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San Antonio Spurs vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 125-116
29-31 29-27 39-32 28-26
Position#2
Record45-17
FormLWWWW
Points / game118.5
Allowed / game111.4
vs
Position#5
Record43-21
FormWWLWW
Points / game114.5
Allowed / game106.9
USANBA· Frost Bank Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Boston Celtics
29 Nov 2026
SAS v BOS
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
SAS125
BOS116
29 Mar 2025
SAS111
BOS121
31 Dec 2023
SAS101
BOS134
07 Jan 2023
SAS116
BOS121
26 Nov 2021
SAS96
BOS88
27 Jan 2021
SAS110
BOS106
09 Nov 2019
SAS115
BOS135
31 Dec 2018
SAS120
BOS111
08 Dec 2017
SAS105
BOS102
14 Dec 2016
SAS108
BOS101
05 Dec 2015
SAS108
BOS105
20 Mar 2015
SAS101
BOS89
20 Nov 2013
SAS104
BOS93
15 Dec 2012
SAS103
BOS88
31 Mar 2011
SAS97
BOS107
03 Dec 2009
SAS83
BOS90
20 Mar 2009
SAS77
BOS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
121-94
121
94
+27
123avg 111
H20/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
139-122
139
122
+17
138avg 111
H22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
114-103
114
103
+11
105avg 111
A24/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
110-107
110
107
+3
101avg 111
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
126-110
126
110
+16
125avg 111
A27/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
89-114
89
114
-25
84avg 111
A01/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
131-91
131
91
+40
140avg 111
A04/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
121-106
121
106
+15
116avg 111
H06/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
116-112
116
112
+4
111avg 111
H07/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
145-120
145
120
+25
144avg 111
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
31-24
37-22
23-23
35-31
38-34
32-29
34-28
24-27
33-28
26-20
31-28
30-29
27-30
21-31
32-17
36-22
35-34
33-28
22-26
21-22
20-29
28-29
20-34
32-25
46-28
35-11
18-27
38-23
33-32
22-30
28-21
25-32
21-34
35-26
35-20
32-33
37-24
41-37
35-26
229.1Avg total
121.2Scored
107.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (62)118.5111.4229.9+7.173%
Season at home (30)120.1111.3231.3+8.880%
Season away (32)117.1111.6228.6+5.566%
Last 10 (10)121.2107.9229.1+13.390%
Last 5 (5)120.4108.6229.0+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)110.6108.4219.0+2.260%
vs Weaker (20)120.2108.5228.8+11.780%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
121-110
121
110
+11
126avg 105
A20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
111-89
111
89
+22
113avg 105
A22/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
97-81
97
81
+16
93avg 105
A25/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
84-103
84
103
-19
72avg 105
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
148-111
148
111
+37
158avg 105
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
114-98
114
98
+16
114avg 105
H02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
108-81
108
81
+27
105avg 105
A03/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
89-118
89
118
-29
80avg 105
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
120-100
120
100
+20
117avg 105
H07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
109-98
109
98
+11
106avg 105
A08/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-32
38-19
28-22
19-37
28-28
32-22
24-21
27-18
21-26
29-20
30-11
17-24
24-21
24-26
19-30
17-26
35-32
31-25
43-26
39-28
26-28
36-22
27-33
25-15
30-20
27-23
26-22
25-16
23-35
20-29
25-27
21-27
21-22
37-31
32-27
30-20
35-26
21-10
30-33
23-29
209.0Avg total
110.1Scored
98.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)114.5106.9221.3+7.667%
Season at home (31)114.6107.5222.1+7.068%
Season away (33)114.3106.2220.6+8.167%
Last 10 (10)110.198.9209.0+11.280%
Last 5 (5)108.099.0207.0+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)97.7106.1203.9-8.414%
vs Weaker (23)114.5101.4215.9+13.187%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
San Antonio SpursBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H20/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H22/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
57-55
57
55
+2
A24/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
71-56
71
56
+15
A27/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A01/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
78-53
78
53
+25
A04/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H06/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
46-66
46
66
-20
H07/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H09/03
NBA
119.0Avg total
62.4Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.656.0117.6+5.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.656.1118.7+6.471%-
Last 30 away (16)60.855.8116.6+4.956%-
Last 10 (10)62.456.6119.0+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)61.056.4117.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)58.456.9115.3+1.550%-
