PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zadar vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-67
24-17 24-17 22-13 14-20
Position#1
Record12-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game71.0
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#4
Record8-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game87.6
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 15· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Other2025-26
Meetings · Zadar v Samobor
27 Sep 2026
ZAD81
SAMO59
09 Jan 2026
ZAD84
SAMO67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Vienna Basket
#17
W
98-78
98
78
+20
91avg 78
H05/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
85-63
85
63
+22
82avg 78
A07/12
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#8
L
89-90
89
90
-1
87avg 78
A12/12
ABA League
Alkar
#9
W
83-49
83
49
+34
82avg 78
H14/12
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
69avg 78
H19/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
88-68
88
68
+20
83avg 78
H22/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
69-79
69
79
-10
66avg 78
A27/12
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
75-76
75
76
-1
68avg 78
A29/12
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
L
85-93 OT
85
93
-8
73avg 78
A02/01
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
87-55
87
55
+32
82avg 78
H05/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
12-11
20-30
36-18
19-19
20-20
20-13
26-11
20-16
19-31
27-15
23-28
23-10
27-14
13-12
20-13
22-11
20-21
15-17
17-20
23-15
18-23
16-11
31-19
26-17
7-24
23-14
13-24
21-20
21-22
18-14
15-20
17-17
25-23
21-20
14-17
19-12
22-15
22-7
24-21
155.3Avg total
83.3Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)87.471.0158.4+16.486%
Season at home (7)88.764.7153.4+24.0100%
Season away (7)86.077.3163.3+8.771%
Last 10 (10)83.372.0155.3+11.360%
Last 5 (5)80.874.2155.0+6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.391.3172.7-10.033%
vs Similar (10)76.372.8149.1+3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.273.1160.4+14.176%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
90-89
90
89
+1
88avg 84
A26/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
103-63
103
63
+40
107avg 84
H02/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
77avg 84
A09/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
87-85
87
85
+2
77avg 84
H16/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
82-97
82
97
-15
72avg 84
A23/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
110-106 OT
110
106
+4
112avg 84
A07/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
85-88
85
88
-3
75avg 84
A13/12
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
86-122
86
122
-36
74avg 84
H19/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
80-70
80
70
+10
72avg 84
A27/12
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
89-84
89
84
+5
83avg 84
H03/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
21-18
24-27
23-19
26-19
23-16
17-16
37-12
16-18
27-14
14-19
22-25
24-16
17-28
18-22
28-19
26-19
25-26
19-21
12-31
29-18
29-27
14-31
25-21
22-26
23-21
23-21
17-20
27-29
25-26
18-26
16-41
16-18
21-17
23-17
20-18
9-16
28-19
22-18
30-31
177.1Avg total
89.1Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)87.087.6174.6-0.657%
Season at home (6)90.290.5180.7-0.367%
Season away (8)84.685.5170.1-0.950%
Last 10 (10)89.188.0177.1+1.170%
Last 5 (5)90.094.0184.0-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)79.898.2178.0-18.50%
vs Similar (10)87.477.3164.7+10.180%
vs Weaker (16)89.384.2173.5+5.175%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
ZadarSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vienna Basket
#17
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H05/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A07/12
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A12/12
ABA League
Alkar
#9
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H14/12
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A27/12
Premijer liga
Spartak Subotica
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A29/12
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A02/01
ABA League
Zabok
#7
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H05/01
Premijer liga
77.1Avg total
41.1Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.178.7+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.234.476.6+7.879%-
Last 30 away (16)41.139.480.4+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)41.136.077.1+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.677.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.743.786.3-1.067%-
vs Similar (10)39.537.677.1+1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.635.678.2+7.171%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A26/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H02/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A09/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H16/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A23/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A07/12
Premijer liga
Kvarner
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A13/12
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H19/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A27/12
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H03/01
Premijer liga
87.2Avg total
45.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.542.486.9+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.342.485.7+0.946%-
Last 30 away (17)45.442.487.8+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)45.641.687.2+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.843.489.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.848.289.0-7.525%-
vs Similar (10)42.738.581.2+4.260%-
vs Weaker (16)46.643.389.9+3.250%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.6
54.2%
53.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.6
33.3%
34.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.316.5
74.0%
74.3%16.5
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.6
50.1%
53.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.510.5
42.9%
34.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws22.317.4
78.0%
74.3%17.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WLLLWWWLWW
Samobor
WWLLWLWWWW
#1
League position
#4
+15.6
Net rating
+0.9
111.6
Offensive rating
111.3
96.0
Defensive rating
110.4
52.3%
Effective FG%
55.6%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
16.2%
Turnover %
20.1%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.3%
3-point %
42.9%
62.1%
Assist %
66.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 111.3Defence96.0 · 110.4Shooting52.3% · 55.6%3-point %33.3% · 42.9%Ball care16.2% · 20.1%Off. rebounds31.0% · 28.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Zadar   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zadar wins
0
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
17/10/25Samobor v Zadar80-99
16/12/24Samobor v Zadar55-87
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/26HZabok87-55
02/01/26AKK Bosna85-93 OT
29/12/25ASpartak Subotica75-76
27/12/25AKvarner69-79
22/12/25HCibona88-68
19/12/25HPerspektiva Ilirija74-69
14/12/25HAlkar83-49
12/12/25AMega Basket89-90
07/12/25ACedevita Junior85-63
05/12/25HVienna Basket98-78
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HDubrovnik89-84
27/12/25AZabok80-70
19/12/25HSplit86-122
13/12/25AKvarner85-88
07/12/25ADinamo Zagreb110-106 OT
23/11/25ACibona82-97
16/11/25HGKK Sibenka87-85
09/11/25AAlkar79-76
02/11/25HDubrava103-63
26/10/25ACedevita Junior90-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%100%71%
Points / game87.488.786.0
Allowed / game71.064.777.3
Point differential+16.4+24.0+8.7
Avg total158.4153.4163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Samobor
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game87.090.284.6
Allowed / game87.690.585.5
Point differential-0.6-0.3-0.9
Avg total174.6180.7170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Split1312192%93.881.5+12.3
2 Zadar1412286%87.471.0+16.4
3 Zabok148657%80.380.1+0.1
4 Samobor148657%87.087.6-0.6
5 Cibona147750%82.580.1+2.4
6 Alkar147750%71.377.3-6.0
7 Kvarner146843%77.279.6-2.4
8 Dubrava146843%80.986.1-5.3
9 Dubrovnik135838%75.580.4-4.9
10 Dinamo Zagreb145936%85.684.7+0.9
11 Cedevita Junior1441029%81.184.2-3.1
12 GKK Sibenka1431121%75.084.3-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar2424221484
Samobor1717132067
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.