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Samobor vs Alkar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 71-77
16-23 16-18 16-14 23-22
Position#4
Record8-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game87.6
vs
Alkar 🏆
Croatia
Position#9
Record7-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game78.8
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 18· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2025-26
Meetings · Samobor v Alkar
04 Oct 2026
SAMO91
ALKA95
25 Jan 2026
SAMO71
ALKA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alkar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Alkar
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
77avg 82
A09/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
87-85
87
85
+2
77avg 82
H16/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
82-97
82
97
-15
72avg 82
A23/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
110-106 OT
110
106
+4
112avg 82
A07/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
85-88
85
88
-3
75avg 82
A13/12
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
86-122
86
122
-36
74avg 82
H19/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
80-70
80
70
+10
72avg 82
A27/12
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
89-84
89
84
+5
83avg 82
H03/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
67-84
67
84
-17
64avg 82
A09/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A18/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
27-14
14-19
22-25
24-16
17-28
18-22
28-19
26-19
25-26
19-21
12-31
29-18
29-27
14-31
25-21
22-26
23-21
23-21
17-20
27-29
25-26
18-26
16-41
16-18
21-17
23-17
20-18
9-16
28-19
22-18
30-31
17-24
17-24
13-22
20-14
28-26
13-21
15-25
21-19
174.5Avg total
84.2Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.187.6172.8-2.550%
Season at home (6)90.290.5180.7-0.367%
Season away (10)82.185.9168.0-3.840%
Last 10 (10)84.290.3174.5-6.150%
Last 5 (5)79.890.2170.0-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.295.4172.6-18.20%
vs Similar (11)86.578.5165.0+7.973%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.184.9173.1+3.271%
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlkar
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
W
80-73
80
73
+7
77avg 65
H06/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
49-83
49
83
-34
33avg 65
A14/12
Premijer liga
Donar Groningen
#10
L
71-90
71
90
-19
60avg 65
A16/12
ENBL
Dubrava
#6
L
64-93
64
93
-29
57avg 65
A21/12
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
71-64
71
64
+7
62avg 65
H27/12
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 65
A03/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
87-97
87
97
-10
87avg 65
H09/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
60-79
60
79
-19
no box
A14/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
61-82
61
82
-21
no box
H17/01
Premijer liga
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
52-69
52
69
-17
36avg 65
H20/01
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
17-25
24-12
22-17
10-23
14-27
12-13
13-20
20-19
14-24
13-26
24-21
16-16
11-24
13-22
24-31
17-18
24-21
11-9
19-16
26-20
23-26
16-12
16-18
12-20
26-34
16-24
33-19
10-24
21-25
19-16
10-14
16-14
14-24
18-19
13-25
11-21
13-13
15-12
13-23
148.2Avg total
67.6Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.978.8149.8-7.941%
Season at home (9)74.176.2150.3-2.144%
Season away (8)67.481.8149.1-14.438%
Last 10 (10)67.680.6148.2-13.030%
Last 5 (5)68.280.6148.8-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)72.181.8153.8-9.732%
vs Similar (5)74.471.8146.2+2.680%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
SamoborAlkar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A09/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H16/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A23/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A07/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A13/12
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H19/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A27/12
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H03/01
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A09/01
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A18/01
Premijer liga
87.2Avg total
43.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.943.186.9+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.243.286.3+0.042%-
Last 30 away (18)44.343.087.3+1.344%-
Last 10 (10)43.943.387.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.084.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.448.287.6-8.820%-
vs Similar (11)42.539.381.8+3.355%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.544.290.7+2.343%-
This opponent (Alkar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlkarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zabok
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H06/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
24-50
24
50
-26
A14/12
Premijer liga
Donar Groningen
#10
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A16/12
ENBL
Dubrava
#6
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A21/12
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H27/12
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A03/01
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H09/01
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A14/01
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H17/01
Premijer liga
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H20/01
ENBL
76.9Avg total
33.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.341.077.3-4.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.837.573.3-1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)36.844.581.3-7.733%-
Last 10 (10)33.243.776.9-10.520%-
Last 5 (5)34.444.278.6-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)35.542.077.6-6.536%-
vs Similar (5)40.235.675.8+4.680%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.8
49.6%
53.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.410.5
44.9%
34.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws22.116.9
76.5%
74.3%16.9
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alkartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alkar: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.1
50.6%
53.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.15.8
27.5%
34.2%17.4
🏀 Free throws19.511.5
59.0%
74.3%11.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
LLWWLLWLWW
Alkar
LLLLWWLLLW
#4
League position
#9
-1.1
Net rating
-14.1
108.0
Offensive rating
90.4
109.2
Defensive rating
104.6
56.4%
Effective FG%
47.4%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
21.6%
Turnover %
19.3%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
44.9%
3-point %
27.5%
65.5%
Assist %
62.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 90.4Defence109.2 · 104.6Shooting56.4% · 47.4%3-point %44.9% · 27.5%Ball care21.6% · 19.3%Off. rebounds28.5% · 26.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Samobor   ■ Alkar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Samobor wins
0
Alkar wins
DateGameScore
09/11/25Alkar v Samobor76-79
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26ADubrava77-91
09/01/26AZadar67-84
03/01/26HDubrovnik89-84
27/12/25AZabok80-70
19/12/25HSplit86-122
13/12/25AKvarner85-88
07/12/25ADinamo Zagreb110-106 OT
23/11/25ACibona82-97
16/11/25HGKK Sibenka87-85
09/11/25AAlkar79-76
Alkarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26HSyntainics MBC52-69
17/01/26HCedevita Junior61-82
14/01/26ADubrovnik60-79
09/01/26HSplit87-97
03/01/26ADinamo Zagreb81-76
27/12/25HGKK Sibenka71-64
21/12/25ADubrava64-93
16/12/25ADonar Groningen71-90
14/12/25AZadar49-83
06/12/25HZabok80-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game85.190.282.1
Allowed / game87.690.585.9
Point differential-2.5-0.3-3.8
Avg total172.8180.7168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Alkar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL41%
HomeLWWLL44%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%44%38%
Points / game70.974.167.4
Allowed / game78.876.281.8
Point differential-7.9-2.1-14.4
Avg total149.8150.3149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar1816289%88.371.3+17.1
2 Split1715288%93.980.9+13.0
3 Zabok1811761%80.979.3+1.7
4 Cibona1710759%83.079.3+3.7
5 Samobor168850%85.187.6-2.5
6 Dubrovnik178947%77.978.7-0.8
7 Dubrava1881044%80.284.5-4.3
8 Alkar1771041%70.978.8-7.9
9 Kvarner1871139%77.482.7-5.2
10 Dinamo Zagreb1861233%84.186.3-2.2
11 Cedevita Junior1651131%80.983.1-2.1
12 GKK Sibenka1831517%73.383.8-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor1616162371
Alkar2318142277
← all games of the day
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