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Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 100-102
24-26 21-26 33-19 22-31
Position#3
Record21-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game113.1
Allowed / game105.8
vs
Position#2
Record22-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game104.1
Allowed / game97.8
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Houston Rockets v San Antonio Spurs
16 Mar 2027
HOU v SAS
upcoming
05 Mar 2027
HOU v SAS
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
HOU99
SAS111
20 Jan 2026
HOU111
SAS106
26 Feb 2025
HOU118
SAS106
06 Nov 2024
HOU127
SAS100
05 Mar 2024
HOU114
SAS101
11 Dec 2023
HOU93
SAS82
05 Mar 2023
HOU142
SAS110
19 Dec 2022
HOU105
SAS124
28 Mar 2022
HOU120
SAS123
25 Jan 2022
HOU104
SAS134
06 Feb 2021
HOU106
SAS111
17 Dec 2020
HOU128
SAS106
15 Dec 2020
HOU112
SAS98
08 Apr 2020
HOU v SAS
upcoming
16 Dec 2019
HOU109
SAS107
22 Mar 2019
HOU111
SAS105
22 Dec 2018
HOU108
SAS101
12 Mar 2018
HOU109
SAS93
15 Dec 2017
HOU124
SAS109
11 May 2017
HOU75
SAS114
07 May 2017
HOU125
SAS104
05 May 2017
HOU92
SAS103
20 Dec 2016
HOU100
SAS102
12 Nov 2016
HOU100
SAS106
27 Feb 2016
HOU94
SAS104
25 Dec 2015
HOU88
SAS84
10 Apr 2015
HOU103
SAS104
06 Nov 2014
HOU98
SAS81
14 Apr 2014
HOU104
SAS98
28 Jan 2014
HOU97
SAS90
24 Mar 2013
HOU96
SAS95
10 Dec 2012
HOU126
SAS134
21 Jan 2012
HOU105
SAS102
29 Dec 2011
HOU105
SAS85
17 Dec 2011
HOU101
SAS87
01 Apr 2011
HOU119
SAS114
12 Mar 2011
HOU107
SAS115
26 Feb 2010
HOU109
SAS104
27 Nov 2009
HOU84
SAS92
14 Mar 2009
HOU85
SAS88
29 Nov 2008
HOU103
SAS84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
132-127 OT
132
127
+5
119avg 100
A02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
128-110
128
110
+18
121avg 100
A03/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
107-106
107
106
+1
103avg 100
H06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
134-95
134
95
+39
138avg 100
H08/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
102-99
102
99
+3
92avg 100
A10/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
109-87
109
87
+22
115avg 100
H11/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
122-118
122
118
+4
105avg 100
H13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
132-98
132
98
+34
142avg 100
H15/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
122-100
122
100
+22
118avg 100
H17/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
99avg 100
A18/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-30
32-29
22-23
27-31
42-33
31-30
26-21
29-26
26-17
32-31
19-35
30-23
43-27
24-28
39-22
28-18
25-23
30-26
31-28
16-22
36-27
24-22
26-20
23-18
29-24
24-19
37-42
32-33
36-25
28-18
38-24
30-31
35-24
37-26
25-29
25-21
28-24
16-33
23-23
28-15
224.8Avg total
119.9Scored
104.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)113.1105.8218.9+7.375%
Season at home (12)114.4101.3215.8+13.183%
Season away (16)112.1109.1221.2+2.969%
Last 10 (10)119.9104.9224.8+15.0100%
Last 5 (5)119.2102.4221.6+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)102.3120.7223.0-18.333%
vs Similar ◀ (8)107.0110.2217.2-3.250%
vs Weaker (19)114.6102.8217.4+11.884%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
L
83-95
83
95
-12
75avg 98
H30/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
94-87
94
87
+7
87avg 98
A01/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
107-105
107
105
+2
99avg 98
H03/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
97-96
97
96
+1
87avg 98
A06/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
105-91
105
91
+14
100avg 98
A07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
91-95
91
95
-4
74avg 98
A09/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
130-101
130
101
+29
134avg 98
H11/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
108-101
108
101
+7
111avg 98
H15/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
107-92
107
92
+15
108avg 98
A16/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
113-100
113
100
+13
114avg 98
H19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
23-29
21-30
19-20
21-17
22-23
18-26
33-21
24-28
33-32
23-14
27-31
26-24
9-24
36-25
26-23
19-22
24-24
29-18
33-27
17-21
15-24
31-27
28-23
41-26
26-26
36-18
27-31
32-23
24-24
21-26
31-28
23-20
28-23
23-28
33-21
30-26
31-23
31-22
21-29
199.8Avg total
103.5Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)104.197.8201.9+6.381%
Season at home (12)100.697.6198.2+3.067%
Season away (15)106.997.9204.8+8.993%
Last 10 (10)103.596.3199.8+7.280%
Last 5 (5)109.897.8207.6+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)129.0100.0229.0+29.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)96.9103.5200.4-6.625%
vs Weaker (21)104.496.7201.1+7.790%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
Houston RocketsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A02/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A03/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H08/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A10/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H11/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H13/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H15/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H17/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A18/12
NBA
112.6Avg total
