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Olimpia Milano vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 95-80
23-24 24-21 26-17 22-18
Position#5
Record16-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Position#16
Record5-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game88.9
ItalyLega ARound 26· Unipol Forum
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Pistoia
13 Apr 2025
MIL95
PIS80
26 Nov 2023
MIL81
PIS86
11 Nov 2019
MIL83
PIS63
21 Oct 2018
MIL107
PIS83
06 May 2018
MIL101
PIS74
27 Nov 2016
MIL104
PIS70
01 Nov 2015
MIL89
PIS71
10 May 2015
MIL78
PIS77
27 May 2014
MIL88
PIS78
21 May 2014
MIL87
PIS67
19 May 2014
MIL73
PIS59
04 Nov 2013
MIL75
PIS55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
82-80
82
80
+2
77avg 80
A13/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
71avg 80
A15/03
Lega A
Paris
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
74avg 80
A18/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
89-87
89
87
+2
84avg 80
H23/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
89-96
89
96
-7
83avg 80
A25/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
88-98
88
98
-10
84avg 80
H27/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
L
87-95
87
95
-8
79avg 80
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 80
A04/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 80
A06/04
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
W
111-89
111
89
+22
111avg 80
H10/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
25-21
20-19
14-16
14-19
24-23
22-17
19-14
18-22
19-26
30-28
12-16
24-19
24-21
20-22
21-25
16-31
25-23
22-24
26-18
21-25
23-30
19-19
25-24
17-19
30-22
26-23
14-31
9-22
20-22
13-21
28-25
22-23
24-23
16-23
16-18
31-18
31-17
20-26
29-28
173.9Avg total
85.2Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)88.284.7172.9+3.464%
Season at home (12)93.485.8179.2+7.783%
Season away (13)83.383.8167.1-0.546%
Last 10 (10)85.288.7173.9-3.540%
Last 5 (5)86.891.8178.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.790.3168.0-12.733%
vs Similar (15)83.283.9167.1-0.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)96.985.2182.1+11.675%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
111-96
111
96
+15
103avg 70
H19/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
60-104
60
104
-44
44avg 70
A25/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
84-90
84
90
-6
72avg 70
H02/02
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
89-91
89
91
-2
83avg 70
H08/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 70
A02/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
70avg 70
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
64-87
64
87
-23
44avg 70
A16/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
68-94
68
94
-26
58avg 70
A23/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
69-89
69
89
-20
47avg 70
H30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
63-86
63
86
-23
51avg 70
H06/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
17-31
36-14
30-23
14-24
16-33
16-25
14-22
28-23
18-24
21-16
17-27
24-23
30-22
18-24
17-22
18-21
18-22
18-13
20-14
12-26
26-20
24-28
22-23
20-21
14-24
13-26
17-16
17-32
17-22
16-18
18-22
17-28
10-19
17-24
25-18
15-18
17-17
11-22
20-29
167.0Avg total
76.6Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.688.9168.5-9.320%
Season at home (13)82.590.2172.6-7.723%
Season away (12)76.587.6164.1-11.117%
Last 10 (10)76.690.4167.0-13.820%
Last 5 (5)69.690.6160.2-21.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)75.687.5163.2-11.917%
vs Similar (6)96.795.3192.0+1.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
Olimpia MilanoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A13/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A15/03
Lega A
Paris
#9
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A18/03
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H23/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A25/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H27/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A31/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A04/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A06/04
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H10/04
Euroleague
89.0Avg total
44.0Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.543.687.1-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.544.591.0+1.962%-
Last 30 away (17)41.242.984.1-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)44.045.089.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.289.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.546.885.3-8.333%-
vs Similar (15)42.141.883.9+0.347%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)49.445.995.2+3.575%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
45-59
45
59
-14
H19/01
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
30-57
30
57
-27
A25/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H08/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A02/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A23/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H06/04
Lega A
85.4Avg total
37.6Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.345.584.8-6.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.347.187.5-6.820%-
Last 30 away (15)38.343.982.2-5.740%-
Last 10 (10)37.647.885.4-10.210%-
Last 5 (5)33.045.478.4-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.045.082.0-8.021%-
vs Similar (6)48.547.596.0+1.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.9
54.2%
52.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.1
37.0%
35.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.917.3
82.8%
76.8%17.3
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.6
47.6%
52.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.8
32.0%
35.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.013.2
69.5%
76.8%13.2
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLLLLLWLWW
Pistoia
LLLLLWLLLW
#5
League position
#16
-4.9
Net rating
-18.7
112.9
Offensive rating
102.5
117.8
Defensive rating
121.2
54.7%
Effective FG%
47.7%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.0%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.0%
3-point %
32.0%
59.0%
Assist %
45.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 102.5Defence117.8 · 121.2Shooting54.7% · 47.7%3-point %37.0% · 32.0%Ball care15.3% · 16.0%Off. rebounds23.3% · 29.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Olimpia Milano wins
3
Pistoia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/25HBaskonia111-89
06/04/25AReggiana78-87
04/04/25AVirtus Bologna70-90
31/03/25ABasket Napoli87-95
27/03/25HBarcelona88-98
25/03/25AReal Madrid89-96
23/03/25HTrento89-87
18/03/25AParis79-92
15/03/25ABrescia79-73
13/03/25ACrvena zvezda82-80
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HSassari63-86
30/03/25HTrieste69-89
23/03/25ATortona68-94
16/03/25ATrento64-87
09/03/25HBrescia84-97
02/03/25ABasket Napoli74-70
08/02/25HScafati89-91
02/02/25HTreviso84-90
25/01/25ATrapani60-104
19/01/25HVarese111-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL64%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %64%83%46%
Points / game88.293.483.3
Allowed / game84.785.883.8
Point differential+3.4+7.7-0.5
Avg total172.9179.2167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)80% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %20%23%17%
Points / game79.682.576.5
Allowed / game88.990.287.6
Point differential-9.3-7.7-11.1
Avg total168.5172.6164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)25% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2619773%94.284.5+9.7
2 Virtus Bologna2518772%83.877.2+6.6
3 Brescia2518772%90.785.8+5.0
4 Trento2517868%87.181.7+5.4
5 Olimpia Milano2516964%88.284.7+3.4
6 Trieste2516964%87.484.4+3.0
7 Reggiana26161062%80.277.2+3.0
8 Venezia25141156%81.879.3+2.5
9 Tortona25141156%86.685.3+1.2
10 Sassari25111444%81.383.3-2.0
11 Treviso2691735%83.887.7-3.9
12 Cremona2581732%78.482.7-4.2
13 Basket Napoli2681831%83.488.0-4.6
14 Varese2681831%87.896.0-8.1
15 Scafati2662023%85.292.5-7.3
16 Pistoia2552020%79.688.9-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2324262295
Pistoia2421171880
← all games of the day
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