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Saudi Arabia vs Qatar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 73-76
18-17 15-15 21-15 19-29
Position#59
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Qatar 🏆
Position#50
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game74.6
EuropeWorld CupRound 6· King Abdullah Sports City Hall Stadium
Other2027
Meetings · Saudi Arabia v Qatar
05 Jul 2026
SAUD73
QATA76
20 Feb 2020
SAUD68
QATA57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saudi Arabia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Qatar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArabia
Date
Competition
Palestine
#22
W
93-71
93
71
+22
no box
H24/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
77avg 74
A05/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
77-73
77
73
+4
73avg 74
H07/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
84-59
84
59
+25
83avg 74
A09/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
71avg 74
H11/08
Asia Cup
India
#91
W
75-51
75
51
+24
no box
H27/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
81-57
81
57
+24
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
64-94
64
94
-30
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Qatar
#50
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
A29/06
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
82-88
82
88
-6
no box
H02/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
25-21
22-21
21-13
22-30
21-23
22-27
23-13
21-17
27-14
19-22
10-20
24-25
21-6
21-18
18-10
15-25
22-15
22-20
20-19
28-16
17-16
16-11
14-8
19-9
24-12
26-15
12-21
17-26
16-25
13-28
18-15
29-20
17-15
22-24
18-21
19-22
23-19
24-22
16-25
157.9Avg total
81.8Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.674.0151.6+3.660%
Season at home (2)78.569.5148.0+9.050%
Season away (3)77.077.0154.0+0.067%
Last 10 (10)81.876.1157.9+5.760%
Last 5 (5)77.674.0151.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)64.285.3149.5-21.20%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.079.8156.8-2.850%
vs Weaker (12)78.961.2140.2+17.7100%
This opponent (Qatar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQatar
Date
Competition
Kazakhstan
#21
W
92-71
92
71
+21
no box
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
81-61
81
61
+20
no box
H24/02
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
80-84
80
84
-4
71avg 68
H06/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
83-97
83
97
-14
70avg 68
A08/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
82-110
82
110
-28
61avg 68
H10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
74-75
74
75
-1
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A30/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
99-73
99
73
+26
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
H29/06
World Cup
India
#91
W
65-56
65
56
+9
no box
A02/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
25-16
29-23
18-19
17-18
25-4
17-19
22-20
11-16
24-19
16-26
29-23
22-25
16-28
23-22
22-22
20-22
23-24
20-31
19-33
9-21
17-12
17-17
31-25
14-19
21-19
25-17
26-28
28-17
17-26
30-9
24-21
20-29
15-17
24-22
21-18
7-12
15-18
20-14
23-12
161.8Avg total
82.2Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.874.6155.4+6.260%
Season at home (3)84.378.0162.3+6.333%
Season away (2)75.569.5145.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.279.6161.8+2.650%
Last 5 (5)80.874.6155.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.384.6150.9-18.313%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.170.1137.3-3.043%
vs Weaker (8)75.963.2139.1+12.688%
This opponent (Saudi Arabia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.4+1.4
Saudi ArabiaQatar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palestine
#22
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H24/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A05/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H07/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A09/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H11/08
Asia Cup
India
#91
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H27/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A30/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A27/02
World Cup
Qatar
#50
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A29/06
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H02/07
World Cup
80.4Avg total
43.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.074.9-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.236.975.1+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)35.639.174.7-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)43.237.280.4+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.077.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.944.775.6-13.78%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.838.580.3+3.350%-
vs Weaker (12)40.431.171.5+9.383%-
This opponent (Qatar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QatarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kazakhstan
#21
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H24/02
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H06/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A08/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H27/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H27/02
World Cup
Saudi Arabia
#59
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H29/06
World Cup
India
#91
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A02/07
World Cup
74.1Avg total
36.6Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.038.271.2-5.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.338.072.3-3.727%-
Last 30 away (15)31.738.470.1-6.727%-
