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Varese vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 95-81
32-16 14-21 23-20 26-24
Position#4
Record16-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game90.8
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#11
Record11-17
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game79.7
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Varese v Scafati
04 Apr 2027
VAR v SKA
upcoming
30 Mar 2025
VAR95
SKA82
19 Nov 2023
VAR94
SKA93
30 Apr 2023
VAR95
SKA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
W
101-93
101
93
+8
92avg 82
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
110-99
110
99
+11
108avg 82
H11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
73-102
73
102
-29
68avg 82
A18/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
98-94
98
94
+4
97avg 82
H26/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
97-95
97
95
+2
91avg 82
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
69avg 82
H08/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
83-80
83
80
+3
72avg 82
A16/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
93avg 82
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
no box
A23/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-29
23-15
29-23
16-17
28-29
28-33
25-16
20-15
34-23
28-36
26-21
22-19
21-27
21-24
4-32
27-19
15-27
28-22
30-27
25-18
28-21
20-30
24-22
25-22
14-29
26-20
15-17
26-19
17-24
21-19
23-22
22-15
20-27
25-24
30-12
18-23
18-23
18-19
17-21
28-29
180.7Avg total
89.7Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)91.090.8181.9+0.257%
Season at home (14)92.489.1181.5+3.264%
Season away (14)89.792.5182.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)89.791.0180.7-1.360%
Last 5 (5)87.087.6174.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.8100.2189.0-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.589.1176.6-1.547%
vs Weaker (10)97.791.6189.3+6.190%
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
75avg 72
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
64avg 72
A05/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
69avg 72
H12/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
88-89
88
89
-1
81avg 72
A19/03
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
93-85
93
85
+8
87avg 72
H25/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
70-78 OT
70
78
-8
no box
A02/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
85-84
85
84
+1
79avg 72
H11/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
86-79
86
79
+7
84avg 72
A16/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
81-83
81
83
-2
76avg 72
H19/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
86-78
86
78
+8
82avg 72
A23/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
14-13
23-23
18-24
21-26
18-26
12-25
29-12
21-23
21-23
20-16
18-28
17-24
19-14
14-24
38-27
19-19
32-21
18-26
24-19
20-14
16-14
15-17
12-18
23-23
15-27
24-18
23-16
15-18
16-19
22-19
33-23
18-15
19-28
22-21
22-19
27-18
26-18
13-20
20-22
165.7Avg total
82.3Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.879.7158.4-0.939%
Season at home (14)81.480.9162.4+0.550%
Season away (14)76.178.4154.5-2.429%
Last 10 (10)82.383.4165.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)81.680.4162.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.881.0158.8-3.225%
vs Similar ◀ (19)77.380.6157.9-3.332%
vs Weaker (7)82.976.4159.3+6.471%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
VareseScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A15/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#12
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A05/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H11/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A18/03
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A02/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H08/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A16/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A23/04
Lega A
94.6Avg total
44.5Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.747.192.9-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.745.791.4+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)45.748.694.3-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)44.550.194.6-5.610%-
Last 5 (5)41.447.288.6-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.851.893.5-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.744.590.2+1.360%-
vs Weaker (10)48.449.698.0-1.240%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A05/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H12/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A19/03
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A02/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H11/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A16/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H19/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A23/04
Lega A
79.8Avg total
39.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.478.5-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.341.983.2-0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)36.636.473.1+0.243%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.279.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.877.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.245.084.2-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.639.977.5-2.342%-
vs Weaker (7)43.134.777.9+8.471%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.3
54.7%
51.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.2
36.1%
36.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws20.815.9
76.4%
76.1%15.9
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.4
47.2%
51.3%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.4
39.0%
36.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws19.516.8
86.2%
76.1%16.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWWLWWLWWL
Scafati
WLWWLWLLLL
#4
League position
#11
-2.2
Net rating
-0.7
111.8
Offensive rating
113.4
113.9
Defensive rating
114.1
54.4%
Effective FG%
52.6%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.8%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.1%
3-point %
39.0%
58.4%
Assist %
63.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 113.4Defence113.9 · 114.1Shooting54.4% · 52.6%3-point %36.1% · 39.0%Ball care16.2% · 16.8%Off. rebounds25.6% · 30.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Varese   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
0
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
06/11/22Scafati v Varese93-101
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23AVenezia81-92
19/04/23HBrindisi93-86
16/04/23ATrieste83-80
08/04/23HReggiana81-85
02/04/23ATreviso97-95
26/03/23HVerona98-94
18/03/23ASassari73-102
11/03/23HPesaro110-99
05/03/23ABasket Napoli101-93
15/02/23APesaro80-84
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23AVerona86-78
19/04/23HVirtus Bologna81-83
16/04/23APesaro86-79
11/04/23HBrindisi85-84
02/04/23AReggiana70-78 OT
25/03/23HTrieste93-85
19/03/23ATreviso88-89
12/03/23HSassari80-90
05/03/23AOlimpia Milano80-89
12/02/23HTrento74-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeLWWLW64%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game91.092.489.7
Allowed / game90.889.192.5
Point differential+0.2+3.2-2.8
Avg total181.9181.5182.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)57% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Scafati
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW39%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %39%50%29%
Points / game78.881.476.1
Allowed / game79.780.978.4
Point differential-0.9+0.5-2.4
Avg total158.4162.4154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)67% (6)17% (6)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2822679%84.177.2+6.9
2 Olimpia Milano2821775%83.073.2+9.9
3 Tortona28181064%80.577.8+2.7
4 Sassari28161257%84.880.6+4.2
5 Venezia28161257%82.880.1+2.7
6 Varese28161257%91.090.8+0.2
7 Brindisi28141450%83.382.2+1.1
8 Trento28141450%76.177.0-0.9
9 Brescia28131546%82.580.9+1.6
10 Pesaro29131645%84.487.4-3.0
11 Scafati28111739%78.879.7-0.9
12 Treviso28111739%81.186.2-5.1
13 Basket Napoli29111838%79.083.9-4.9
14 Reggiana28101836%75.676.9-1.3
15 Trieste28101836%78.283.9-5.7
16 Verona2891932%78.485.6-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese3214232695
Scafati1621202481
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