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VMI vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 63-102
35-56 28-46
Position#365
Record4-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game81.4
VMI
USA
vs
Samford 🏆
USA
Position#12
Record21-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game74.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · VMI v Samford
01 Jan 2026
VMI58
SAMF78
27 Feb 2025
VMI83
SAMF95
10 Feb 2024
VMI63
SAMF102
18 Feb 2023
VMI61
SAMF96
20 Jan 2022
VMI99
SAMF80
13 Feb 2021
VMI85
SAMF56
04 Jan 2020
VMI75
SAMF78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#223
L
64-86
64
86
-22
H06/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
61-109
61
109
-48
A12/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
96-134
96
134
-38
A13/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
60-100
60
100
-40
H17/01
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H20/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H24/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
77-102
77
102
-25
A27/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H31/01
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A03/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-48
36-38
30-52
31-57
54-72
42-62
26-41
34-59
35-29
35-34
31-35
42-39
33-63
44-39
29-48
50-37
38-49
31-41
40-45
44-43
166.4Avg total
73.3Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.881.4153.1-9.617%
Season at home (11)76.375.4151.6+0.936%
Season away (13)67.986.5154.4-18.50%
Last 10 (10)73.393.1166.4-19.810%
Last 5 (5)76.487.8164.2-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)69.084.3153.2-15.37%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)100.063.0163.0+37.0100%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#311
W
80-64
80
64
+16
A06/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H12/01
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
134-96
134
96
+38
H13/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A16/01
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A25/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
78-56
78
56
+22
A03/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-25
49-39
40-27
39-43
72-54
62-42
37-29
38-42
46-33
41-47
25-34
43-44
36-34
39-38
40-36
41-43
43-23
35-33
35-42
43-27
157.0Avg total
83.5Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.474.3161.7+13.088%
Season at home (14)97.676.8174.4+20.9100%
Season away (10)73.070.9143.9+2.170%
Last 10 (10)83.573.5157.0+10.090%
Last 5 (5)76.070.8146.8+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)73.281.3154.5-8.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.573.3160.8+14.291%
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-9+0+9+171st half1st half: -13.8-13.81st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: -6.0-6.02nd half: +3.2+3.2
-17-9+0+9+171st half1st half: -13.8-13.81st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: -6.0-6.02nd half: +3.2+3.2
VMISamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#223
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H06/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A12/01
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A13/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H17/01
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H20/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H24/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A27/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H31/01
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A03/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H08/02
NCAA
82.6Avg total
34.4Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.440.072.4-7.620%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.936.469.3-3.636%-
Last 30 away (16)32.143.175.2-11.16%-
Last 10 (10)34.448.282.6-13.810%-
Last 5 (5)34.248.082.2-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)31.141.672.7-10.511%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)53.031.084.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#311
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A06/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H12/01
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H13/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#56
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A16/01
NCAA
Mercer
#223
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H20/01
NCAA
Furman
#191
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A25/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A27/01
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#103
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A03/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A09/02
NCAA
74.2Avg total
40.5Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.733.474.1+7.377%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.334.679.8+10.783%-
Last 30 away (12)33.831.865.6+2.167%-
Last 10 (10)40.533.774.2+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.869.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)31.239.871.0-8.717%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.932.474.2+9.591%-
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
VMI wins
7
Samford wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Samford v VMI134-96
18/02/23VMI v Samford61-96
05/01/23Samford v VMI87-78
18/02/22Samford v VMI100-99 OT
21/01/22VMI v Samford99-80
13/02/21VMI v Samford85-56
31/12/20Samford v VMI84-71
06/03/20Samford v VMI78-96
29/02/20Samford v VMI84-78
04/01/20VMI v Samford75-78
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24HChattanooga Mocs84-88
03/02/24AMercer69-90
31/01/24HNC Greensboro79-85
27/01/24AWestern Carolina77-102
24/01/24HEast Tennessee St73-74
20/01/24HCitadel70-63
17/01/24HFurman60-100
13/01/24ASamford96-134
12/01/24AChattanooga Mocs61-109
06/01/24HMercer64-86
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24ANC Greensboro78-69
03/02/24AChattanooga Mocs78-56
01/02/24HWofford81-79
27/01/24AEast Tennessee St75-72
25/01/24AFurman68-78
20/01/24HMercer87-80
16/01/24AWestern Carolina75-71
13/01/24HVMI134-96
12/01/24HNC Greensboro79-70
06/01/24ACitadel80-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VMI
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLWLLL36%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %17%36%0%
Points / game71.876.367.9
Allowed / game81.475.486.5
Point differential-9.6+0.9-18.5
Avg total153.1151.6154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Samford
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %88%100%70%
Points / game87.497.673.0
Allowed / game74.376.870.9
Point differential+13.0+20.9+2.1
Avg total161.7174.4143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%64%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford2421388%87.474.3+13.0
2 Western Carolina2417771%77.369.1+8.2
3 NC Greensboro2417771%77.470.3+7.0
4 Chattanooga Mocs2315865%78.871.3+7.6
5 East Tennessee St23131057%69.768.0+1.8
6 Wofford24131154%76.475.5+0.9
7 Furman24121250%80.877.0+3.8
8 Mercer24111346%70.170.0+0.1
9 Citadel2491538%70.570.0+0.5
10 VMI2442017%71.881.4-9.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
VMI352863
Samford5646102
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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