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Sao Jose vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 71-96
24-27 18-18 18-31 11-20
Position#9
Record18-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game79.9
Sao Jose
Brazil
vs
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
Position#10
Record18-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game77.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Lineu de Moura
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sao Jose v Bauru
11 Mar 2026
SAO 71
BAUR96
27 Feb 2025
SAO 83
BAUR78
20 Dec 2023
SAO 74
BAUR82
17 Apr 2023
SAO 77
BAUR95
03 Feb 2023
SAO 66
BAUR93
17 Jan 2020
SAO 80
BAUR108
14 Mar 2019
SAO 74
BAUR83
25 Feb 2016
SAO 60
BAUR62
21 Feb 2015
SAO 67
BAUR95
08 Jan 2015
SAO 71
BAUR90
07 Dec 2013
SAO 78
BAUR88
24 Nov 2012
SAO 62
BAUR82
04 Feb 2012
SAO 79
BAUR69
11 Mar 2011
SAO 78
BAUR81
04 Mar 2009
SAO 73
BAUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
H15/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
91-95
91
95
-4
no box
H19/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
80-89
80
89
-9
73avg 73
A21/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
97-82
97
82
+15
78avg 73
H04/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
76avg 73
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
74-72
74
72
+2
68avg 73
A11/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
70-79
70
79
-9
58avg 73
A13/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
95-103
95
103
-8
57avg 73
H20/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
68-78
68
78
-10
56avg 73
A22/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
98-81
98
81
+17
101avg 73
H05/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
18-22
22-24
32-18
27-28
17-29
21-17
26-21
18-26
20-18
30-23
12-22
25-28
25-13
25-22
22-19
29-27
17-16
17-16
24-19
21-18
20-15
17-17
16-22
17-31
21-19
16-14
16-15
6-28
31-27
31-18
27-30
15-31
19-15
25-15
9-17
27-23
23-17
25-24
23-17
170.6Avg total
85.8Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.879.9162.7+2.960%
Season at home (16)85.178.1163.2+6.975%
Season away (14)80.181.9162.1-1.843%
Last 10 (10)85.884.8170.6+1.050%
Last 5 (5)81.082.6163.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.089.3171.3-7.314%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.180.2159.3-1.150%
vs Weaker (13)86.074.6160.6+11.492%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
101-94
101
94
+7
94avg 74
H12/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
87-89
87
89
-2
no box
H15/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
A19/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
84avg 74
A21/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 74
H06/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
105-90
105
90
+15
104avg 74
H10/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
90-70
90
70
+20
83avg 74
A16/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
87-81
87
81
+6
85avg 74
A19/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
92-79
92
79
+13
94avg 74
A21/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
107-70
107
70
+37
122avg 74
H05/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
30-15
16-18
26-28
11-26
26-23
18-21
32-19
20-18
17-16
16-16
21-23
16-21
22-24
22-22
26-19
25-19
17-17
18-16
20-25
28-21
27-33
28-20
22-16
20-23
18-22
22-14
30-11
17-23
21-13
23-25
26-20
23-13
24-21
20-29
25-16
32-14
25-21
25-20
25-15
174.8Avg total
92.2Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.577.9158.5+2.660%
Season at home (16)83.476.3159.8+7.175%
Season away (14)77.279.8157.0-2.643%
Last 10 (10)92.282.6174.8+9.680%
Last 5 (5)96.278.0174.2+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.287.2170.5-4.038%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.076.6152.6-0.650%
vs Weaker (12)82.572.8155.3+9.783%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +6.1+6.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +6.1+6.1
Sao JoseBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H15/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H19/01
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A21/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H04/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A11/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A13/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H20/02
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A22/02
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H05/03
NBB
88.0Avg total
42.2Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.582.9-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.141.184.2+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)39.342.181.4-2.836%-
