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San Antonio Spurs vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record6-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game109.5
vs
Position#2
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game123.4
Allowed / game110.0
USANBA· Frost Bank Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Boston Celtics
29 Nov 2026
SAS v BOS
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
SAS125
BOS116
29 Mar 2025
SAS111
BOS121
31 Dec 2023
SAS101
BOS134
07 Jan 2023
SAS116
BOS121
26 Nov 2021
SAS96
BOS88
27 Jan 2021
SAS110
BOS106
09 Nov 2019
SAS115
BOS135
31 Dec 2018
SAS120
BOS111
08 Dec 2017
SAS105
BOS102
05 Jul 2017
SAS81
BOS70
14 Dec 2016
SAS108
BOS101
07 Jul 2016
SAS86
BOS87
05 Dec 2015
SAS108
BOS105
09 Jul 2015
SAS71
BOS85
20 Mar 2015
SAS101
BOS89
20 Nov 2013
SAS104
BOS93
15 Dec 2012
SAS103
BOS88
31 Mar 2011
SAS97
BOS107
03 Dec 2009
SAS83
BOS90
20 Mar 2009
SAS77
BOS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
98-102
98
102
-4
74avg 111
A11/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
109-119
109
119
-10
58avg 111
A13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
123-103
123
103
+20
92avg 111
H15/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
126-97
126
97
+29
102avg 111
H17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
104-116
104
116
-12
88avg 111
H21/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
110-114
110
114
-4
97avg 111
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#18
W
122-106
122
106
+16
109avg 111
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
130-103
130
103
+27
127avg 111
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
109avg 111
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
121-111
121
111
+10
116avg 111
H01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-35
26-23
22-27
25-17
26-33
35-35
17-31
31-20
22-23
38-26
32-26
31-28
42-18
29-19
30-35
25-25
28-34
16-31
36-28
24-23
27-32
32-29
22-24
29-29
32-31
36-29
24-29
30-17
39-29
41-25
27-26
23-23
22-32
29-23
34-30
20-20
34-28
26-33
33-27
28-23
224.2Avg total
116.0Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)116.0109.5225.5+6.555%
Season at home (7)118.6109.6228.1+9.057%
Season away (4)111.5109.5221.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)116.0108.2224.2+7.860%
Last 5 (5)120.0109.0229.0+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)110.0114.0224.0-4.00%
vs Similar (14)109.7108.5218.2+1.243%
vs Weaker (15)117.8105.3223.1+12.567%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
100-109
100
109
-9
84avg 107
H02/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
W
124-113
124
113
+11
90avg 107
A08/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
W
144-106
144
106
+38
136avg 107
H11/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#24
W
114-93
114
93
+21
102avg 107
H14/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
W
125-120 OT
125
120
+5
77avg 107
A16/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
113-121
113
121
-8
104avg 107
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
W
107-103
107
103
+4
96avg 107
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
134-99
134
99
+35
127avg 107
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
119avg 107
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
125-111
125
111
+14
118avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
31-23
25-33
25-21
32-29
39-33
28-34
25-17
24-20
39-22
41-27
40-37
28-20
26-24
31-33
29-16
34-28
24-32
26-34
31-21
28-27
30-18
30-37
25-39
26-27
24-22
33-24
24-30
33-21
33-33
39-21
29-24
26-31
30-30
30-21
31-35
44-25
34-24
21-25
26-37
231.0Avg total
121.1Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)123.4110.0233.4+13.489%
Season at home (6)124.8106.0230.8+18.8100%
Season away (3)120.7118.0238.7+2.767%
Last 10 (10)121.1109.9231.0+11.280%
Last 5 (5)120.8111.6232.4+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)113.0105.5218.5+7.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)117.3107.7225.0+9.673%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
San Antonio SpursBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A11/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H15/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
71-37
71
37
+34
H17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
44-65
44
65
-21
H21/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#18
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H01/11
NBA
117.3Avg total
60.5Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.153.5111.6+4.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.750.1107.8+7.665%-
Last 30 away (13)58.558.0116.5+0.538%-
Last 10 (10)60.556.8117.3+3.740%-
Last 5 (5)63.658.2121.8+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)59.061.0120.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (14)56.353.9110.1+2.457%-
vs Weaker (15)59.752.7112.3+7.053%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H02/05
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A08/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H11/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#24
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H14/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A16/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A20/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#27
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H30/10
NBA
112.5Avg total
60.4Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.152.5111.5+6.660%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.152.3110.4+5.856%-
Last 30 away (12)60.552.8113.2+7.867%-
Last 10 (10)60.452.1112.5+8.370%-
Last 5 (5)61.651.6113.2+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)55.054.2109.2+0.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)59.752.2111.9+7.565%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 114.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.427.5
52.5%
54.0%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.912.9
34.0%
34.8%38.7
🏀 Free throws26.420.9
79.2%
76.3%20.9
They take 90.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.126.4
53.8%
54.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.415.6
35.1%
34.8%46.8
🏀 Free throws25.018.3
73.2%
76.3%18.3
They take 93.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWWWLLWWLL
Boston Celtics
WWWWLWWWWL
#12
League position
#2
+3.9
Net rating
+7.6
101.4
Offensive rating
105.3
97.5
Defensive rating
97.7
51.9%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
14.9%
Turnover %
13.0%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.0%
3-point %
35.1%
63.6%
Assist %
65.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence101.4 · 105.3Defence97.5 · 97.7Shooting51.9% · 53.3%3-point %34.0% · 35.1%Ball care14.9% · 13.0%Off. rebounds22.3% · 21.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HMinnesota Timberwolves121-111
29/10/26AUtah Jazz117-111 OT
28/10/26HSacramento Kings130-103
25/10/26ADallas Mavericks122-106
24/10/26HHouston Rockets110-114
21/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder104-116
17/10/26HSacramento Kings126-97
15/10/26HPhoenix Suns123-103
13/10/26AUtah Jazz109-119
11/10/26APhoenix Suns98-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HChicago Bulls125-111
27/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-124 OT
26/10/26HChicago Bulls134-99
23/10/26HNew York Knicks107-103
20/10/26ADetroit Pistons113-121
16/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers125-120 OT
14/10/26HCharlotte Hornets114-93
11/10/26HPhiladelphia 76ers144-106
08/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers124-113
02/05/26HPhiladelphia 76ers100-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW55%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %55%57%50%
Points / game116.0118.6111.5
Allowed / game109.5109.6109.5
Point differential+6.5+9.0+2.0
Avg total225.5228.1221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%25%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %89%100%67%
Points / game123.4124.8120.7
Allowed / game110.0106.0118.0
Point differential+13.4+18.8+2.7
Avg total233.4230.8238.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %22%17%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies109190%119.7107.9+11.8
2 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
3 Houston Rockets108280%121.1109.6+11.5
4 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%119.2111.2+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers117464%110.5110.4+0.1
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
9 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.9116.2+2.8
10 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.3117.4+1.9
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 San Antonio Spurs116555%116.0109.5+6.5
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%118.2113.1+5.2
15 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
16 New Orleans Pelicans105550%116.0114.8+1.2
17 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
18 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%108.0111.5-3.5
21 Utah Jazz104640%110.5115.2-4.7
22 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
23 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
24 Charlotte Hornets114736%97.6108.1-10.5
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks113827%111.4123.3-11.9
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings110110%106.4123.5-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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