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Pesaro vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-86
18-15 19-16 19-22 23-33
Position#10
Record12-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game86.9
vs
Scafati 🏆
Italy
Position#11
Record9-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game79.6
ItalyLega ARound 26
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pesaro v Scafati
09 Nov 2025
PES71
SKA69
22 Oct 2023
PES103
SKA107
16 Apr 2023
PES79
SKA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
85-74
85
74
+11
74avg 73
H05/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
65avg 73
A12/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
57-74
57
74
-17
no box
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#9
L
70-100
70
100
-30
50avg 73
H05/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
99-110
99
110
-11
92avg 73
A11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
88-79
88
79
+9
88avg 73
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
67avg 73
A26/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 73
H02/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-102
70
102
-32
61avg 73
A09/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
15-21
18-19
28-19
7-28
30-20
23-29
17-16
29-12
15-23
23-29
17-16
16-14
6-22
14-15
21-23
15-15
10-26
24-27
21-32
23-34
36-28
21-26
19-22
18-22
17-15
24-22
29-20
24-32
18-13
12-23
22-20
16-20
17-24
19-20
18-20
22-19
9-31
27-30
12-22
166.0Avg total
77.6Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.386.9171.2-2.648%
Season at home (12)84.384.2168.5+0.258%
Season away (13)84.289.4173.6-5.238%
Last 10 (10)77.688.4166.0-10.830%
Last 5 (5)80.692.6173.2-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)78.587.6166.1-9.132%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.580.9166.4+4.660%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A22/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
89-85
89
85
+4
no box
H28/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
69-71
69
71
-2
58avg 71
A05/02
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
75avg 71
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
64avg 71
A05/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
69avg 71
H12/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
88-89
88
89
-1
81avg 71
A19/03
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
93-85
93
85
+8
87avg 71
H25/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
70-78 OT
70
78
-8
no box
A02/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
85-84
85
84
+1
79avg 71
H11/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
21-18
17-26
23-14
19-23
25-17
20-23
25-22
16-9
16-19
12-17
25-26
19-19
14-13
23-23
18-24
21-26
18-26
12-25
29-12
21-23
21-23
20-16
18-28
17-24
19-14
14-24
38-27
19-19
32-21
18-26
24-19
20-14
16-14
15-17
12-18
23-23
15-27
24-18
23-16
163.1Avg total
80.2Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)78.179.6157.7-1.636%
Season at home (13)81.580.8162.2+0.754%
Season away (12)74.478.4152.8-4.017%
Last 10 (10)80.282.9163.1-2.730%
Last 5 (5)83.285.2168.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.780.3157.0-3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.880.7157.6-3.928%
vs Weaker (9)77.474.0151.4+3.456%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
PesaroScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H05/02
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A12/02
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H15/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#1
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A18/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#9
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H05/03
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H18/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A26/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H02/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A09/04
Lega A
80.1Avg total
36.7Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.982.1-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.939.180.1+1.864%-
Last 30 away (16)39.644.283.8-4.731%-
Last 10 (10)36.743.480.1-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)40.047.687.6-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.343.082.3-3.732%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.640.482.0+1.270%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#3
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A22/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A05/02
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A05/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H12/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A19/03
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A02/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H11/04
Lega A
77.8Avg total
38.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.777.2-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.140.681.8+0.556%-
Last 30 away (14)35.536.672.1-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.377.8-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.481.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.045.785.7-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.040.178.1-2.144%-
vs Weaker (9)39.033.872.8+5.256%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.3
48.7%
51.3%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.0
36.1%
36.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.512.8
73.1%
76.1%12.8
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.915.2
49.2%
51.3%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.2
37.3%
36.4%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.315.7
85.8%
76.1%15.7
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLWLLLWLW
Scafati
WLWLLLLLWL
#10
League position
#11
-17.1
Net rating
-4.2
104.0
Offensive rating
112.3
121.1
Defensive rating
116.5
51.1%
Effective FG%
52.5%
61.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.1%
3-point %
37.3%
56.8%
Assist %
70.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 112.3Defence121.1 · 116.5Shooting51.1% · 52.5%3-point %36.1% · 37.3%Ball care17.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds25.3% · 29.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Pesaro   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
0
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
15/01/23Scafati v Pesaro69-81
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/23AOlimpia Milano70-102
02/04/23HTrento70-84
26/03/23AVirtus Bologna76-88
18/03/23HBrescia88-79
11/03/23AVarese99-110
05/03/23HBrindisi70-100
18/02/23ABrescia57-74
15/02/23HVarese84-80
12/02/23AVenezia77-93
05/02/23HReggiana85-74
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/23HBrindisi85-84
02/04/23AReggiana70-78 OT
25/03/23HTrieste93-85
19/03/23ATreviso88-89
12/03/23HSassari80-90
05/03/23AOlimpia Milano80-89
12/02/23HTrento74-79
05/02/23ABasket Napoli69-71
28/01/23HVenezia89-85
22/01/23ATortona74-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL48%
HomeWWLWL58%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %48%58%38%
Points / game84.384.384.2
Allowed / game86.984.289.4
Point differential-2.6+0.2-5.2
Avg total171.2168.5173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Scafati
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW36%
HomeWLLWW54%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %36%54%17%
Points / game78.181.574.4
Allowed / game79.680.878.4
Point differential-1.6+0.7-4.0
Avg total157.7162.2152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)80% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2620677%84.177.4+6.7
2 Olimpia Milano2619773%82.572.9+9.6
3 Tortona2617965%81.278.0+3.2
4 Sassari26151158%84.780.4+4.3
5 Varese26151158%91.391.0+0.4
6 Venezia26141254%82.680.3+2.3
7 Brindisi26141254%83.681.6+2.0
8 Trento26131350%76.077.5-1.4
9 Pesaro25121348%84.386.9-2.6
10 Brescia26121446%83.281.4+1.8
11 Reggiana26101638%76.177.1-1.0
12 Trieste26101638%78.082.8-4.8
13 Treviso26101638%80.786.2-5.5
14 Scafati2591636%78.179.6-1.6
15 Basket Napoli2691735%78.384.2-5.9
16 Verona2681831%78.786.2-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1819192379
Scafati1516223386
← all games of the day
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