Last 10 (10)42.245.888.0-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.884.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.446.987.3-6.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.642.581.1-3.940%-
vs Weaker (13)43.937.981.8+6.062%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H12/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H15/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A19/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A21/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H06/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H10/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A16/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A19/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A21/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H05/03
NBB
86.4Avg total
44.8Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.579.9-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.441.482.9+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)37.039.476.4-2.457%-
Last 10 (10)44.841.686.4+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)47.040.887.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.646.686.2-7.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.139.574.6-4.430%-
vs Weaker (12)42.837.280.0+5.583%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.8
56.7%
52.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.5
29.9%
32.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.415.3
75.0%
72.8%15.3
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.6
59.8%
52.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.8
37.0%
32.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws23.316.5
70.8%
72.8%16.5
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Jose
WLLLWWWLLW
Bauru
WWWWWWLWLW
#9
League position
#10
-2.0
Net rating
+11.4
93.3
Offensive rating
105.4
95.3
Defensive rating
94.0
51.9%
Effective FG%
57.9%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.8%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.9%
3-point %
37.0%
68.6%
Assist %
72.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 105.4Defence95.3 · 94.0Shooting51.9% · 57.9%3-point %29.9% · 37.0%Ball care14.6% · 15.8%Off. rebounds32.4% · 27.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Sao Jose   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sao Jose wins
6
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
03/12/25Bauru v Sao Jose84-91
27/02/25Sao Jose v Bauru83-78
02/11/24Bauru v Sao Jose73-67
03/04/24Bauru v Sao Jose91-92
20/12/23Sao Jose v Bauru74-82
21/04/23Bauru v Sao Jose71-66
20/04/23Bauru v Sao Jose79-83
17/04/23Sao Jose v Bauru77-95
03/02/23Sao Jose v Bauru66-93
03/11/22Bauru v Sao Jose94-76
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HOsasco98-81
22/02/26AMogi68-78
20/02/26HCorinthians Paulista95-103
13/02/26AFlamengo70-79
11/02/26AVasco74-72
06/02/26HUnifacisa87-78
04/02/26HCearense97-82
21/01/26ABotafogo80-89
19/01/26HMinas91-95
15/01/26HCruzeiro98-91
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HCearense107-70
21/02/26AFlamengo92-79
19/02/26ABotafogo87-81
16/02/26AVasco90-70
10/02/26HMinas105-90
06/02/26HCruzeiro80-77
21/01/26AUniao Corinthians99-103 OT
19/01/26ACaxias do Sul74-73
15/01/26HPaulistano87-89
12/01/26HPinheiros101-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW60%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %60%75%43%
Points / game82.885.180.1
Allowed / game79.978.181.9
Point differential+2.9+6.9-1.8
Avg total162.7163.2162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%44%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Bauru
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW60%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %60%75%43%
Points / game80.583.477.2
Allowed / game77.976.379.8
Point differential+2.6+7.1-2.6
Avg total158.5159.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2924583%85.774.5+11.2
2 Franca2923679%89.275.4+13.8
3 Flamengo2822679%86.977.7+9.2
4 Minas2821775%87.082.2+4.7
5 Brasilia2921872%82.172.7+9.4
6 Corinthians Paulista2921872%84.078.0+6.0
7 Paulistano30181260%82.278.2+4.0
8 Sao Jose30181260%82.879.9+2.9
9 Bauru30181260%80.577.9+2.6
10 Uniao Corinthians29161355%79.480.9-1.4
11 Mogi30161453%75.670.0+5.6
12 Unifacisa29151452%80.980.1+0.8
13 Caxias do Sul29121741%72.677.1-4.5
14 Cruzeiro29111838%80.085.2-5.2
15 Rio Claro3092130%77.586.6-9.1
16 Pato2972224%73.579.8-6.2
17 Botafogo2962321%72.582.9-10.4
18 Cearense2962321%76.887.4-10.6
19 Osasco2942514%75.387.7-12.4
20 Vasco3042613%69.779.4-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Jose2418181171
Bauru2718312096
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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