Sassari vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 May 2016

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 83-80

22-21 28-18 14-22 19-19

Position#6

Record15-14

FormLWWWL

Points / game83.7

Allowed / game81.3

Sassari 🏆

Olimpia Milano

Position#1

Record22-7

FormWLLWW

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game73.2

Lega ARound 30

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Sassari v Olimpia Milano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olimpia Milano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sassari

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

89-97 OT

-8

A19/02

Italian Cup

Avellino

94-95

-1

H28/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

85-91

-6

H06/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

65-86

-21

A13/03

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

92-63

+29

H20/03

Lega A

Trento

81-93 OT

-12

A26/03

Lega A

Caserta

#13

87-75

+12

H03/04

Lega A

Torino

#15

112-98

112

+14

H10/04

Lega A

Reggiana

102-98

102

A17/04

Lega A

Pistoia

68-77

-9

A24/04

Lega A

23-20

6-14

27-15

21-28

28-34

22-19

30-24

14-18

26-24

19-16

20-27

20-24

14-26

16-23

18-21

17-16

25-18

15-24

27-15

25-6

17-23

15-21

26-15

18-17

23-25

22-17

18-11

24-22

28-28

24-21

34-21

26-28

30-27

22-19

21-24

29-28

23-14

18-15

11-30

16-18

174.8Avg total

87.5Scored

87.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	83.7	81.3	165.0	+2.3	52%
Season at home (14)	88.4	82.4	170.8	+5.9	57%
Season away (15)	79.3	80.3	159.6	-1.1	47%
Last 10 (10)	87.5	87.3	174.8	+0.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	88.2	178.2	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	65.2	81.2	146.3	-16.0	17%
vs Similar (14)	79.5	82.7	162.2	-3.2	36%
vs Weaker (9)	89.0	79.1	168.1	+9.9	67%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#13

91-86

H10/03

Lega A

Venezia

85-81

A13/03

Lega A

Trento

73-83

-10

A15/03

Eurocup

Cantu

#11

72-65

H20/03

Lega A

Trento

79-92

-13

H23/03

Eurocup

Reggiana

84-80

H26/03

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

71-78

-7

A03/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

50-64

-14

A10/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

82-78

H17/04

Lega A

Cremona

81-77

H24/04

Lega A

28-20

23-21

17-22

23-23

20-22

22-18

16-16

27-25

19-21

22-24

12-21

20-17

16-20

20-16

25-9

11-20

19-24

24-24

11-21

25-23

26-28

17-15

19-18

22-19

15-20

23-20

24-16

9-22

10-24

18-14

15-14

7-12

23-17

16-27

22-14

21-20

23-16

18-20

17-25

155.2Avg total

76.8Scored

78.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	81.8	73.2	155.0	+8.6	76%
Season at home (15)	84.5	72.3	156.9	+12.2	93%
Season away (14)	78.9	74.1	152.9	+4.8	57%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	78.4	155.2	-1.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	75.4	149.0	-1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	77.9	76.6	154.5	+1.3	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	82.3	74.2	156.5	+8.1	83%

This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SassariOlimpia Milano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.0	41.3	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	21.9	44.6	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	20.1	38.0	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	23.9	47.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	23.4	47.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	14.7	19.7	34.3	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.3	22.3	43.6	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.7	40.4	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	19.8	41.7	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.0	40.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	19.8	21.1	40.9	-1.3	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.5	19.3	40.8	+2.2	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	19.8	37.3	-2.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.8	23.2	41.0	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.4	18.6	37.1	-0.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.1	18.8	39.9	+2.3	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	17.2	38.5	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	17.9	39.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	16.6	37.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	22.1	18.6	40.7	+3.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.9	16.2	37.1	+4.7	83%	-

SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

29-34

-5

A19/02

Italian Cup

Avellino

50-53

-3

H28/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

45-40

H06/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

30-49

-19

A13/03

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

40-42

-2

H20/03

Lega A

Trento

32-44

-12

A26/03

Lega A

Caserta

#13

45-42

H03/04

Lega A

Torino

#15

52-49

H10/04

Lega A

Reggiana

52-46

A17/04

Lega A

Pistoia

41-29

+12

A24/04

Lega A

84.4Avg total

41.6Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	40.4	79.4	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.6	41.0	83.6	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.4	39.9	75.3	-4.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	42.8	84.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	42.0	86.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	32.5	42.8	75.3	-10.3	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.7	40.9	80.6	-1.2	43%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.3	38.8	82.1	+4.6	78%	-

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#13

51-41

+10

H10/03

Lega A

Venezia

42-40

A13/03

Lega A

Trento

41-45

-4

A15/03

Eurocup

Cantu

#11

36-36

H20/03

Lega A

Trento

43-48

-5

H23/03

Eurocup

Reggiana

43-43

H26/03

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

38-40

-2

A03/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

28-38

-10

A10/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

39-44

-5

H17/04

Lega A

Cremona

46-32

+14

H24/04

Lega A

81.4Avg total

40.7Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	36.9	79.0	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	37.7	80.9	+5.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	36.1	77.0	+4.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	40.7	81.4	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	39.4	78.2	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	41.9	39.7	81.6	+2.2	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	42.4	35.5	77.9	+6.9	67%	-

