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San Antonio Spurs vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game119.2
Allowed / game108.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#2
Record10-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game103.1
USANBA· Frost Bank Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Boston Celtics
29 Nov 2026
SAS v BOS
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
SAS125
BOS116
29 Mar 2025
SAS111
BOS121
31 Dec 2023
SAS101
BOS134
07 Jan 2023
SAS116
BOS121
26 Nov 2021
SAS96
BOS88
27 Jan 2021
SAS110
BOS106
09 Nov 2019
SAS115
BOS135
31 Dec 2018
SAS120
BOS111
08 Dec 2017
SAS105
BOS102
14 Dec 2016
SAS108
BOS101
05 Dec 2015
SAS108
BOS105
20 Mar 2015
SAS101
BOS89
20 Nov 2013
SAS104
BOS93
15 Dec 2012
SAS103
BOS88
31 Mar 2011
SAS97
BOS107
03 Dec 2009
SAS83
BOS90
20 Mar 2009
SAS77
BOS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
122-106
122
106
+16
109avg 111
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
130-103
130
103
+27
127avg 111
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
109avg 111
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
W
121-111
121
111
+10
116avg 111
H01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
119-97
119
97
+22
108avg 111
H03/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
112-111
112
111
+1
102avg 111
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
124-109
124
109
+15
123avg 111
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
125-103
125
103
+22
122avg 111
A08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
122-96
122
96
+26
124avg 111
A10/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
124-119
124
119
+5
112avg 111
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-31
36-29
24-29
30-17
39-29
41-25
27-26
23-23
22-32
29-23
34-30
20-20
34-28
26-33
33-27
28-23
27-16
32-33
35-20
25-28
32-26
36-25
22-29
22-31
38-29
37-27
24-24
25-29
22-20
42-29
45-27
16-27
31-25
30-21
32-22
29-28
29-41
27-29
34-19
34-30
228.2Avg total
121.6Scored
106.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)119.2108.0227.2+11.283%
Season at home (6)116.0108.7224.7+7.367%
Season away (6)122.3107.3229.7+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)121.6106.6228.2+15.0100%
Last 5 (5)121.4107.6229.0+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)110.3107.5217.9+2.847%
vs Weaker (15)119.9106.3226.2+13.580%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
134-99
134
99
+35
127avg 107
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
119avg 107
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
125-111
125
111
+14
118avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
108-97
108
97
+11
103avg 107
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
93-109
93
109
-16
78avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
109-102
109
102
+7
102avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
119-80
119
80
+39
123avg 107
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
117-97
117
97
+20
109avg 107
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
123-101
123
101
+22
117avg 107
A11/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
98-93
98
93
+5
95avg 107
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
33-33
39-21
29-24
26-31
30-30
30-21
31-35
44-25
34-24
21-25
26-37
24-23
31-27
22-24
31-23
29-29
21-28
23-25
20-27
28-14
34-27
25-38
22-23
40-20
30-19
26-18
23-23
25-27
33-18
33-29
26-23
30-23
32-28
29-31
32-19
29-38
25-23
21-19
23-13
216.4Avg total
115.1Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)114.2103.1217.3+11.283%
Season at home (5)120.0107.8227.8+12.2100%
Season away (7)110.199.7209.9+10.471%
Last 10 (10)115.1101.3216.4+13.890%
Last 5 (5)113.294.6207.8+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)109.7108.7218.3+1.050%
vs Weaker (24)115.6104.3219.9+11.279%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +6.2+6.2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
San Antonio SpursBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H03/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
75-56
75
56
+19
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A10/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A12/11
NBA
119.3Avg total
64.2Scored
55.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.353.6111.8+4.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.250.5106.7+5.760%-
Last 30 away (15)60.356.6116.9+3.753%-
Last 10 (10)64.255.1119.3+9.170%-
Last 5 (5)64.854.4119.2+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)56.153.5109.6+2.753%-
vs Weaker (15)60.453.7114.1+6.760%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
70-39
70
39
+31
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A11/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A12/11
NBA
111.9Avg total
61.1Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.252.0111.1+7.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.953.3112.2+5.753%-
Last 30 away (15)59.450.7110.1+8.767%-
Last 10 (10)61.150.8111.9+10.370%-
Last 5 (5)61.247.4108.6+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)54.753.2107.8+1.533%-
vs Weaker (24)60.351.7112.0+8.667%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.928.3
51.5%
54.0%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.512.3
32.8%
35.0%36.9
🏀 Free throws24.319.6
80.7%
76.8%19.6
They take 92.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 110.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.123.6
53.5%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.215.0
34.7%
35.0%45.0
🏀 Free throws24.118.1
75.1%
76.8%18.1
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWWWWWWWWW
Boston Celtics
WWWWWLWWWW
#3
League position
#2
+3.8
Net rating
+4.2
109.7
Offensive rating
109.8
105.9
Defensive rating
105.6
50.6%
Effective FG%
52.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
11.7%
Turnover %
13.4%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.8%
3-point %
34.7%
62.1%
Assist %
65.3%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 109.8Defence105.9 · 105.6Shooting50.6% · 52.8%3-point %32.8% · 34.7%Ball care11.7% · 13.4%Off. rebounds27.4% · 24.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)100% · 90%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AChicago Bulls124-119
10/11/26APhoenix Suns122-96
08/11/26APortland Trail Blazers125-103
07/11/26ASacramento Kings124-109
05/11/26HDallas Mavericks112-111
03/11/26HUtah Jazz119-97
01/11/26HMinnesota Timberwolves121-111
29/10/26AUtah Jazz117-111 OT
28/10/26HSacramento Kings130-103
25/10/26ADallas Mavericks122-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AToronto Raptors98-93
11/11/26APhiladelphia 76ers123-101
09/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks117-97
07/11/26ACharlotte Hornets119-80
05/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks109-102
03/11/26AHouston Rockets93-109
01/11/26AOrlando Magic108-97
30/10/26HChicago Bulls125-111
27/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-124 OT
26/10/26HChicago Bulls134-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game119.2116.0122.3
Allowed / game108.0108.7107.3
Point differential+11.2+7.3+15.0
Avg total227.2224.7229.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %83%100%71%
Points / game114.2120.0110.1
Allowed / game103.1107.899.7
Point differential+11.2+12.2+10.4
Avg total217.3227.8209.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers118373%119.5112.3+7.3
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder128467%111.1106.9+4.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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