vs Weaker (20)63.255.5118.7+7.770%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
74-51
74
51
+23
A20/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A22/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A25/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A26/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A03/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
43-64
43
64
-21
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A08/03
NBA
107.1Avg total
57.4Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.250.4107.6+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.451.2108.6+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)56.949.5106.4+7.479%-
Last 10 (10)57.449.7107.1+7.790%-
Last 5 (5)55.249.2104.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)51.054.3105.3-3.343%-
vs Weaker (23)59.049.2108.3+9.883%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 121.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.828.6
57.4%
54.8%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.015.6
40.0%
35.8%46.8
🏀 Free throws22.817.2
75.4%
78.1%17.2
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 110.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.124.8
53.8%
54.8%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.115.5
36.8%
35.8%46.5
🏀 Free throws16.914.0
82.8%
78.1%14.0
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
WWWWLWWWWW
Boston Celtics
WWLWWWLWWW
#2
League position
#5
+13.1
Net rating
+11.9
119.1
Offensive rating
116.9
106.0
Defensive rating
105.0
58.6%
Effective FG%
54.5%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
12.3%
Turnover %
12.2%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.19
40.0%
3-point %
36.8%
70.1%
Assist %
68.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence119.1 · 116.9Defence106.0 · 105.0Shooting58.6% · 54.5%3-point %40.0% · 36.8%Ball care12.3% · 12.2%Off. rebounds23.9% · 31.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/26HHouston Rockets145-120
07/03/26HLos Angeles Clippers116-112
06/03/26HDetroit Pistons121-106
04/03/26APhiladelphia 76ers131-91
01/03/26ANew York Knicks89-114
27/02/26ABrooklyn Nets126-110
26/02/26AToronto Raptors110-107
24/02/26ADetroit Pistons114-103
22/02/26HSacramento Kings139-122
20/02/26HPhoenix Suns121-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26ACleveland Cavaliers109-98
07/03/26HDallas Mavericks120-100
05/03/26HCharlotte Hornets89-118
03/03/26AMilwaukee Bucks108-81
02/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers114-98
28/02/26HBrooklyn Nets148-111
26/02/26ADenver Nuggets84-103
25/02/26APhoenix Suns97-81
22/02/26ALos Angeles Lakers111-89
20/02/26AGolden State Warriors121-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWWLW66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games623032
Win %73%80%66%
Points / game118.5120.1117.1
Allowed / game111.4111.3111.6
Point differential+7.1+8.8+5.5
Avg total229.9231.3228.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%53%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (18)50% (6)58% (12)
Overtime %2%0%3%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWLW68%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643133
Win %67%68%67%
Points / game114.5114.6114.3
Allowed / game106.9107.5106.2
Point differential+7.6+7.0+8.1
Avg total221.3222.1220.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%42%48%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)43% (7)50% (10)
Overtime %2%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder64501478%118.6108.1+10.5
2 San Antonio Spurs62451773%118.5111.4+7.1
3 Detroit Pistons64461872%117.0109.6+7.4
4 Boston Celtics64432167%114.5106.9+7.6
5 Minnesota Timberwolves64402462%118.6114.5+4.2
6 Houston Rockets63392462%114.6109.9+4.7
7 Los Angeles Lakers63392462%115.8114.8+1.1
8 Cleveland Cavaliers65402562%118.7114.6+4.2
9 New York Knicks64392561%116.7110.9+5.8
10 Denver Nuggets65392660%120.3116.6+3.6
11 Phoenix Suns63372659%112.4110.6+1.9
12 Toronto Raptors62362658%113.9111.6+2.3
13 Miami Heat65372857%120.8116.7+4.1
14 Orlando Magic61342756%115.0113.4+1.6
15 Philadelphia 76ers65353054%115.9116.3-0.3
16 Atlanta Hawks65343152%117.8117.2+0.6
17 Golden State Warriors64323250%115.1114.0+1.1
18 Los Angeles Clippers64323250%112.8112.3+0.5
19 Charlotte Hornets65323349%115.9112.5+3.4
20 Portland Trail Blazers65313448%115.3118.0-2.6
21 Milwaukee Bucks63273643%111.1115.8-4.7
22 Chicago Bulls64263841%115.4119.8-4.4
23 Memphis Grizzlies64234136%115.9118.3-2.4
24 Dallas Mavericks65214432%113.0117.8-4.9
25 New Orleans Pelicans66214532%115.5120.2-4.7
26 Utah Jazz65204531%117.4124.9-7.5
27 Brooklyn Nets65174826%107.0115.9-8.9
28 Washington Wizards64164825%112.6123.7-11.1
29 Indiana Pacers64154923%111.4120.0-8.6
30 Sacramento Kings65155023%110.6121.1-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs29293928125
Boston Celtics31273226116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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