Sao Paulo vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Dec 2022

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 100-83

25-22 18-21 30-18 27-22

Position#3

Record11-3

FormWLWLW

Points / game87.6

Allowed / game78.9

Sao Paulo 🏆

Minas

Position#4

Record10-4

FormWWLWW

Points / game87.2

Allowed / game77.0

NBB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Sao Paulo v Minas

SAO 105

SAO 100

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Minas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#11

86-70

+16

A23/11

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

93-71

+22

A25/11

NBB

Boca Juniors

71-79

-8

A30/11

South American League

San Martin

81-85

-4

A30/11

South American League

Cearense

#14

111-81

111

+30

A08/12

NBB

Unifacisa

82-73

A10/12

NBB

Cerrado

#17

94-101

101

-7

A15/12

NBB

Brasilia

#15

96-89

A17/12

NBB

Flamengo

66-91

-25

H20/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

96-68

+28

H22/12

NBB

22-18

19-16

28-12

17-24

16-21

25-19

33-13

19-18

21-26

21-10

14-24

15-19

20-13

20-26

22-14

19-32

26-25

29-18

31-15

25-23

23-18

13-16

26-9

20-30

17-17

27-31

24-28

26-25

28-24

31-17

21-20

16-28

21-27

11-17

16-23

18-24

28-26

20-11

27-14

21-17

168.4Avg total

87.6Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	87.6	78.9	166.4	+8.7	79%
Season at home (6)	82.8	77.7	160.5	+5.2	83%
Season away (8)	91.1	79.8	170.9	+11.4	75%
Last 10 (10)	87.6	80.8	168.4	+6.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	84.4	171.2	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	74.0	88.3	162.3	-14.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	74.2	75.4	149.7	-1.2	44%
vs Weaker (18)	92.8	75.9	168.7	+16.9	89%

This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Minas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cerrado

#17

112-102 OT

112

102

+10

A17/11

NBB

Brasilia

#15

94-74

+20

A19/11

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

104-53

104

+51

H23/11

NBB

Cearense

#14

79-71

H29/11

NBB

Paulistano

73-90

-17

A03/12

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

90-61

+29

H08/12

NBB

Bigua

#11

93-75

+18

A12/12

Champions League Americas

Quimsa

93-95

-2

H13/12

Champions League Americas

Corinthians Paulista

94-65

+29

A19/12

NBB

Pato

#12

88-74

+14

A21/12

NBB

20-21

20-25

30-30

27-21

29-24

23-11

18-14

24-25

24-15

32-13

30-8

18-17

15-16

21-18

24-18

19-19

26-19

16-22

16-28

15-21

21-9

23-15

25-14

21-23

26-22

33-23

18-20

16-10

15-15

28-34

20-18

30-28

23-11

27-12

28-20

16-22

21-21

25-9

18-27

24-17

168.0Avg total

92.0Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	87.2	77.0	164.2	+10.2	71%
Season at home (7)	86.6	74.3	160.9	+12.3	71%
Season away (7)	87.9	79.7	167.6	+8.1	71%
Last 10 (10)	92.0	76.0	168.0	+16.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	91.6	74.0	165.6	+17.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	77.0	85.6	162.6	-8.6	14%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	77.0	78.6	155.6	-1.6	50%
vs Weaker (15)	90.2	77.7	167.9	+12.5	87%

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sao PauloMinas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.7	22.6	44.3	-0.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.5	43.7	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	22.4	45.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	26.0	46.7	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	16.9	20.0	36.9	-3.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	23.0	19.9	42.9	+3.1	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.4	38.3	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	17.3	39.3	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	15.6	36.8	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.0	16.9	35.9	+2.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.1	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	16.1	38.3	+6.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	13.6	36.2	+8.9	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.1	39.7	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.7	19.0	33.7	-4.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.6	14.1	34.7	+6.4	78%	-
vs Weaker (18)	24.3	16.6	40.9	+7.7	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.4	40.4	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	19.9	39.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	18.2	43.0	+6.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	18.6	45.8	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	21.1	38.9	-3.4	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	16.4	21.5	37.9	-5.1	25%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.1	19.4	42.5	+3.7	60%	-

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#11

41-34

A23/11

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

41-40

A25/11

NBB

Boca Juniors

42-36

A30/11

South American League

San Martin

40-39

A30/11

South American League

Cearense

#14

55-43

+12

A08/12

NBB

Unifacisa

36-34

A10/12

NBB

Cerrado

#17

44-48

-4

A15/12

NBB

Brasilia

#15

59-41

+18

A17/12

NBB

Flamengo

32-44

-12

H20/12

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

48-37

+11

H22/12

NBB

83.4Avg total

43.8Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	36.7	79.8	+6.5	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.2	36.2	80.5	+8.0	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.4	37.0	79.4	+5.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	39.6	83.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	40.8	84.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.3	45.0	80.3	-9.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	37.4	34.1	71.6	+3.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (18)	47.3	36.6	83.9	+10.8	94%	-

