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Pistoia vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 73-78
14-25 28-12 20-25 11-16
Position#10
Record0-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Trento 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record1-0
FormLWLWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game84.0
ItalyLega ARound 2· PalaCarrara
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pistoia v Trento
17 Nov 2024
PIS88
TRE92
08 Oct 2023
PIS73
TRE78
12 Jan 2020
PIS71
TRE74
26 Dec 2018
PIS70
TRE78
23 Dec 2017
PIS79
TRE86
20 Nov 2016
PIS84
TRE78
19 Feb 2016
PIS74
TRE81
31 Jan 2016
PIS64
TRE69
18 Mar 2015
PIS86
TRE69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
L
73-74
73
74
-1
no box
A27/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
68-82
68
82
-14
no box
A29/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
H01/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
H03/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
75-67
75
67
+8
no box
A06/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
67-61
67
61
+6
no box
H10/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
69-62
69
62
+7
no box
H12/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
no box
A15/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
A17/06
Serie A2
Varese
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
74avg 74
A04/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
20-14
10-18
24-25
24-20
9-25
23-24
12-13
25-19
12-14
15-21
21-15
25-15
21-22
12-15
22-25
14-15
15-24
26-18
20-10
18-21
19-8
11-16
19-16
11-16
18-13
24-17
16-16
25-28
15-21
19-12
8-17
20-14
21-15
14-16
18-16
24-27
26-17
23-18
9-21
144.1Avg total
72.7Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.083.0165.0-1.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)82.083.0165.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)72.771.4144.1+1.360%
Last 5 (5)71.669.0140.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)70.273.4143.6-3.147%
vs Weaker (13)83.273.9157.1+9.277%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
65avg 67
H18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
79avg 67
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 67
H30/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
70-94
70
94
-24
54avg 67
A07/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 67
A14/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
71avg 67
A16/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
74avg 67
H19/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
81-82
81
82
-1
72avg 67
H21/05
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 67
H30/09
Lega A
Ulm
#9
L
70-80
70
80
-10
67avg 67
A03/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
21-12
8-21
16-14
17-18
22-14
17-18
30-23
12-22
29-18
20-22
25-22
19-29
14-22
16-30
21-13
18-19
27-24
12-19
21-17
17-18
17-23
24-25
23-18
10-12
18-27
22-14
29-23
27-19
12-25
20-26
22-12
33-20
19-22
20-24
19-18
18-16
20-26
16-18
16-20
159.7Avg total
79.1Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)91.084.0175.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)91.084.0175.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.180.6159.7-1.540%
Last 5 (5)80.481.2161.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.385.6160.9-10.310%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.178.7158.8+1.456%
vs Weaker (3)76.774.3151.0+2.333%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +4.2+4.2
PistoiaTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A27/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A29/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H01/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H03/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A06/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H10/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H12/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A15/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A17/06
Serie A2
Varese
#12
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A04/10
Lega A
74.6Avg total
38.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.777.7+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.034.973.9+4.162%-
Last 30 away (17)38.941.680.5-2.635%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.574.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.075.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.337.674.9-0.447%-
vs Weaker (13)41.240.181.2+1.146%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H30/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A07/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A16/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H19/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H30/09
Lega A
Ulm
#9
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A03/10
Eurocup
80.3Avg total
39.4Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.279.2-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.439.279.7+1.262%-
Last 30 away (14)37.441.478.7-4.029%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.980.3-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.679.8-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.843.583.3-3.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.839.278.0-0.550%-
vs Weaker (3)38.735.374.0+3.367%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.1
47.1%
53.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.67.5
28.2%
35.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.915.9
76.1%
76.3%15.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.0
54.3%
53.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.5
37.6%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.414.2
77.2%
76.3%14.2
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LWLWWWWWLL
Trento
LWLWLLLWWL
#10
League position
#6
-11.4
Net rating
-1.7
105.2
Offensive rating
110.6
116.7
Defensive rating
112.3
45.2%
Effective FG%
55.1%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.9%
Turnover %
19.5%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.2%
3-point %
37.6%
49.6%
Assist %
56.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 110.6Defence116.7 · 112.3Shooting45.2% · 55.1%3-point %28.2% · 37.6%Ball care15.9% · 19.5%Off. rebounds34.8% · 25.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Pistoia   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pistoia wins
9
Trento wins
DateGameScore
12/01/20Pistoia v Trento71-74
25/09/19Trento v Pistoia88-75
20/04/19Trento v Pistoia82-73
26/12/18Pistoia v Trento70-78
22/04/18Trento v Pistoia85-70
23/12/17Pistoia v Trento79-86
18/03/17Trento v Pistoia99-91
20/11/16Pistoia v Trento84-78 OT
19/02/16Pistoia v Trento74-81
31/01/16Pistoia v Trento64-69
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23AVarese82-83
17/06/23ABasket Torino73-61
15/06/23ABasket Torino67-78
12/06/23HBasket Torino69-62
10/06/23HBasket Torino67-61
06/06/23ACantu75-67
03/06/23HCantu80-77
01/06/23HCantu73-69
29/05/23ACantu68-82
27/05/23ACantu73-74
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/23AUlm70-80
30/09/23HCremona91-84
21/05/23HTortona81-82
19/05/23HTortona79-76
16/05/23ATortona81-84
14/05/23ATortona78-79
07/05/23AReggiana70-94
30/04/23HVenezia86-84
23/04/23ABrindisi86-73
18/04/23HVerona69-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game82.0-82.0
Allowed / game83.0-83.0
Point differential-1.0--1.0
Avg total165.0-165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Trento
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game91.091.0-
Allowed / game84.084.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total175.0175.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Reggiana220100%86.070.0+16.0
2 Venezia110100%76.060.0+16.0
3 Basket Napoli220100%94.079.0+15.0
4 Brescia220100%90.075.0+15.0
5 Trento110100%91.084.0+7.0
6 Virtus Bologna110100%81.075.0+6.0
7 Varese110100%83.082.0+1.0
8 Olimpia Milano21150%77.078.5-1.5
9 Pistoia1010%82.083.0-1.0
10 Pesaro1010%79.081.0-2.0
11 Cremona1010%84.091.0-7.0
12 Scafati2020%76.083.0-7.0
13 Tortona1010%60.076.0-16.0
14 Treviso2020%75.592.5-17.0
15 Sassari1010%90.0111.0-21.0
16 Brindisi1010%63.087.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1428201173
Trento2512251678
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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