Last 10 (10)36.637.574.1-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)32.638.070.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.342.673.9-11.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)32.737.370.0-4.614%-
vs Weaker (8)36.430.867.1+5.688%-
This opponent (Saudi Arabia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Saudi Arabiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saudi Arabia: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.5
51.2%
-35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.1
29.7%
-27.3
🏀 Free throws20.413.4
65.7%
-13.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Qatartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qatar: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.1
50.4%
-42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.0
27.7%
-18.0
🏀 Free throws27.518.1
65.9%
-18.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 05 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saudi Arabia
LWLWWLWWLW
Qatar
WLWWLLLLWW
#59
League position
#50
+4.3
Net rating
+1.4
102.6
Offensive rating
100.9
98.3
Defensive rating
99.4
48.1%
Effective FG%
47.4%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.1%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.43
29.7%
3-point %
27.7%
59.0%
Assist %
51.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Saudi Arabia   ■ Qatar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Saudi Arabia wins
0
Qatar wins
DateGameScore
29/06/26Qatar v Saudi Arabia80-86
30/11/20Qatar v Saudi Arabia67-73 OT
20/02/20Saudi Arabia v Qatar68-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/26HLebanon82-88
29/06/26AQatar86-80
27/02/26ALebanon64-94
30/11/25AIndia81-57
27/11/25HIndia75-51
11/08/25HPhilippines88-95 OT
09/08/25AIndia84-59
07/08/25HJordan77-73
05/08/25AChina88-93
24/02/25HPalestine93-71
Qatarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/26AIndia65-56
29/06/26HSaudi Arabia80-86
27/02/26HIndia99-73
30/11/25ALebanon86-83
27/11/25HLebanon74-75
10/08/25HAustralia82-110
08/08/25ASouth Korea83-97
06/08/25HLebanon80-84
24/02/25HIndia81-61
21/02/25AKazakhstan92-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saudi Arabia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game77.678.577.0
Allowed / game74.069.577.0
Point differential+3.6+9.0+0.0
Avg total151.6148.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Qatar
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game80.884.375.5
Allowed / game74.678.069.5
Point differential+6.2+6.3+6.0
Avg total155.4162.3145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Australia550100%94.670.8+23.8
3 Spain550100%87.467.2+20.2
4 Canada550100%101.682.6+19.0
5 Brazil550100%91.674.4+17.2
6 Poland550100%94.878.4+16.4
7 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
8 Mali550100%82.071.6+10.4
9 Croatia98189%96.969.8+27.1
10 Iran65183%75.363.5+11.8
11 Jordan54180%80.858.6+22.2
12 South Sudan54180%84.462.8+21.6
13 Ivory Coast54180%90.269.8+20.4
14 Senegal54180%88.068.6+19.4
15 Argentina54180%84.265.8+18.4
16 Lebanon54180%87.872.4+15.4
17 Uruguay54180%80.467.8+12.6
18 Italy54180%87.475.4+12.0
19 Japan54180%84.073.8+10.2
20 Germany54180%88.680.2+8.4
21 France54180%81.473.6+7.8
22 Cameroon54180%76.471.4+5.0
23 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
24 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
25 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
26 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
27 Guinea64267%72.564.3+8.2
28 Tunisia64267%74.868.5+6.3
29 Nigeria64267%79.774.7+5.0
30 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
31 Angola53260%84.072.2+11.8
32 Greece53260%75.467.4+8.0
33 Lithuania53260%91.884.6+7.2
34 New Zealand53260%86.079.6+6.4
35 Qatar53260%80.874.6+6.2
36 Estonia53260%87.281.6+5.6
37 Slovenia53260%86.882.6+4.2
38 Saudi Arabia53260%77.674.0+3.6
39 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
40 Montenegro53260%69.274.0-4.8
41 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
42 Netherlands95456%79.975.7+4.2
43 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
44 Cape Verde63350%79.881.8-2.0
45 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
46 Colombia42250%79.284.5-5.2
47 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
48 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
49 Austria136746%84.382.8+1.5
50 Hungary94544%80.478.4+2.0
51 Philippines52340%83.277.0+6.2
52 Israel52340%80.674.8+5.8
53 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
54 Portugal52340%82.878.6+4.2
55 Egypt52340%77.874.4+3.4
56 Bahamas52340%90.289.2+1.0
57 South Korea52340%77.477.8-0.4
58 Latvia52340%78.079.8-1.8
59 Georgia52340%78.881.6-2.8
60 Sweden52340%81.284.8-3.6
61 China52340%82.487.0-4.6
62 Chinese Taipei52340%77.883.0-5.2
63 Czech Republic52340%82.688.8-6.2
64 Panama52340%76.885.8-9.0
65 Jamaica52340%88.0100.2-12.2
66 D.R. Congo52340%67.081.2-14.2
67 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
68 Syria62433%66.078.3-12.3
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Venezuela41325%80.586.2-5.8
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Puerto Rico51420%84.492.2-7.8
77 Chile51420%71.079.4-8.4
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium5050%72.279.0-6.8
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Iraq5050%69.891.4-21.6
87 Cuba5050%66.088.0-22.0
88 Nicaragua3030%70.794.3-23.7
89 India5050%58.683.8-25.2
90 Madagascar5050%68.093.6-25.6
91 Uganda5050%62.888.4-25.6
92 Guam5050%63.299.6-36.4
93 Cyprus5050%56.496.6-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saudi Arabia1815211973
Qatar1715152976
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