This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cerrado

#17

40-46

-6

A17/11

NBB

Brasilia

#15

52-35

+17

A19/11

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

56-28

+28

H23/11

NBB

Cearense

#14

36-34

H29/11

NBB

Paulistano

42-41

A03/12

NBB

Rio Claro

#16

44-24

+20

H08/12

NBB

Bigua

#11

59-45

+14

A12/12

Champions League Americas

Quimsa

43-49

-6

H13/12

Champions League Americas

Corinthians Paulista

50-23

+27

A19/12

NBB

Pato

#12

46-30

+16

A21/12

NBB

82.3Avg total

46.8Scored

35.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	38.7	78.7	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	38.5	78.3	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	39.0	79.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.8	35.5	82.3	+11.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	34.2	82.6	+14.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.1	40.9	78.0	-3.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	35.4	38.4	73.8	-3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	43.7	37.9	81.7	+5.8	73%	-

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.6	40.4	+3.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.8	18.6	42.5	+5.2	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	17.2	41.4	+7.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	23.0	44.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.1	21.1	38.2	-4.0	11%	-
vs Weaker (18)	24.1	16.7	40.7	+7.4	72%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.7	42.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.0	19.7	36.7	-2.7	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.0	21.6	42.6	-0.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (15)	23.5	18.7	42.1	+4.8	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.5	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.4	22.5	41.9	-3.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	24.0	43.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	24.8	45.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	20.3	37.3	-3.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.5	22.2	42.7	-1.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.8	42.2	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	21.1	42.1	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	20.5	42.4	+1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.3	23.1	44.4	-1.9	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.6	18.6	39.2	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	40.1	81.7	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.5	38.7	78.2	+0.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.2	41.1	84.4	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	41.2	85.0	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	43.6	86.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.7	43.3	82.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	36.8	41.3	78.1	-4.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	44.6	38.9	83.4	+5.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	40.5	83.2	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.6	38.5	80.1	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.9	42.5	86.4	+1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	40.0	83.7	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	39.8	83.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	38.3	42.9	81.1	-4.6	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	41.6	40.2	81.9	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	45.5	39.5	84.9	+6.0	87%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sao Paulo wins

Minas wins

Date	Game	Score
07/04/22	Minas v Sao Paulo	79-93
31/03/22	Minas v Sao Paulo	61-82
22/01/22	Minas v Sao Paulo	78-77
04/01/22	Sao Paulo v Minas	91-87
15/05/21	Sao Paulo v Minas	80-79
12/05/21	Sao Paulo v Minas	90-85
10/05/21	Minas v Sao Paulo	70-88
13/04/21	Minas v Sao Paulo	75-58
25/02/21	Sao Paulo v Minas	90-92
19/01/21	Minas v Sao Paulo	70-78

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/22	H	Sao Jose	96-68
20/12/22	H	Flamengo	66-91
17/12/22	A	Brasilia	96-89
15/12/22	A	Cerrado	94-101
10/12/22	A	Unifacisa	82-73
08/12/22	A	Cearense	111-81
30/11/22	A	San Martin	81-85
30/11/22	A	Boca Juniors	71-79
25/11/22	A	Uniao Corinthians	93-71
23/11/22	A	Caxias do Sul	86-70

Minaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/22	A	Pato	88-74
19/12/22	A	Corinthians Paulista	94-65
13/12/22	H	Quimsa	93-95
12/12/22	A	Bigua	93-75
08/12/22	H	Rio Claro	90-61
03/12/22	A	Paulistano	73-90
29/11/22	H	Cearense	79-71
23/11/22	H	Sao Jose	104-53
19/11/22	A	Brasilia	94-74
17/11/22	A	Cerrado	112-102 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	79%
Home	WWWLW	83%
Away	WWWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	6	8
Win %	79%	83%	75%
Points / game	87.6	82.8	91.1
Allowed / game	78.9	77.7	79.8
Point differential	+8.7	+5.2	+11.4
Avg total	166.4	160.5	170.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	17%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	7%	17%	0%

Minas

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	71%
Home	WWWWW	71%
Away	WWLWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	71%	71%	71%
Points / game	87.2	86.6	87.9
Allowed / game	77.0	74.3	79.7
Point differential	+10.2	+12.3	+8.1
Avg total	164.2	160.9	167.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	29%	71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	14%	14%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	15	15	0	100%	90.4	77.1	+13.3
2	Flamengo	14	13	1	93%	83.4	68.9	+14.5
3	Sao Paulo	14	11	3	79%	87.6	78.9	+8.7
4	Minas	14	10	4	71%	87.2	77.0	+10.2
5	Corinthians Paulista	14	10	4	71%	80.9	75.8	+5.1
6	Pinheiros	14	9	5	64%	80.7	79.1	+1.6
7	Paulistano	15	9	6	60%	75.2	72.1	+3.1
8	Bauru	14	7	7	50%	79.1	72.5	+6.6
9	Unifacisa	14	7	7	50%	76.2	80.6	-4.4
10	Caxias do Sul	14	5	9	36%	73.2	76.0	-2.8
11	Brasilia	14	5	9	36%	77.6	83.3	-5.7
12	Sao Jose	15	5	10	33%	76.5	83.3	-6.8
13	Pato	14	4	10	29%	75.2	83.8	-8.6
14	Uniao Corinthians	14	3	11	21%	77.3	83.8	-6.5
15	Rio Claro	14	3	11	21%	75.0	85.6	-10.6
16	Cearense	15	3	12	20%	70.9	80.8	-9.9
17	Cerrado	14	2	12	14%	83.6	91.7	-8.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sao Paulo	25	18	30	27	100
Minas	22	21	18	22	83

← all games of the day

Sao Paulo vs Minas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature