3-point %
37.4%
68.4%
Assist %
71.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 114.2Defence100.9 · 106.3Shooting50.7% · 53.1%3-point %36.4% · 37.4%Ball care15.5% · 17.7%Off. rebounds23.5% · 38.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Saga   ■ Diamond Dolphins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
3
Diamond Dolphins wins
DateGameScore
05/05/24Saga v Diamond Dolphins77-81
07/04/24Diamond Dolphins v Saga88-79
06/04/24Diamond Dolphins v Saga88-75
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24HDiamond Dolphins77-81
28/04/24ASeaHorses Mikawa89-79
27/04/24ASeaHorses Mikawa65-73
21/04/24AKyoto73-52
20/04/24AKyoto87-88
17/04/24ARyukyu97-101 OT
14/04/24HNagasaki73-80
13/04/24HNagasaki61-63
10/04/24HOsaka86-74 OT
07/04/24ADiamond Dolphins79-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24ASaga81-77
28/04/24HRyukyu86-79
27/04/24HRyukyu83-77
20/04/24HShimane93-63
19/04/24HShimane100-85
17/04/24AOsaka76-92
14/04/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles67-84
13/04/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles98-87
10/04/24ARyukyu98-95 OT
07/04/24HSaga88-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL49%
HomeWWLLL45%
AwayLLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592930
Win %49%45%53%
Points / game75.573.677.3
Allowed / game75.075.574.5
Point differential+0.5-1.9+2.8
Avg total150.5149.1151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%21%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)43% (7)40% (5)
Overtime %7%10%3%
Diamond Dolphins
B League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeLWWWW77%
AwayLWWLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %68%77%59%
Points / game84.185.382.8
Allowed / game79.579.080.1
Point differential+4.5+6.3+2.7
Avg total163.6164.3162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%33%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)83% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex6051985%81.669.2+12.4
2 Alvark60481280%81.270.0+11.3
3 NeoPhoenix60461477%89.579.2+10.4
4 Ryukyu60411968%82.677.8+4.8
5 Diamond Dolphins59401968%84.179.5+4.5
6 Hiroshima D.60362460%79.273.4+5.8
7 SeaHorses Mikawa60362460%80.375.8+4.6
8 Chiba60352558%84.281.7+2.6
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya60352558%75.374.0+1.3
10 Brave Thunders60332755%80.478.4+2.0
11 Nagoya Fighting Eagles60332755%75.974.9+0.9
12 Shimane60322853%81.778.7+2.9
13 Gunma60312952%80.081.9-1.9
14 Akita60303050%74.275.2-1.1
15 Saga59293049%75.575.0+0.5
16 Sendai60273345%79.380.8-1.4
17 Nagasaki59263344%80.783.2-2.5
18 Osaka60253542%79.182.8-3.7
19 Yokohama60243640%77.282.4-5.3
20 Kyoto59174229%76.984.2-7.3
21 Hokkaido60174328%75.381.9-6.6
22 Ibaraki Robots60124820%76.386.5-10.2
23 Shinshu60105017%72.282.6-10.4
24 Toyama604567%72.085.8-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga723231568
Diamond Dolphins2117172580
← all games of the day
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