This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.3	43.5	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.5	18.7	35.2	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.5	21.3	40.8	-1.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.7	19.4	42.1	+3.2	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.6	36.3	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	16.5	34.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	18.7	37.6	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	17.1	35.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.4	36.0	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	16.6	18.0	34.6	-1.4	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.7	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.3	38.6	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.8	38.1	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.8	39.1	-2.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.6	45.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.2	19.7	35.8	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.4	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.7	39.4	-0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.5	41.1	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.9	37.6	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	19.6	34.8	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.7	20.4	40.2	-0.7	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	39.3	78.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	37.9	79.9	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	40.7	77.5	-4.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	40.8	85.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	42.8	87.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	32.7	38.3	71.0	-5.7	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.3	39.7	78.0	-1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (9)	44.6	38.9	83.4	+5.7	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	37.3	75.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	36.0	76.1	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	38.7	75.2	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	37.7	73.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	36.0	70.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	36.0	36.9	72.9	-0.9	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	39.1	38.1	77.2	+0.9	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sassari wins

Olimpia Milano wins

Date	Game	Score
02/01/16	Olimpia Milano v Sassari	87-50
10/06/15	Olimpia Milano v Sassari	81-86 OT
08/06/15	Sassari v Olimpia Milano	67-74
06/06/15	Olimpia Milano v Sassari	95-88
04/06/15	Sassari v Olimpia Milano	80-67
02/06/15	Sassari v Olimpia Milano	84-76
31/05/15	Olimpia Milano v Sassari	84-71
29/05/15	Olimpia Milano v Sassari	75-84
29/03/15	Olimpia Milano v Sassari	97-80
22/02/15	Olimpia Milano v Sassari	94-101

Sassarilast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/04/16	A	Pistoia	68-77
17/04/16	A	Reggiana	102-98
10/04/16	H	Torino	112-98
03/04/16	H	Caserta	87-75
26/03/16	A	Trento	81-93 OT
20/03/16	H	Capo d'Orlando	92-63
13/03/16	A	Pesaro	65-86
06/03/16	H	Virtus Bologna	85-91
28/02/16	H	Avellino	94-95
19/02/16	A	Cremona	89-97 OT

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/04/16	H	Cremona	81-77
17/04/16	H	Pesaro	82-78
10/04/16	A	Brindisi	50-64
03/04/16	A	Capo d'Orlando	71-78
26/03/16	H	Reggiana	84-80
23/03/16	H	Trento	79-92
20/03/16	H	Cantu	72-65
15/03/16	A	Trento	73-83
13/03/16	A	Venezia	85-81
10/03/16	H	Caserta	91-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	52%
Home	LLWWW	57%
Away	WLLWL	47%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	52%	57%	47%
Points / game	83.7	88.4	79.3
Allowed / game	81.3	82.4	80.3
Point differential	+2.3	+5.9	-1.1
Avg total	165.0	170.8	159.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	34%	43%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	50% (2)	50% (6)
Overtime %	17%	7%	27%

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	76%
Home	WWWWW	93%
Away	WWWLL	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	76%	93%	57%
Points / game	81.8	84.5	78.9
Allowed / game	73.2	72.3	74.1
Point differential	+8.6	+12.2	+4.8
Avg total	155.0	156.9	152.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	40%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	69% (13)	88% (8)	40% (5)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	29	22	7	76%	81.8	73.2	+8.6
2	Reggiana	29	20	9	69%	80.8	75.3	+5.4
3	Avellino	29	20	9	69%	79.7	76.6	+3.1
4	Cremona	29	18	11	62%	75.2	74.2	+1.0
5	Venezia	29	15	14	52%	77.0	74.2	+2.8
6	Sassari	29	15	14	52%	83.7	81.3	+2.3
7	Trento	29	15	14	52%	76.6	75.9	+0.7
8	Pistoia	29	15	14	52%	77.4	78.0	-0.6
9	Varese	29	14	15	48%	74.9	77.8	-2.8
10	Brindisi	29	13	16	45%	77.9	78.4	-0.6
11	Pesaro	29	12	17	41%	76.4	78.3	-1.9
12	Cantu	29	11	18	38%	80.4	80.2	+0.2
13	Virtus Bologna	29	11	18	38%	74.5	78.6	-4.0
14	Capo d'Orlando	29	11	18	38%	69.0	73.8	-4.8
15	Caserta	29	10	19	34%	72.3	76.5	-4.1
16	Torino	29	10	19	34%	75.1	80.5	-5.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sassari	22	28	14	19	83
Olimpia Milano	21	18	22	19	80

← all games of the day

Sassari vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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