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Sassari vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 89-83
20-14 21-16 24-28 24-25
Position#8
Record3-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game83.8
Sassari 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#1
Record5-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game75.8
ItalyLega ARound 10· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Sassari v Olimpia Milano
19 Oct 2025
SAS72
MIL76
08 Feb 2025
SAS72
MIL78
03 Dec 2023
SAS89
MIL83
01 Jun 2023
SAS61
MIL93
04 Dec 2022
SAS63
MIL92
01 Jun 2022
SAS69
MIL87
03 Apr 2022
SAS92
MIL90
14 Apr 2021
SAS73
MIL85
22 Mar 2020
SAS v MIL
upcoming
16 Dec 2018
SAS106
MIL107
29 Oct 2017
SAS90
MIL69
12 Mar 2017
SAS75
MIL82
04 May 2016
SAS83
MIL80
08 Jun 2015
SAS67
MIL74
04 Jun 2015
SAS80
MIL67
02 Jun 2015
SAS84
MIL76
07 Dec 2014
SAS111
MIL112
09 Jun 2014
SAS76
MIL95
05 Jun 2014
SAS56
MIL63
03 Jun 2014
SAS76
MIL83
05 Jan 2014
SAS69
MIL75
30 Mar 2013
SAS79
MIL85
30 Oct 2011
SAS60
MIL88
24 May 2011
SAS60
MIL72
22 May 2011
SAS72
MIL91
14 Nov 2010
SAS54
MIL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Szczecin
#38
L
85-93
85
93
-8
77avg 78
A17/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 78
A22/10
Lega A
AEK Athens
#33
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 78
H25/10
Champions League
Tortona
#9
L
74-94
74
94
-20
66avg 78
H28/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
79-90
79
90
-11
68avg 78
A05/11
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 78
A07/11
Champions League
Trento
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
75avg 78
H12/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
63-68
63
68
-5
55avg 78
A19/11
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
80-97
80
97
-17
72avg 78
H22/11
Champions League
Scafati
#14
W
79-76
79
76
+3
84avg 78
H25/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
21-30
17-27
25-8
20-18
15-27
15-19
16-16
33-20
13-12
15-26
18-25
20-22
12-27
19-31
23-14
17-28
23-24
22-19
17-19
23-24
22-14
23-21
21-20
15-22
30-6
27-24
8-21
17-24
17-18
15-10
14-16
18-24
23-30
11-21
28-22
14-21
21-12
19-21
25-22
160.7Avg total
77.4Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.183.8159.9-7.733%
Season at home (5)80.686.0166.6-5.460%
Season away (4)70.581.0151.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)77.483.3160.7-5.930%
Last 5 (5)78.278.6156.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.185.8158.9-12.711%
vs Similar (18)80.880.6161.3+0.256%
vs Weaker (3)86.078.3164.3+7.767%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Monaco
#3
L
66-72
66
72
-6
63avg 78
H02/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
87-57
87
57
+30
83avg 78
A05/11
Lega A
Valencia
#14
W
83-52
83
52
+31
79avg 78
H09/11
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
L
68-77
68
77
-9
57avg 78
A12/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
79-86
79
86
-7
74avg 78
A14/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
92-76
92
76
+16
96avg 78
H16/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
95-72
95
72
+23
98avg 78
H19/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
93-71
93
71
+22
88avg 78
A24/11
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
L
81-86
81
86
-5
79avg 78
H26/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
70-83
70
83
-13
61avg 78
H30/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
19-22
11-17
18-20
15-8
21-20
28-11
23-18
23-12
21-19
20-8
19-13
20-21
16-20
16-21
16-15
26-21
14-24
23-20
16-21
19-18
24-21
20-22
29-15
24-16
20-12
30-18
21-26
20-19
18-20
25-17
30-15
28-19
25-20
10-29
18-18
19-18
12-23
21-18
18-24
154.6Avg total
81.4Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.675.8156.3+4.856%
Season at home (5)84.679.2163.8+5.460%
Season away (4)75.571.5147.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)81.473.2154.6+8.250%
Last 5 (5)86.277.6163.8+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.088.0159.0-17.00%
vs Similar (17)79.375.3154.6+4.053%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)80.575.5156.0+4.955%
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
SassariOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szczecin
#38
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A17/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A22/10
Lega A
AEK Athens
#33
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H25/10
Champions League
Tortona
#9
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H28/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A05/11
