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Saratov vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 79-70
23-11 20-18 18-27 18-14
Position#9
Record12-17
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game82.3
Saratov 🏆
Russia
vs
Position#11
Record5-23
FormWLLLL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game85.8
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Saratov v Astana
12 Jan 2025
SAR106
AST64
30 Oct 2024
SAR88
AST81
31 Mar 2024
SAR92
AST83
24 Dec 2023
SAR84
AST75
16 Mar 2023
SAR79
AST70
04 Oct 2022
SAR94
AST72
07 Nov 2021
SAR83
AST82
22 Oct 2020
SAR107
AST85
16 Nov 2019
SAR90
AST85
02 Feb 2019
SAR64
AST88
20 Jan 2018
SAR92
AST86
25 Feb 2017
SAR78
AST79
26 Mar 2016
SAR132
AST72
01 Mar 2015
SAR83
AST94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saratov winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SaratovRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samara
#10
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A08/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A15/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H20/01
VTB United League
Samara
#10
W
93-83
93
83
+10
H29/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A08/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H14/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A26/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H03/03
VTB United League
Astana
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A09/03
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A12/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-28
25-15
23-24
21-20
20-23
19-19
22-24
23-22
20-27
22-15
11-18
18-23
30-25
24-18
20-20
19-20
19-24
26-19
18-17
23-22
20-13
20-16
11-24
27-17
26-23
20-26
25-19
20-15
13-15
17-24
19-17
9-17
15-14
20-18
22-22
23-19
19-22
17-22
11-20
18-17
159.1Avg total
78.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.482.3161.7-2.941%
Season at home (14)80.580.2160.7+0.357%
Season away (15)78.384.2162.5-5.927%
Last 10 (10)78.880.3159.1-1.550%
Last 5 (5)74.476.0150.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.089.2168.2-10.225%
vs Similar (11)78.480.8159.2-2.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)81.673.6155.1+8.071%
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A14/01
VTB United League
Aktobe
#5
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H17/01
National League
Aktobe
#5
W
89-71
89
71
+18
H18/01
National League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
67-98
67
98
-31
H20/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H28/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H01/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A15/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H04/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H09/03
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
73-92
73
92
-19
H13/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
21-30
24-27
12-13
22-25
33-23
14-8
19-22
30-16
21-20
24-17
14-18
20-30
15-25
16-25
16-18
18-26
20-21
16-21
13-15
29-15
14-26
24-12
19-29
16-26
14-25
24-17
21-21
17-13
20-17
15-28
21-16
14-15
18-20
22-22
19-23
9-23
21-28
18-26
25-15
161.0Avg total
76.3Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)67.285.8153.0-18.618%
Season at home (16)67.983.8151.8-15.925%
Season away (12)66.288.4154.6-22.28%
Last 10 (10)76.384.7161.0-8.430%
Last 5 (5)76.083.4159.4-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)65.587.2152.7-21.65%
vs Similar (3)79.765.0144.7+14.7100%
vs Weaker (8)83.471.6155.0+11.862%
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
SaratovAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SaratovLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samara
#10
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A08/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/01
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H20/01
VTB United League
Samara
#10
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H29/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A08/02
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A26/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H03/03
VTB United League
Astana
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A09/03
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A12/03
VTB United League
81.1Avg total
40.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.380.8-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.039.878.8-0.833%-
Last 30 away (15)39.942.882.7-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.681.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.676.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.444.784.1-5.225%-
vs Similar (11)37.742.780.5-5.09%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.333.375.6+9.086%-
This opponent (Astana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-60
36
60
-24
A14/01
VTB United League
Aktobe
#5
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H17/01
National League
Aktobe
#5
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H18/01
National League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H20/01
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H28/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/02
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A15/02
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H04/03
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H09/03
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H13/03
VTB United League
84.1Avg total
38.7Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.242.778.8-6.530%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.840.778.5-2.941%-
Last 30 away (13)34.045.279.2-11.215%-
Last 10 (10)38.745.484.1-6.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.676.0-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)31.845.777.5-13.95%-
vs Similar (3)41.031.072.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (8)44.839.984.6+4.962%-
This opponent (Saratov) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Saratovtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saratov: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.616.7
49.7%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.9
35.9%
-23.7
🏀 Free throws16.111.4
70.8%
-11.4
They take 55.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.513.8
45.2%
-27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
-20.4
🏀 Free throws12.07.7
64.2%
-7.7
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saratov
LWLWWWWLLL
Astana
LLLLWLLWWL
#9
League position
#11
-19.1
Net rating
-32.5
100.9
Offensive rating
82.8
120.0
Defensive rating
115.3
51.3%
Effective FG%
45.4%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
20.9%
Turnover %
26.7%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.9%
3-point %
30.4%
65.4%
Assist %
60.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Saratov   ■ Astana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Saratov wins
3
Astana wins
DateGameScore
09/03/23Astana v Saratov73-80
13/12/22Astana v Saratov70-69
04/10/22Saratov v Astana94-72
20/03/22Astana v Saratov61-84
07/11/21Saratov v Astana83-82
31/01/21Astana v Saratov83-92
22/10/20Saratov v Astana107-85
16/11/19Saratov v Astana90-85
02/02/19Saratov v Astana64-88
23/12/18Astana v Saratov100-83 OT
Saratovlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23AMinsk65-81
09/03/23AAstana80-73
03/03/23HEnisey58-73
26/02/23AParma Perm91-83
14/02/23HMinsk78-70
08/02/23AEnisey86-82
29/01/23HSamara93-83
20/01/23HUnics Kazan71-83
15/01/23AEnisey84-88
08/01/23ASamara82-87
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/23HSamara73-92
09/03/23HSaratov73-80
04/03/23HParma Perm73-74
15/02/23ASamara75-89
01/02/23HMinsk86-82
28/01/23HEnisey67-83
20/01/23HLokomotiv Kuban67-98
18/01/23HAktobe89-71
17/01/23HAktobe88-78
14/01/23ACSKA Moscow72-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saratov
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL41%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayLWWWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %41%57%27%
Points / game79.480.578.3
Allowed / game82.380.284.2
Point differential-2.9+0.3-5.9
Avg total161.7160.7162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Astana
VTB United League 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL18%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %18%25%8%
Points / game67.267.966.2
Allowed / game85.883.888.4
Point differential-18.6-15.9-22.2
Avg total153.0151.8154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%12%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow3028293%96.375.6+20.7
2 Unics Kazan3024680%85.974.8+11.0
3 Zenit Petersburg3021970%81.672.4+9.2
4 Nizhny Novgorod30171357%75.475.5-0.1
5 Lokomotiv Kuban30161453%79.076.9+2.2
6 Parma Perm29141548%78.680.4-1.8
7 MBA Moscow30141647%76.178.6-2.6
8 Samara30131743%78.676.2+2.4
9 Saratov29121741%79.482.3-2.9
10 Enisey30121840%74.676.8-2.2
11 Astana2852318%67.285.8-18.6
12 Minsk302287%62.381.0-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saratov2320181879
Astana1118271470
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