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Sao Jose vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 74-82
18-29 20-19 15-16 21-18
Position#10
Record9-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
Position#5
Record9-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game76.8
BrazilNBB· Gym Linneu de Moura
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sao Jose v Bauru
11 Mar 2026
SAO 71
BAUR96
27 Feb 2025
SAO 83
BAUR78
20 Dec 2023
SAO 74
BAUR82
17 Apr 2023
SAO 77
BAUR95
03 Feb 2023
SAO 66
BAUR93
17 Jan 2020
SAO 80
BAUR108
14 Mar 2019
SAO 74
BAUR83
25 Feb 2016
SAO 60
BAUR62
21 Feb 2015
SAO 67
BAUR95
08 Jan 2015
SAO 71
BAUR90
07 Dec 2013
SAO 78
BAUR88
24 Nov 2012
SAO 62
BAUR82
04 Feb 2012
SAO 79
BAUR69
11 Mar 2011
SAO 78
BAUR81
04 Mar 2009
SAO 73
BAUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
67-77
67
77
-10
59avg 77
H08/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
78-74
78
74
+4
76avg 77
A15/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
90-82
90
82
+8
86avg 77
A17/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
82-64
82
64
+18
84avg 77
H21/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
96-72
96
72
+24
93avg 77
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
83avg 77
H27/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
78-74
78
74
+4
71avg 77
A02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
92-66
92
66
+26
94avg 77
A04/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
71-73
71
73
-2
58avg 77
A09/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
84-73
84
73
+11
80avg 77
H12/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
28-18
9-25
16-15
20-22
15-12
22-17
21-23
24-23
27-17
9-17
30-25
27-13
17-20
22-14
16-17
20-20
31-12
25-16
20-24
20-15
21-17
24-19
18-20
12-14
19-14
21-28
26-18
17-21
24-11
30-18
21-16
10-25
20-20
18-9
23-19
25-17
17-20
20-25
22-11
154.7Avg total
82.1Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.672.7154.3+8.969%
Season at home (8)81.572.0153.5+9.562%
Season away (5)81.873.8155.6+8.080%
Last 10 (10)82.172.6154.7+9.580%
Last 5 (5)81.671.4153.0+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.984.9162.8-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.175.2154.4+3.950%
vs Weaker (10)88.974.9163.8+14.090%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
L
70-73
70
73
-3
57avg 70
A14/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
80-99
80
99
-19
74avg 70
A16/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
95-67
95
67
+28
82avg 70
H20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
94-59
94
59
+35
94avg 70
H22/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
73-89
73
89
-16
64avg 70
A27/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
80-83
80
83
-3
76avg 70
A29/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
58-67
58
67
-9
46avg 70
A02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 70
H09/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 70
H11/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
no box
A18/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
21-14
14-22
18-18
16-26
25-25
20-26
19-22
19-20
28-13
28-11
20-23
19-18
29-6
17-16
29-19
19-16
18-24
14-31
22-18
14-22
32-22
14-22
20-17
16-15
9-15
17-13
16-24
16-21
17-23
19-21
30-8
27-20
20-25
24-19
19-17
22-20
18-16
20-21
17-20
158.8Avg total
81.0Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.876.8155.6+2.156%
Season at home (8)84.670.1154.8+14.5100%
Season away (8)73.083.4156.4-10.412%
Last 10 (10)81.077.8158.8+3.250%
Last 5 (5)79.678.2157.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.088.2165.2-11.217%
vs Similar ◀ (8)73.473.9147.2-0.550%
vs Weaker (16)82.871.5154.3+11.381%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
Sao JoseBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H08/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A15/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A17/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H21/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H23/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H27/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A04/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A09/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H12/12
NBB
75.8Avg total
40.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.680.7-0.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.540.480.9+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)39.840.880.5-1.062%-
Last 10 (10)40.835.075.8+5.890%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.871.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.144.683.7-5.542%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.037.474.4-0.450%-
vs Weaker (10)43.838.382.1+5.590%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A14/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A16/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H22/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/11
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A29/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A02/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H09/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H11/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A18/12
NBB
78.2Avg total
40.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.378.6+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.537.278.8+4.359%-
Last 30 away (13)38.639.878.4-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.078.2+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.878.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.845.384.2-6.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.539.276.8-1.838%-
vs Weaker (16)42.235.277.4+6.969%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.6
52.7%
51.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.0
34.7%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.9
75.3%
72.6%14.9
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.4
53.1%
51.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.5
33.7%
33.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws15.311.6
75.8%
72.6%11.6
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Jose
WLWWWWWWWL
Bauru
WWWLLLWWLL
#10
League position
#5
+11.9
Net rating
+3.6
105.7
Offensive rating
105.9
93.8
Defensive rating
102.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
52.0%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
19.8%
Turnover %
16.6%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.7%
3-point %
33.7%
67.1%
Assist %
62.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 105.9Defence93.8 · 102.3Shooting52.5% · 52.0%3-point %34.7% · 33.7%Ball care19.8% · 16.6%Off. rebounds30.1% · 26.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Sao Jose   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sao Jose wins
7
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
21/04/23Bauru v Sao Jose71-66
20/04/23Bauru v Sao Jose79-83
17/04/23Sao Jose v Bauru77-95
03/02/23Sao Jose v Bauru66-93
03/11/22Bauru v Sao Jose94-76
18/01/20Sao Jose v Bauru80-108
07/11/19Bauru v Sao Jose96-98 OT
14/03/19Sao Jose v Bauru74-83
10/11/18Bauru v Sao Jose63-75
25/02/16Sao Jose v Bauru60-62
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/23HMogi84-73
09/12/23APinheiros71-73
04/12/23ABrasilia92-66
02/12/23ACerrado78-74
27/11/23HVasco83-71
23/11/23HBotafogo96-72
21/11/23HFlamengo82-64
17/11/23ACaxias do Sul90-82
15/11/23AUniao Corinthians78-74
08/11/23HMinas67-77
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/23AMogi88-87 OT
11/12/23HCerrado90-81
09/12/23HBrasilia82-73
02/12/23AVasco58-67
29/11/23ABotafogo80-83
27/11/23AFlamengo73-89
22/11/23HCaxias do Sul94-59
20/11/23HUniao Corinthians95-67
16/11/23AMinas80-99
14/11/23APato70-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %69%62%80%
Points / game81.681.581.8
Allowed / game72.772.073.8
Point differential+8.9+9.5+8.0
Avg total154.3153.5155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%62%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW56%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%100%12%
Points / game78.884.673.0
Allowed / game76.870.183.4
Point differential+2.1+14.5-10.4
Avg total155.6154.8156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1210283%83.072.3+10.7
2 Minas1512380%84.975.0+9.9
3 Franca1310377%87.075.5+11.5
4 Sao Jose139469%81.672.7+8.9
5 Vasco1611569%72.968.6+4.2
6 Paulistano1611569%73.169.8+3.4
7 Unifacisa138562%77.574.5+2.9
8 Cearense138562%78.075.5+2.5
9 Bauru169756%78.876.8+2.1
10 Corinthians Paulista147750%80.680.7-0.1
11 Pinheiros146843%76.679.2-2.6
12 Sao Paulo146843%77.180.3-3.1
13 Uniao Corinthians135838%72.579.8-7.4
14 Caxias do Sul145936%72.279.6-7.4
15 Pato1551033%74.778.8-4.1
16 Botafogo1651131%77.283.5-6.2
17 Cerrado1541127%72.673.6-1.0
18 Brasilia1531220%71.685.8-14.2
19 Mogi1521313%74.280.7-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Jose1820152174
Bauru2919161882
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