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San Francisco vs Nevada Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 23 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:30
Projected 75-70
Projected total 145.0
Scheduled
Position#140
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game68.5
Vs
68%
32%
■ SAN 68%■ NEVA 32%
Pythia win probability
Position#210
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · San Francisco v Nevada
23 Nov 2026
SAN v NEVA
upcoming
18 Nov 2021
SAN 73
NEVA70
06 Dec 2020
SAN v NEVA
upcoming
Sections
Game preview & prediction
San Francisco host Nevada in the NCAA. Pythia makes San Francisco the favourite at 68% and projects 75-70, about 145 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. San Francisco are 3-1 this season (71.5 scored, 68.5 allowed a game), form LWWWL; Nevada are 2-2 this season (79.0 scored, 73.2 allowed a game), form LWWLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Francisco win
67.7%fair 1.48
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada win
32.3%fair 3.09
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 07:41 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San FranciscoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A15/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
59-80
59
80
-21
H19/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H22/02
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A28/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A09/03
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Montana
#195
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Portland State
#205
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-41
56-38
29-41
30-39
38-44
35-50
42-35
30-26
29-29
53-36
32-30
45-48
37-30
39-32
45-31
34-39
26-28
37-30
28-47
40-37
147.2Avg total
74.1Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.568.5140.0+3.075%
Season at home (4)71.568.5140.0+3.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.173.1147.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)72.670.4143.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.679.8146.3-13.211%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.175.9152.0+0.357%
vs Weaker (14)76.169.1145.2+6.971%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
80-45
80
45
+35
H11/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A12/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A14/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
86-49
86
49
+37
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#44
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A12/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#73
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-35
37-39
28-49
45-34
32-25
42-34
39-10
41-35
34-40
50-40
32-39
34-40
41-24
45-25
42-35
37-44
24-40
39-36
–
–
150.0Avg total
77.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.073.2152.2+5.850%
Season at home (3)84.372.3156.7+12.067%
Season away (1)63.076.0139.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)77.672.4150.0+5.250%
Last 5 (5)76.474.4150.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.276.4148.6-4.138%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.675.0152.6+2.662%
vs Weaker (9)76.960.9137.8+16.089%
This opponent (San Francisco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 145
Over 145
49.4%
Under 145
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 150
Over 150
37.2%
Under 150
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 155
Over 155
26.4%
Under 155
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

San Francisco total 78.5
Over 78.5
36.8%
Under 78.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Francisco total 82.5
Over 82.5
23.2%
Under 82.5
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
San Francisco total 86.5
Over 86.5
13.0%
Under 86.5
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nevada total 63.5
Over 63.5
73.1%
Under 63.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nevada total 67.5
Over 67.5
58.9%
Under 67.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nevada total 71.5
Over 71.5
43.5%
Under 71.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread San Francisco -3
SAN -3
59.4%
NEVA +3
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
SAN
No market prices yet.
NEVA
No market prices yet.
Spread San Francisco 0
SAN 0
67.7%
NEVA 0
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
SAN
No market prices yet.
NEVA
No market prices yet.
Spread San Francisco +3
SAN +3
75.6%
NEVA -3
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
SAN
No market prices yet.
NEVA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: +4.8+4.8
San FranciscoNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San FranciscoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H19/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A09/03
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Montana
#195
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H11/11
NCAA
Portland State
#205
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H15/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
34.2Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.067.1-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.935.669.5-1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)32.131.863.9+0.246%-
Last 10 (10)34.235.669.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.266.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.338.167.4-8.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.735.372.0+1.457%-
vs Weaker (14)33.830.664.4+3.171%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A04/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
39-10
39
10
+29
H11/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A14/03
NCAA
Robert Morris
#405
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H03/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#105
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/11
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#44
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A12/11
NCAA
67.3Avg total
34.3Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.932.365.2+0.648%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.228.363.5+6.973%-
Last 30 away (14)30.536.667.1-6.121%-
Last 10 (9)34.333.067.3+1.356%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.670.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.034.665.6-3.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.534.567.9-1.062%-
vs Weaker (9)33.727.461.1+6.256%-
This opponent (San Francisco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
San Francisco wins
1
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
28/11/25Nevada v San Francisco81-65
19/11/21San Francisco v Nevada73-70
03/12/20Nevada v San Francisco60-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HPortland State68-84
11/11/26HMontana63-58
07/11/26HNorth Dakota St79-70
03/11/26HRadford76-62
09/03/26AOregon State77-78
08/03/26HPortland82-65
28/02/26APacific72-61
22/02/26HSanta Clara73-94
19/02/26HGonzaga59-80
15/02/26ASan Diego Toreros92-79
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HUtah Valley State71-73
12/11/26AUC Santa Barbara63-76
08/11/26HSt. Marys (CA)96-95 OT
03/11/26HRobert Morris86-49
14/03/26AUtah State66-79
12/03/26AGrand Canyon84-80
11/03/26HAir Force80-45
08/03/26HAir Force74-59
04/03/26AWyoming73-83
01/03/26AUNLV83-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Francisco
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game71.571.5-
Allowed / game68.568.5-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total140.0140.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Nevada
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game79.084.363.0
Allowed / game73.272.376.0
Point differential+5.8+12.0-13.0
Avg total152.2156.7139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon State440100%93.269.5+23.8
2 Santa Clara550100%86.675.0+11.6
3 St. Marys (CA)43175%93.576.5+17.0
4 San Diego Toreros43175%84.275.5+8.8
5 San Francisco43175%71.568.5+3.0
6 Pacific32167%74.753.7+21.0
7 Pepperdine42250%96.070.0+26.0
8 Portland52340%87.093.6-6.6
9 Gonzaga31233%87.075.7+11.3
10 Seattle31233%70.373.3-3.0
11 Loyola Marymount41325%84.574.8+9.8
12 Washington State41325%81.579.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boise State330100%114.371.0+43.3
2 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
3 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
4 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
5 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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