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Bauru vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 105-90
28-21 27-33 28-20 22-16
Position#10
Record13-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game77.9
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
vs
Minas
Brazil
Position#3
Record19-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game78.6
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bauru v Minas
05 Nov 2026
BAUR v MINA
upcoming
10 Feb 2026
BAUR105
MINA90
23 May 2025
BAUR59
MINA74
17 Oct 2024
BAUR81
MINA82
02 Mar 2024
BAUR86
MINA84
20 Oct 2022
BAUR72
MINA82
12 Apr 2022
BAUR101
MINA69
05 Jan 2021
BAUR75
MINA85
07 Mar 2020
BAUR84
MINA94
08 Apr 2019
BAUR85
MINA64
06 Apr 2019
BAUR66
MINA59
08 Nov 2018
BAUR81
MINA68
23 Dec 2017
BAUR89
MINA70
20 Dec 2016
BAUR75
MINA86
29 Jan 2016
BAUR94
MINA81
28 Feb 2015
BAUR89
MINA71
28 Jan 2014
BAUR76
MINA69
26 Jan 2013
BAUR91
MINA59
08 Apr 2012
BAUR76
MINA75
28 Nov 2010
BAUR78
MINA82
17 May 2009
BAUR79
MINA83
08 Apr 2009
BAUR78
MINA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
W
69-61
69
61
+8
54avg 71
A15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
52avg 71
A20/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
84-68
84
68
+16
77avg 71
H22/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
66-71
66
71
-5
52avg 71
H29/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
94-86
94
86
+8
92avg 71
H10/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
101-94
101
94
+7
94avg 71
H12/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
87-89
87
89
-2
no box
H15/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
A19/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
84avg 71
A21/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 71
H06/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
16-15
17-15
21-18
12-21
14-26
21-25
21-13
20-23
29-16
17-18
18-11
10-23
20-13
21-24
15-11
22-18
19-20
23-24
30-24
29-33
30-15
16-18
26-28
11-26
26-23
18-21
32-19
20-18
17-16
16-16
21-23
16-21
22-24
22-22
26-19
25-19
17-17
18-16
20-25
162.9Avg total
82.2Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.477.9155.3-0.552%
Season at home (14)80.275.8156.0+4.471%
Season away (11)73.880.6154.5-6.827%
Last 10 (10)82.280.7162.9+1.560%
Last 5 (5)88.287.2175.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.682.9156.4-9.311%
vs Similar (10)76.076.6152.6-0.650%
vs Weaker (11)79.973.2153.1+6.782%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
W
99-81
99
81
+18
94avg 76
A27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
107-102 OT
107
102
+5
108avg 76
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
92-74
92
74
+18
81avg 76
A08/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
64avg 76
A10/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
A15/01
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
95-75
95
75
+20
no box
H16/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#9
W
95-91
95
91
+4
no box
A19/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
75-67
75
67
+8
70avg 76
H21/01
NBB
Aguada
#11
W
94-62
94
62
+32
100avg 76
H04/02
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#2
L
67-77
67
77
-10
52avg 76
H06/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
16-28
33-18
26-17
12-24
31-26
22-24
26-17
18-29
23-17
36-18
15-10
24-34
19-14
16-25
17-17
13-21
23-25
18-27
23-19
24-21
28-15
21-19
22-20
28-27
29-17
17-21
21-26
17-27
23-18
17-4
18-18
30-25
20-16
24-8
20-13
12-24
20-10
22-18
13-25
168.8Avg total
87.7Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.578.6165.1+7.983%
Season at home (12)84.476.8161.2+7.683%
Season away (11)88.880.5169.4+8.382%
Last 10 (10)87.781.1168.8+6.670%
Last 5 (5)85.274.4159.6+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.575.0152.5+2.550%
vs Similar (9)81.979.2161.1+2.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.677.8166.4+10.8100%
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
BauruMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A20/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H29/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H12/01
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H15/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A19/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A21/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H06/02
NBB
79.0Avg total
39.0Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.740.277.9-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.840.880.6-0.941%-
Last 30 away (13)34.939.574.5-4.646%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.079.0-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.485.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.844.278.0-10.411%-