61.0Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.454.3112.7+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.050.6108.6+7.469%-
Last 30 away (17)58.757.1115.8+1.665%-
Last 10 (10)61.051.6112.6+9.490%-
Last 5 (5)58.648.4107.0+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.358.0110.3-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)52.553.4105.9-0.950%-
vs Weaker (19)61.854.1115.9+7.779%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H30/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A01/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H03/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A06/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A07/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A09/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H11/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H15/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A16/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H19/12
NBA
96.3Avg total
48.8Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.049.1100.1+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.251.7105.8+2.546%-
Last 30 away (17)48.647.195.7+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)48.847.596.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)53.447.2100.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.046.0110.0+18.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)49.951.8101.6-1.950%-
vs Weaker (21)50.948.299.0+2.748%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 119.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.725.6
54.8%
50.2%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.116.8
39.0%
35.7%50.4
🏀 Free throws25.018.3
73.2%
77.0%18.3
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 103.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.030.3
50.5%
50.2%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.59.0
40.0%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.115.9
79.1%
77.0%15.9
They take 82.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWWWWWWWWW
San Antonio Spurs
WWWWLWWWWL
#3
League position
#2
+14.2
Net rating
+7.5
113.7
Offensive rating
107.5
99.4
Defensive rating
100.0
56.6%
Effective FG%
53.1%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.5%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
39.0%
3-point %
40.0%
65.6%
Assist %
63.9%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 107.5Defence99.4 · 100.0Shooting56.6% · 53.1%3-point %39.0% · 40.0%Ball care14.9% · 14.5%Off. rebounds25.8% · 22.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/16AMinnesota Timberwolves111-109 OT
17/12/16HNew Orleans Pelicans122-100
15/12/16HSacramento Kings132-98
13/12/16HBrooklyn Nets122-118
11/12/16HDallas Mavericks109-87
10/12/16AOklahoma City Thunder102-99
08/12/16HLos Angeles Lakers134-95
06/12/16HBoston Celtics107-106
03/12/16ADenver Nuggets128-110
02/12/16AGolden State Warriors132-127 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/16HNew Orleans Pelicans113-100
16/12/16APhoenix Suns107-92
15/12/16HBoston Celtics108-101
11/12/16HBrooklyn Nets130-101
09/12/16AChicago Bulls91-95
07/12/16AMinnesota Timberwolves105-91
06/12/16AMilwaukee Bucks97-96
03/12/16HWashington Wizards107-105
01/12/16ADallas Mavericks94-87
30/11/16HOrlando Magic83-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %75%83%69%
Points / game113.1114.4112.1
Allowed / game105.8101.3109.1
Point differential+7.3+13.1+2.9
Avg total218.9215.8221.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %7%0%12%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW81%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWWLW93%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %81%67%93%
Points / game104.1100.6106.9
Allowed / game97.897.697.9
Point differential+6.3+3.0+8.9
Avg total201.9198.2204.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2824486%117.9105.0+12.9
2 San Antonio Spurs2722581%104.197.8+6.3
3 Cleveland Cavaliers2519676%110.4102.6+7.7
4 Houston Rockets2821775%113.1105.8+7.3
5 Toronto Raptors2820871%112.3103.0+9.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers2820871%109.6101.6+8.0
7 Utah Jazz28181064%100.294.6+5.6
8 Memphis Grizzlies29181162%96.496.7-0.3
9 Oklahoma City Thunder28161257%106.0104.9+1.0
10 Boston Celtics27151256%104.0102.3+1.7
11 Charlotte Hornets29161355%104.3102.5+1.8
12 New York Knicks28151354%105.3108.0-2.7
13 Milwaukee Bucks25131252%103.8101.9+1.9
14 Chicago Bulls27141352%101.699.3+2.3
15 Indiana Pacers30151550%104.5106.2-1.7
16 Atlanta Hawks28141450%102.6104.4-1.7
17 Detroit Pistons30141647%98.497.4+0.9
18 Portland Trail Blazers29131645%109.4113.0-3.5
19 Washington Wizards27121544%105.3106.4-1.2
20 Orlando Magic30131743%98.1102.8-4.8
21 Denver Nuggets28121643%107.7109.4-1.6
22 Sacramento Kings27101737%101.5104.0-2.5
23 Los Angeles Lakers31112035%104.7110.7-6.1
24 New Orleans Pelicans30102033%102.7106.9-4.1
25 Miami Heat2992031%98.4101.6-3.2
26 Minnesota Timberwolves2781930%104.3106.9-2.6
27 Phoenix Suns2882029%106.4113.1-6.8
28 Brooklyn Nets2772026%106.6114.4-7.8
29 Dallas Mavericks2872125%94.1100.2-6.1
30 Philadelphia 76ers2872125%98.1105.8-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets24213322100
San Antonio Spurs26261931102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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