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A07/11
Champions League
Trento
#6
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H12/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A19/11
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H22/11
Champions League
Scafati
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H25/11
Lega A
82.7Avg total
39.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.780.9-0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.839.180.9+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)38.542.480.9-3.947%-
Last 10 (10)39.643.182.7-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.079.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.141.279.3-3.144%-
vs Similar (18)40.340.981.2-0.656%-
vs Weaker (3)45.338.383.7+7.0100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H02/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A05/11
Lega A
Valencia
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H09/11
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H16/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H19/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/11
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H26/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H30/11
Euroleague
76.8Avg total
40.2Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.175.8+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.836.576.4+3.371%-
Last 30 away (13)37.237.975.2-0.731%-
Last 10 (10)40.236.676.8+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.279.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.042.084.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (17)38.438.076.4+0.447%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.535.675.2+3.973%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.3
50.9%
53.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.4
33.0%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.315.8
86.3%
76.3%15.8
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.3
54.5%
53.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.6
40.0%
35.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.312.2
74.8%
76.3%12.2
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
WLLWWLLLLL
Olimpia Milano
LLWWWLLWWL
#8
League position
#1
-8.4
Net rating
+9.0
103.8
Offensive rating
113.8
112.2
Defensive rating
104.8
50.4%
Effective FG%
56.9%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
19.6%
Turnover %
17.3%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.0%
3-point %
40.0%
64.8%
Assist %
59.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 113.8Defence112.2 · 104.8Shooting50.4% · 56.9%3-point %33.0% · 40.0%Ball care19.6% · 17.3%Off. rebounds27.0% · 27.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Sassari   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sassari wins
9
Olimpia Milano wins
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HScafati79-76
22/11/23HLudwigsburg80-97
19/11/23APistoia63-68
12/11/23HTrento80-73
07/11/23ALudwigsburg89-79
05/11/23AVarese79-90
28/10/23HTortona74-94
25/10/23HAEK Athens79-83
22/10/23AVirtus Bologna66-80
17/10/23ASzczecin85-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas70-83
26/11/23HPistoia81-86
24/11/23ACrvena zvezda93-71
19/11/23HVenezia95-72
16/11/23HAnadolu Efes92-76
14/11/23AVirtus Bologna79-86
12/11/23AScafati68-77
09/11/23HValencia83-52
05/11/23ABrindisi87-57
02/11/23HMonaco66-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%60%0%
Points / game76.180.670.5
Allowed / game83.886.081.0
Point differential-7.7-5.4-10.5
Avg total159.9166.6151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL56%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game80.684.675.5
Allowed / game75.879.271.5
Point differential+4.8+5.4+4.0
Avg total156.3163.8147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia97278%87.775.3+12.3
2 Virtus Bologna97278%87.978.2+9.7
3 Venezia97278%81.476.2+5.2
4 Basket Napoli107370%85.379.7+5.6
5 Trento96367%83.481.7+1.8
6 Reggiana106460%85.682.1+3.5
7 Olimpia Milano95456%80.675.8+4.8
8 Tortona95456%78.079.4-1.4
9 Pistoia105550%78.479.4-1.0
10 Cremona94544%88.185.2+2.9
11 Scafati94544%88.888.4+0.3
12 Pesaro104640%82.287.6-5.4
13 Sassari93633%76.183.8-7.7
14 Varese93633%85.694.3-8.8
15 Brindisi91811%69.380.8-11.4
16 Treviso9090%78.188.8-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari2021242489
Olimpia Milano1416282583
← all games of the day
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