vs Similar (10)35.139.574.6-4.430%-
vs Weaker (11)43.337.680.9+5.682%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A08/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A10/01
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A15/01
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H16/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#9
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A19/01
NBB
Pato
#17
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/01
NBB
Aguada
#11
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H04/02
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/02
Champions League Americas
87.0Avg total
43.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.182.9+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.339.083.3+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)41.341.282.5+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)43.443.687.0-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)46.240.086.2+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.238.573.8-3.225%-
vs Similar (9)42.943.085.9-0.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.538.983.5+5.665%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.5
54.6%
52.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.57.9
27.7%
32.5%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.714.6
70.5%
72.8%14.6
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.5
50.8%
52.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.9
35.1%
32.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.716.2
71.4%
72.8%16.2
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
WLWLWWLWLW
Minas
LWWWWLLWWW
#10
League position
#3
+3.9
Net rating
+7.6
99.8
Offensive rating
99.7
95.9
Defensive rating
92.0
49.1%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.5%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.7%
3-point %
35.1%
64.6%
Assist %
70.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 99.7Defence95.9 · 92.0Shooting49.1% · 51.6%3-point %27.7% · 35.1%Ball care14.9% · 15.5%Off. rebounds28.6% · 30.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Bauru   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bauru wins
9
Minas wins
DateGameScore
23/11/25Minas v Bauru94-88
28/05/25Minas v Bauru70-65
26/05/25Minas v Bauru73-69
23/05/25Bauru v Minas59-74
27/12/24Minas v Bauru83-73
17/10/24Bauru v Minas81-82 OT
02/03/24Bauru v Minas86-84 OT
16/11/23Minas v Bauru99-80
10/01/23Minas v Bauru63-58
21/10/22Bauru v Minas72-82
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26HCruzeiro80-77
21/01/26AUniao Corinthians99-103 OT
19/01/26ACaxias do Sul74-73
15/01/26HPaulistano87-89
12/01/26HPinheiros101-94
10/01/26HOsasco94-86
29/12/25HBrasilia66-71
22/12/25HRio Claro84-68
20/12/25AFranca68-85
15/12/25APato69-61
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26HBoca Juniors67-77
04/02/26HAguada94-62
21/01/26HPato75-67
19/01/26ASao Jose95-91
16/01/26HAguada95-75
15/01/26ABoca Juniors77-92
10/01/26AMogi76-90
08/01/26ACorinthians Paulista92-74
29/12/25AUnifacisa107-102 OT
27/12/25ACearense99-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW52%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayLWLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %52%71%27%
Points / game77.480.273.8
Allowed / game77.975.880.6
Point differential-0.5+4.4-6.8
Avg total155.3156.0154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWWLW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %83%83%82%
Points / game86.584.488.8
Allowed / game78.676.880.5
Point differential+7.9+7.6+8.3
Avg total165.1161.2169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)60% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %9%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2420483%87.675.1+12.5
2 Flamengo2420483%87.476.3+11.1
3 Minas2319483%86.578.6+7.9
4 Franca2419579%88.875.0+13.8
5 Brasilia2619773%81.571.4+10.1
6 Corinthians Paulista2618869%83.277.5+5.7
7 Sao Jose2516964%83.179.4+3.8
8 Paulistano2415962%81.277.0+4.2
9 Mogi24131154%76.569.7+6.8
10 Unifacisa25131252%80.880.2+0.6
11 Bauru25131252%77.477.9-0.5
12 Uniao Corinthians24121250%79.882.3-2.6
13 Caxias do Sul24101442%72.277.8-5.5
14 Cruzeiro2371630%79.185.4-6.3
15 Rio Claro2471729%76.086.7-10.7
16 Pato2561924%73.480.4-7.1
17 Botafogo2451921%72.282.3-10.2
18 Cearense2652119%77.587.9-10.4
19 Vasco2542116%69.179.2-10.0
20 Osasco2542116%75.087.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru28272822105
Minas2133201690
← all games of the day
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