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Samobor vs Zadar Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record1-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game67.0
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 12· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2026-27
Meetings · Samobor v Zadar
18 Dec 2026
SAMO v ZAD
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
SAMO84
ZAD88
17 Oct 2025
SAMO80
ZAD99
16 Dec 2024
SAMO55
ZAD87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#23
L
83-103
83
103
-20
71avg 75
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
45avg 75
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#23
L
65-98
65
98
-33
59avg 75
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#8
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
74avg 75
H04/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
64-73
64
73
-9
56avg 75
H09/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 75
A17/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
66avg 75
H23/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 75
A31/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
H07/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A14/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
24-24
17-27
17-24
14-24
20-13
15-26
10-18
16-18
19-20
11-29
19-31
17-21
22-16
16-26
29-21
21-23
11-22
21-13
11-15
16-21
14-14
21-13
21-31
27-25
23-16
16-21
12-27
31-20
21-14
20-27
25-28
24-24
15-23
17-18
21-17
21-26
13-28
18-17
23-12
163.3Avg total
76.1Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.683.9160.5-7.212%
Season at home (4)77.584.8162.2-7.20%
Season away (4)75.883.0158.8-7.225%
Last 10 (10)76.187.2163.3-11.110%
Last 5 (5)79.884.4164.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.589.3166.8-11.70%
vs Similar (9)82.681.0163.6+1.644%
vs Weaker (10)89.282.2171.4+7.070%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
84avg 79
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
63-78
63
78
-15
47avg 79
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 79
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
87-61
87
61
+26
77avg 79
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
95-70
95
70
+25
84avg 79
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
105-71
105
71
+34
108avg 79
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
51-67
51
67
-16
no box
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
109-80
109
80
+29
no box
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H14/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-10
21-12
21-18
18-16
21-22
13-18
14-21
15-17
16-24
18-19
23-14
27-16
26-17
21-15
19-17
21-12
26-16
14-19
27-12
28-23
14-16
30-15
29-18
32-22
21-16
17-19
20-23
17-31
13-12
16-17
9-14
13-24
28-19
29-23
26-22
26-16
27-23
26-10
11-16
17-25
155.6Avg total
83.7Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.367.0161.3+27.3100%
Season at home (3)92.366.7159.0+25.7100%
Season away (4)95.867.2163.0+28.5100%
Last 10 (10)83.771.9155.6+11.870%
Last 5 (5)84.276.2160.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.081.5159.5-3.550%
vs Similar (5)67.274.8142.0-7.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.170.4157.5+16.778%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
SamoborZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#23
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Zadar
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Premijer liga
BC Prievidza
#23
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Alkar
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H04/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H09/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A17/10
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H23/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A31/10
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/11
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A14/11
Premijer liga
81.4Avg total
39.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.484.4-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.443.488.8+2.153%-
Last 30 away (13)37.441.278.6-3.815%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.081.4-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.283.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.243.684.8-2.527%-
vs Similar (9)41.142.283.3-1.122%-
vs Weaker (10)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
48-22
48
22
+26
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/11
ABA League
76.6Avg total
42.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.676.9+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.734.278.9+10.593%-
Last 30 away (16)38.436.875.2+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.434.276.6+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.234.078.2+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.534.079.5+11.5100%-
vs Similar (5)32.036.468.4-4.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.035.578.6+7.578%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.6
48.7%
54.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.8
31.0%
34.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.115.1
75.1%
71.7%15.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.4
58.5%
54.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.5
34.7%
34.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
71.7%12.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
LLWLLLLLLL
Zadar
WWLLWWWWLW
#12
League position
#1
-12.7
Net rating
+21.3
86.4
Offensive rating
102.8
99.1
Defensive rating
81.5
47.8%
Effective FG%
55.5%
59.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
18.8%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.0%
3-point %
34.7%
61.7%
Assist %
60.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence86.4 · 102.8Defence99.1 · 81.5Shooting47.8% · 55.5%3-point %31.0% · 34.7%Ball care18.8% · 13.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Samobor   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Samobor wins
5
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
27/09/26Zadar v Samobor81-59
29/04/26Samobor v Zadar84-88
09/01/26Zadar v Samobor84-67
17/10/25Samobor v Zadar80-99
16/12/24Samobor v Zadar55-87
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ADinamo Zagreb75-83
07/11/26HSplit77-82
31/10/26ACedevita Junior97-89
23/10/26HSkrljevo78-89
17/10/26AZabok72-79
09/10/26HCibona64-73
04/10/26HAlkar91-95 OT
30/09/26ABC Prievidza65-98
27/09/26AZadar59-81
23/09/26HBC Prievidza83-103
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPartizan81-74
09/11/26HKvarner109-80
05/11/26ASpartak Subotica51-67
02/11/26ADubai75-89
30/10/26ADubrovnik105-71
25/10/26HPerspektiva Ilirija95-70
23/10/26HDinamo Zagreb87-61
18/10/26ASplit84-73
16/10/26AVienna Basket63-78
12/10/26ACedevita Junior87-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%0%25%
Points / game76.677.575.8
Allowed / game83.984.883.0
Point differential-7.2-7.2-7.2
Avg total160.5162.2158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.392.395.8
Allowed / game67.066.767.2
Point differential+27.3+25.7+28.5
Avg total161.3159.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar770100%94.367.0+27.3
2 Cibona880100%90.976.1+14.8
3 Split86275%81.976.1+5.8
4 Dinamo Zagreb85362%77.281.2-4.0
5 Kvarner74357%88.983.9+5.0
6 Skrljevo84450%83.283.6-0.4
7 Cedevita Junior84450%79.888.9-9.1
8 Alkar72529%80.782.7-2.0
9 Zabok82625%77.683.0-5.4
10 Dubrovnik82625%77.889.5-11.8
11 Dubrava71614%74.685.0-10.4
12 Samobor81712%76.683.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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