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Sassari vs Venezia Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 13 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 19:00
Postponed
Position#2
Record16-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game75.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record11-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game75.3
ItalyLega ARound 25
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Sassari v Venezia
19 Apr 2026
SAS79
VEN98
09 Mar 2025
SAS96
VEN97
30 Dec 2023
SAS62
VEN73
20 May 2023
SAS87
VEN83
18 May 2023
SAS80
VEN69
04 Mar 2023
SAS90
VEN81
16 Apr 2022
SAS63
VEN66
18 May 2021
SAS86
VEN73
16 May 2021
SAS75
VEN60
27 Feb 2021
SAS96
VEN88
13 Mar 2020
SAS v VEN
upcoming
10 Nov 2018
SAS83
VEN86
22 Apr 2018
SAS84
VEN92
03 May 2017
SAS85
VEN89
01 Nov 2015
SAS70
VEN82
03 May 2015
SAS88
VEN80
16 Mar 2014
SAS100
VEN95
17 Feb 2013
SAS108
VEN84
02 May 2012
SAS81
VEN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
H15/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
91-77
91
77
+14
86avg 96
H22/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
101-79
101
79
+22
no box
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
82avg 96
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
78-70
78
70
+8
80avg 96
A04/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
93-87
93
87
+6
92avg 96
H12/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
107-82
107
82
+25
no box
A19/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
79avg 96
H25/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
93-88
93
88
+5
91avg 96
A07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
21-18
27-15
19-22
22-17
21-21
27-19
21-20
29-18
22-16
28-25
22-20
21-22
17-22
25-15
21-15
20-15
12-24
23-13
23-18
28-25
22-18
25-27
18-17
25-19
28-25
36-19
18-19
19-26
18-19
26-27
24-18
24-20
20-14
20-19
18-30
24-19
30-16
19-27
20-26
171.2Avg total
90.2Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.575.9161.4+9.676%
Season at home (10)88.377.5165.8+10.880%
Season away (11)83.074.5157.5+8.573%
Last 10 (10)90.281.0171.2+9.280%
Last 5 (5)92.486.0178.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)87.778.7166.3+9.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.376.8164.2+10.583%
This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
104-85
104
85
+19
no box
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
79-77
79
77
+2
70avg 86
H26/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
98-92
98
92
+6
91avg 86
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
64-70
64
70
-6
55avg 86
A04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
76avg 86
A12/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-70
80
70
+10
71avg 86
H18/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 86
H25/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
77-81
77
81
-4
69avg 86
A02/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 86
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
22-21
13-18
16-12
30-29
28-23
21-18
25-15
10-17
30-26
18-21
21-13
28-28
26-21
20-18
24-25
14-10
18-15
15-16
17-29
17-23
23-8
21-17
20-24
21-17
15-20
20-14
24-19
21-21
18-23
16-19
16-20
21-22
20-17
16-21
20-21
25-23
13-14
15-14
26-22
157.7Avg total
80.3Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.075.3153.3+2.752%
Season at home (11)75.669.4145.0+6.382%
Season away (10)80.681.9162.5-1.320%
Last 10 (10)80.377.4157.7+2.960%
Last 5 (5)77.675.8153.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)65.070.5135.5-5.525%
vs Similar (8)79.081.2160.2-2.225%
vs Weaker (18)79.974.7154.7+5.272%
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
SassariVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H15/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H12/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A19/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H25/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
54-35
54
35
+19
A07/03
Lega A
84.1Avg total
44.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.238.682.8+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.640.285.8+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)42.736.779.4+6.064%-
Last 10 (10)44.239.984.1+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.287.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)42.541.383.8+1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.737.982.5+6.867%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H26/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A12/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H25/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H09/02
Lega A
81.7Avg total
41.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.677.9+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.536.875.2+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)40.240.680.9-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.881.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.676.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.832.568.2+3.275%-
vs Similar (8)40.643.684.2-3.025%-
vs Weaker (18)39.537.777.2+1.856%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.6
54.4%
52.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.410.5
44.9%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws26.420.5
77.7%
73.6%20.5
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.3
50.8%
52.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.3
36.7%
35.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
73.6%12.2
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
WLLWWWWWWW
Venezia
WLLWWLWWWL
#2
League position
#7
+12.4
Net rating
+4.4
123.1
Offensive rating
113.4
110.7
Defensive rating
109.0
59.6%
Effective FG%
52.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
20.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.26
44.9%
3-point %
36.7%
61.5%
Assist %
55.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence123.1 · 113.4Defence110.7 · 109.0Shooting59.6% · 52.7%3-point %44.9% · 36.7%Ball care20.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds36.4% · 33.7%Free throws0.46 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Sassari   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sassari wins
7
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
10/11/19Venezia v Sassari55-54
10/03/19Venezia v Sassari98-90
15/02/19Venezia v Sassari88-89
10/11/18Sassari v Venezia83-86
22/04/18Sassari v Venezia84-92
26/12/17Venezia v Sassari82-80 OT
23/09/17Venezia v Sassari86-79
03/05/17Sassari v Venezia85-89
01/01/17Venezia v Sassari71-84
13/02/16Venezia v Sassari70-74 OT
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20AVirtus Roma93-88
02/02/20ATrieste82-83
25/01/20HTrento87-90
19/01/20APesaro107-82
12/01/20HVarese93-87
04/01/20APistoia78-70
30/12/19HCremona84-74
27/12/19ATreviso101-79
22/12/19HVirtus Bologna91-77
15/12/19HFortitudo Bologna86-80
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HTreviso79-73
02/02/20ACantu77-81
25/01/20HVirtus Bologna71-83
18/01/20HFortitudo Bologna80-70
12/01/20ATrieste81-72
04/01/20ABrescia64-70
29/12/19HPesaro98-92
26/12/19HVirtus Roma79-77
22/12/19AReggiana104-85
15/12/19HOlimpia Milano70-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW76%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%80%73%
Points / game85.588.383.0
Allowed / game75.977.574.5
Point differential+9.6+10.8+8.5
Avg total161.4165.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%82%20%
Points / game78.075.680.6
Allowed / game75.369.481.9
Point differential+2.7+6.3-1.3
Avg total153.3145.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)75% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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