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Saga vs Gunma Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 61-72
15-16 12-16 17-17 17-23
Position#25
Record1-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game91.0
vs
Gunma 🏆
Japan
Position#9
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game69.3
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Saga v Gunma
12 Oct 2026
SAGA61
GUNM72
04 Jan 2026
SAGA51
GUNM81
03 Jan 2026
SAGA84
GUNM78
04 Feb 2024
SAGA69
GUNM79
03 Feb 2024
SAGA68
GUNM79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gunma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A25/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A26/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A02/05
B League
Akita
#26
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
87-100
87
100
-13
H25/09
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
61-89
61
89
-28
H27/09
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
61-97
61
97
-36
H03/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
89-93
89
93
-4
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A10/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
17-25
24-21
14-23
22-26
23-17
19-29
27-24
19-22
23-13
24-13
19-24
24-17
25-14
16-17
22-22
26-29
16-25
29-19
16-27
22-23
12-19
20-20
7-27
22-27
14-23
15-29
10-18
19-26
20-25
31-20
19-22
15-29
19-15
22-22
18-24
27-20
17-12
15-26
25-19
167.3Avg total
79.7Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.091.0167.0-15.017%
Season at home (4)74.594.8169.2-20.20%
Season away (2)79.083.5162.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)79.787.6167.3-7.930%
Last 5 (5)73.889.2163.0-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.588.3166.8-9.817%
vs Similar (8)80.683.8164.4-3.138%
vs Weaker (10)87.577.5165.0+10.080%
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GunmaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#11
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
H03/05
B League
Chiba
#6
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A09/05
B League
Chiba
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A10/05
B League
Chiba
#6
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A11/05
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H24/09
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
W
91-59
91
59
+32
H26/09
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#15
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H03/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#15
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H04/10
B League
Ryukyu
#11
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A08/10
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A10/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-6
16-23
26-19
12-23
22-21
28-14
18-17
19-16
11-25
30-23
25-18
13-19
18-18
23-19
6-15
21-20
23-21
19-13
20-14
14-26
19-17
26-23
24-13
22-6
19-23
18-8
22-29
13-11
17-17
21-17
22-23
26-20
13-15
18-16
22-12
23-22
16-15
19-27
10-9
14-19
150.8Avg total
78.1Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.769.3146.0+7.383%
Season at home (4)81.270.2151.5+11.0100%
Season away (2)67.567.5135.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)78.172.7150.8+5.470%
Last 5 (5)76.868.4145.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)79.273.9153.1+5.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.368.5151.8+14.782%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
SagaGunma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A25/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A26/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A02/05
B League
Akita
#26
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A03/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H25/09
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/09
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A10/10
B League
83.5Avg total
40.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.884.9+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.444.086.4-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)43.739.983.6+3.869%-
Last 10 (10)40.543.083.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.443.881.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.544.284.8-3.833%-
vs Similar (8)43.140.183.2+3.062%-
vs Weaker (10)46.140.286.3+5.970%-
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GunmaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#11
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H03/05
B League
Chiba
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A09/05
B League
Chiba
#6
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A10/05
B League
Chiba
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A11/05
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H24/09
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H26/09
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#15
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H03/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#15
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/10
B League
Ryukyu
#11
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A08/10
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A10/10
B League
75.4Avg total
39.3Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.336.179.4+7.277%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.634.778.2+8.994%-
Last 30 away (14)42.937.780.6+5.257%-
Last 10 (10)39.336.175.4+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.672.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)42.037.979.9+4.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.735.579.2+8.382%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.5
50.7%
53.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.3
30.1%
32.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.914.4
80.4%
73.7%14.4
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gunmatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gunma: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.816.7
48.0%
53.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.6
31.1%
32.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.213.6
79.1%
73.7%13.6
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WLLLLLWWLL
Gunma
LWWWWWLLWW
#25
League position
#9
-9.6
Net rating
+4.7
93.2
Offensive rating
93.2
102.8
Defensive rating
88.5
48.1%
Effective FG%
47.3%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
11.6%
Turnover %
11.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.1%
3-point %
31.1%
61.9%
Assist %
66.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 93.2Defence102.8 · 88.5Shooting48.1% · 47.3%3-point %30.1% · 31.1%Ball care11.6% · 11.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Saga   ■ Gunma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saga wins
5
Gunma wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Saga v Gunma51-81
03/01/26Saga v Gunma84-78
08/12/24Gunma v Saga86-74
07/12/24Gunma v Saga84-70
04/02/24Saga v Gunma69-79
03/02/24Saga v Gunma68-79
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26AKobe84-77
08/10/26AAlvark74-90
04/10/26HNeoPhoenix89-93
03/10/26HNeoPhoenix61-97
27/09/26HHiroshima D.61-89
25/09/26HHiroshima D.87-100
03/05/26AAkita87-70
02/05/26AAkita85-72
26/04/26ARyukyu91-96
25/04/26ARyukyu78-92
Gunmalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26ANagasaki59-70
08/10/26ARyukyu76-65
04/10/26HIbaraki Robots86-77
03/10/26HIbaraki Robots72-71
26/09/26HAltiri Chiba91-59
24/09/26HAltiri Chiba76-74
11/05/26AChiba68-72
10/05/26AChiba79-85
09/05/26AChiba87-68
03/05/26HSendai87-86 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%0%50%
Points / game76.074.579.0
Allowed / game91.094.883.5
Point differential-15.0-20.2-4.5
Avg total167.0169.2162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gunma
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game76.781.267.5
Allowed / game69.370.267.5
Point differential+7.3+11.0+0.0
Avg total146.0151.5135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins550100%89.674.4+15.2
2 Hiroshima D.660100%94.880.7+14.2
3 NeoPhoenix550100%88.877.6+11.2
4 Alvark65183%96.086.0+10.0
5 Gunma65183%76.769.3+7.3
6 Kyoto75271%83.179.3+3.9
7 SeaHorses Mikawa64267%88.580.5+8.0
8 Tokyo Sunrockers74357%87.680.9+6.7
9 Sendai74357%86.381.4+4.9
10 Toyama74357%85.985.0+0.9
11 Utsunomiya Brex63350%81.077.8+3.2
12 Levanga Hokkaido63350%96.295.5+0.7
13 Yokohama63350%76.776.2+0.5
14 Shimane63350%81.881.7+0.2
15 Ryukyu63350%79.881.3-1.5
16 Shiga62433%91.790.2+1.5
17 Shinshu62433%83.884.3-0.5
18 Kobe62433%78.284.3-6.2
19 Chiba62433%95.5103.0-7.5
20 Brave Thunders62433%80.388.5-8.2
21 Nagasaki62433%71.279.7-8.5
22 Akita62433%72.081.3-9.3
23 Altiri Chiba72529%78.786.3-7.6
24 Osaka61517%69.782.2-12.5
25 Saga61517%76.091.0-15.0
26 Ibaraki Robots7070%78.385.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1512171761
Gunma1616172372
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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