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Sao Jose vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 83-78
28-17 15-19 15-23 25-19
Position#10
Record12-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#4
Record14-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game78.8
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Lineu de Moura
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sao Jose v Bauru
11 Mar 2026
SAO 71
BAUR96
27 Feb 2025
SAO 83
BAUR78
20 Dec 2023
SAO 74
BAUR82
17 Apr 2023
SAO 77
BAUR95
03 Feb 2023
SAO 66
BAUR93
17 Jan 2020
SAO 80
BAUR108
14 Mar 2019
SAO 74
BAUR83
25 Feb 2016
SAO 60
BAUR62
21 Feb 2015
SAO 67
BAUR95
08 Jan 2015
SAO 71
BAUR90
07 Dec 2013
SAO 78
BAUR88
24 Nov 2012
SAO 62
BAUR82
04 Feb 2012
SAO 79
BAUR69
11 Mar 2011
SAO 78
BAUR81
04 Mar 2009
SAO 73
BAUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
L
76-77
76
77
-1
82avg 71
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 71
A19/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
89-82
89
82
+7
88avg 71
A27/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
75-69
75
69
+6
71avg 71
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
94-79
94
79
+15
91avg 71
H11/01
NBB
Minas
#1
W
98-88
98
88
+10
93avg 71
H20/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
89-80
89
80
+9
83avg 71
A23/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
82avg 71
A04/02
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
78-93
78
93
-15
66avg 71
A13/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
68-105
68
105
-37
57avg 71
H16/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
27-23
21-23
7-18
18-22
23-16
19-22
21-25
20-21
24-14
8-25
37-22
20-19
18-10
15-15
22-25
28-23
18-18
20-21
28-17
29-20
19-21
31-19
19-28
22-23
20-18
28-19
19-20
20-20
22-24
22-18
16-18
13-28
27-25
20-28
18-12
17-22
15-26
16-27
20-30
169.6Avg total
84.1Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.378.8157.1-0.548%
Season at home (13)79.078.2157.2+0.854%
Season away (12)77.679.4157.0-1.842%
Last 10 (10)84.185.5169.6-1.450%
Last 5 (5)85.292.6177.8-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.086.7162.7-10.743%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.477.5153.9-1.144%
vs Weaker (5)83.075.6158.6+7.460%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#18
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
78avg 73
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
72avg 73
A20/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 73
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
58avg 73
A27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
63avg 73
A29/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
75-73
75
73
+2
67avg 73
H11/01
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
73-85
73
85
-12
59avg 73
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#14
W
94-91
94
91
+3
83avg 73
A05/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
80-62
80
62
+18
76avg 73
A08/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
74-64
74
64
+10
67avg 73
H16/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
19-24
15-22
27-19
20-16
15-39
27-21
17-18
9-13
16-22
20-29
18-17
27-28
16-22
10-18
20-15
18-26
18-18
20-18
11-15
18-21
23-12
18-20
16-20
18-21
12-29
26-22
17-13
18-15
23-26
27-19
26-31
22-11
22-15
18-20
18-16
21-14
20-11
18-20
15-19
157.3Avg total
77.0Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.478.8157.2-0.458%
Season at home (11)78.274.6152.8+3.582%
Season away (13)78.582.3160.8-3.838%
Last 10 (10)77.080.3157.3-3.340%
Last 5 (5)79.275.0154.2+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.488.4160.9-16.014%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.978.4155.4-1.557%
vs Weaker (9)80.676.8157.3+3.878%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
Sao JoseBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A19/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A27/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H11/01
NBB
Minas
#1
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H20/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A04/02
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A13/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H16/02
NBB
82.7Avg total
42.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.975.9+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.437.475.8+0.962%-
Last 30 away (14)37.638.475.9-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.682.7+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.486.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.041.378.3-4.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.236.774.9+1.661%-
vs Weaker (5)38.637.476.0+1.260%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#18
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A18/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A20/12
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/01
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#14
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A05/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A08/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H16/02
NBB
77.0Avg total
37.3Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.677.5-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.438.976.3-1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)38.240.278.5-2.044%-
Last 10 (10)37.339.777.0-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.074.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.647.683.1-12.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.937.475.4+0.564%-
vs Weaker (9)39.636.876.3+2.844%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.2
48.0%
50.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.2
35.2%
33.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.317.9
76.8%
72.7%17.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.8
50.3%
50.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.08.1
27.9%
33.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.411.7
63.6%
72.7%11.7
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Jose
LLLWWWWWLL
Bauru
WWWLWLLLLL
#10
League position
#4
-2.3
Net rating
-5.3
107.3
Offensive rating
98.0
109.6
Defensive rating
103.3
50.2%
Effective FG%
46.7%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.6%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.2%
3-point %
27.9%
62.8%
Assist %
59.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 98.0Defence109.6 · 103.3Shooting50.2% · 46.7%3-point %35.2% · 27.9%Ball care18.8% · 16.6%Off. rebounds32.1% · 28.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Sao Jose   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sao Jose wins
7
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
02/11/24Bauru v Sao Jose73-67
03/04/24Bauru v Sao Jose91-92
20/12/23Sao Jose v Bauru74-82
21/04/23Bauru v Sao Jose71-66
20/04/23Bauru v Sao Jose79-83
17/04/23Sao Jose v Bauru77-95
03/02/23Sao Jose v Bauru66-93
03/11/22Bauru v Sao Jose94-76
18/01/20Sao Jose v Bauru80-108
07/11/19Bauru v Sao Jose96-98 OT
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25HFranca68-105
13/02/25APaulistano78-93
04/02/25AMogi93-97 OT
23/01/25ASao Paulo89-80
20/01/25HMinas98-88
11/01/25HBrasilia94-79
29/12/24AVasco75-69
27/12/24AFlamengo89-82
19/12/24APato81-85
17/12/24HPinheiros76-77
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25HCorinthians Paulista74-64
08/02/25AMogi80-62
05/02/25APato94-91
20/01/25HPaulistano73-85
11/01/25HSao Paulo75-73
29/12/24ABrasilia67-77
27/12/24AMinas73-83
23/12/24AVasco63-81
20/12/24AFlamengo79-94
18/12/24ABotafogo92-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL48%
HomeWLWWL54%
AwayWWWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %48%54%42%
Points / game78.379.077.6
Allowed / game78.878.279.4
Point differential-0.5+0.8-1.8
Avg total157.1157.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%46%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW58%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %58%82%38%
Points / game78.478.278.5
Allowed / game78.874.682.3
Point differential-0.4+3.5-3.8
Avg total157.2152.8160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%9%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %8%9%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2319483%81.970.7+11.1
2 Flamengo2318578%84.273.0+11.2
3 Brasilia2718967%82.179.6+2.5
4 Franca2314961%82.477.7+4.7
5 Uniao Corinthians24141058%78.578.9-0.4
6 Bauru24141058%78.478.8-0.4
7 Paulistano24131154%78.174.8+3.3
8 Pinheiros25131252%74.874.3+0.6
9 Vasco25131252%75.575.7-0.2
10 Corinthians Paulista26131350%80.178.7+1.4
11 Unifacisa25121348%75.375.2+0.1
12 Sao Jose25121348%78.378.8-0.5
13 Sao Paulo25111444%76.478.6-2.3
14 Pato2691735%81.784.7-3.0
15 Mogi2691735%73.779.7-6.1
16 Caxias do Sul2471729%73.278.8-5.6
17 Botafogo2571828%73.581.0-7.5
18 Cearense2461825%70.577.6-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Jose2815152583
Bauru1719231978
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