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Sassari vs Olimpia Milano Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 17:15
Postponed
Position#2
Record16-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Position#4
Record14-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game74.0
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Sassari v Olimpia Milano
19 Oct 2025
SAS72
MIL76
08 Feb 2025
SAS72
MIL78
03 Dec 2023
SAS89
MIL83
01 Jun 2023
SAS61
MIL93
04 Dec 2022
SAS63
MIL92
01 Jun 2022
SAS69
MIL87
03 Apr 2022
SAS92
MIL90
14 Apr 2021
SAS73
MIL85
22 Mar 2020
SAS v MIL
upcoming
16 Dec 2018
SAS106
MIL107
29 Oct 2017
SAS90
MIL69
12 Mar 2017
SAS75
MIL82
04 May 2016
SAS83
MIL80
08 Jun 2015
SAS67
MIL74
04 Jun 2015
SAS80
MIL67
02 Jun 2015
SAS84
MIL76
07 Dec 2014
SAS111
MIL112
09 Jun 2014
SAS76
MIL95
05 Jun 2014
SAS56
MIL63
03 Jun 2014
SAS76
MIL83
05 Jan 2014
SAS69
MIL75
30 Mar 2013
SAS79
MIL85
30 Oct 2011
SAS60
MIL88
24 May 2011
SAS60
MIL72
22 May 2011
SAS72
MIL91
14 Nov 2010
SAS54
MIL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H15/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H22/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
101-79
101
79
+22
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A04/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H12/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
107-82
107
82
+25
A19/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H25/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
21-18
27-15
19-22
22-17
21-21
27-19
21-20
29-18
22-16
28-25
22-20
21-22
17-22
25-15
21-15
20-15
12-24
23-13
23-18
28-25
22-18
25-27
18-17
25-19
28-25
36-19
18-19
19-26
18-19
26-27
24-18
24-20
20-14
20-19
18-30
24-19
30-16
19-27
20-26
171.2Avg total
90.2Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.575.9161.4+9.676%
Season at home (10)88.377.5165.8+10.880%
Season away (11)83.074.5157.5+8.573%
Last 10 (10)90.281.0171.2+9.280%
Last 5 (5)92.486.0178.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)87.778.7166.3+9.083%
vs Weaker (24)87.376.8164.2+10.583%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#17
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A08/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A15/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A29/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
91-67
91
67
+24
H12/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A19/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A26/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
14-14
21-16
19-19
20-19
21-22
18-13
12-16
28-21
15-17
19-9
19-22
20-24
20-22
16-17
14-20
19-22
17-26
26-13
21-28
19-22
22-19
20-15
30-11
15-9
19-20
17-27
21-22
23-15
18-19
25-12
19-21
14-16
18-18
24-15
21-25
23-16
19-23
17-22
18-13
151.4Avg total
77.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.374.0154.4+6.367%
Season at home (11)84.575.0159.5+9.573%
Season away (10)75.873.0148.8+2.860%
Last 10 (10)77.873.6151.4+4.270%
Last 5 (5)80.472.0152.4+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.592.0174.5-9.50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.379.9162.2+2.460%
vs Weaker (18)81.173.8154.9+7.372%
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
SassariOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H15/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H12/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A19/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H25/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A07/03
Lega A
84.1Avg total
44.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.238.682.8+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.640.285.8+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)42.736.779.4+6.064%-
Last 10 (10)44.239.984.1+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.287.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.541.383.8+1.267%-
vs Weaker (24)44.737.982.5+6.867%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#17
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A08/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A15/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A29/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A19/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A26/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/02
Lega A
76.1Avg total
38.1Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.077.4+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.538.279.7+3.356%-
Last 30 away (14)37.037.974.9-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.076.1+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.473.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.544.090.5+2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.138.878.9+1.340%-
vs Weaker (18)38.236.975.2+1.356%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.6
54.4%
52.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.410.5
44.9%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws26.420.5
77.7%
73.6%20.5
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.0
46.6%
52.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.7
37.2%
35.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.718.5
74.9%
73.6%18.5
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
WLLWWWWWWW
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWLLWWW
#2
League position
#4
+12.4
Net rating
+5.4
123.1
Offensive rating
109.1
110.7
Defensive rating
103.7
59.6%
Effective FG%
50.3%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
20.2%
Turnover %
19.3%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.43
44.9%
3-point %
37.2%
61.5%
Assist %
55.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence123.1 · 109.1Defence110.7 · 103.7Shooting59.6% · 50.3%3-point %44.9% · 37.2%Ball care20.2% · 19.3%Off. rebounds36.4% · 33.1%Free throws0.46 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Sassari   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sassari wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20AVirtus Roma93-88
02/02/20ATrieste82-83
25/01/20HTrento87-90
19/01/20APesaro107-82
12/01/20HVarese93-87
04/01/20APistoia78-70
30/12/19HCremona84-74
27/12/19ATreviso101-79
22/12/19HVirtus Bologna91-77
15/12/19HFortitudo Bologna86-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HCremona77-74
01/02/20ABrindisi77-74
26/01/20ATrieste85-67
19/01/20ABrescia72-78
12/01/20HTreviso91-67
05/01/20HCantu83-89
29/12/19AVirtus Bologna70-83
22/12/19HTrento81-69
15/12/19AVenezia71-70
08/12/19APesaro71-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW76%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%80%73%
Points / game85.588.383.0
Allowed / game75.977.574.5
Point differential+9.6+10.8+8.5
Avg total161.4165.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%73%60%
Points / game80.384.575.8
Allowed / game74.075.073.0
Point differential+6.3+9.5+2.8
Avg total154.4159.5148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%64%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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