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Pistoia vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 65-89
15-21 19-27 14-22 17-19
Position#16
Record6-22
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game89.1
Pistoia
Italy
vs
Cremona 🏆
Italy
Position#13
Record8-20
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game84.8
ItalyLega ARound 29· PalaCarrara
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Pistoia v Cremona
04 May 2025
PIS65
CRE89
07 Jan 2024
PIS64
CRE60
30 Apr 2023
PIS73
CRE68
15 Dec 2019
PIS84
CRE71
11 Nov 2018
PIS73
CRE90
04 Feb 2018
PIS76
CRE65
22 Jan 2017
PIS64
CRE59
13 Mar 2016
PIS72
CRE79
26 Oct 2014
PIS76
CRE83
09 Nov 2013
PIS65
CRE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
L
89-91
89
91
-2
83avg 69
H08/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 69
A02/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
70avg 69
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
64-87
64
87
-23
44avg 69
A16/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
68-94
68
94
-26
58avg 69
A23/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
69-89
69
89
-20
47avg 69
H30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
63-86
63
86
-23
51avg 69
H06/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 69
A13/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
62-86
62
86
-24
51avg 69
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
93-90
93
90
+3
89avg 69
A27/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
30-22
18-24
17-22
18-21
18-22
18-13
20-14
12-26
26-20
24-28
22-23
20-21
14-24
13-26
17-16
17-32
17-22
16-18
18-22
17-28
10-19
17-24
25-18
15-18
17-17
11-22
20-29
24-23
21-24
17-26
18-22
13-28
15-21
18-25
16-12
20-16
25-16
27-25
21-33
163.1Avg total
74.6Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.589.1168.5-9.621%
Season at home (14)81.089.9170.9-8.921%
Season away (14)77.988.3166.2-10.421%
Last 10 (10)74.688.5163.1-13.920%
Last 5 (5)73.489.2162.6-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)76.288.2164.3-12.019%
vs Similar (4)99.299.0198.2+0.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
77avg 70
H09/02
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
79avg 70
A02/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 70
H08/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
70-87
70
87
-17
58avg 70
A16/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
89-93
89
93
-4
82avg 70
A23/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
94-77
94
77
+17
93avg 70
H30/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
83avg 70
A06/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
86-89
86
89
-3
78avg 70
H13/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
83-118
83
118
-35
78avg 70
A18/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
81-101
81
101
-20
69avg 70
H28/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
27-19
11-18
26-18
19-22
24-18
19-29
25-30
26-20
23-24
19-24
26-17
9-23
20-16
25-26
16-22
22-23
20-17
23-28
24-25
29-19
26-22
22-15
17-21
6-16
16-14
18-23
28-15
21-21
27-19
22-21
16-28
18-27
25-27
16-33
24-31
13-28
24-24
30-20
14-29
177.0Avg total
85.6Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.084.8163.8-5.929%
Season at home (14)80.682.5163.1-1.936%
Season away (14)77.387.1164.4-9.921%
Last 10 (10)85.691.4177.0-5.840%
Last 5 (5)86.294.0180.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)76.486.9163.3-10.511%
vs Similar (10)84.381.8166.1+2.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)75.578.5154.0-3.00%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
PistoiaCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H08/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A02/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A23/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H06/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A13/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A27/04
Lega A
81.6Avg total
37.3Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.145.084.1-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.446.886.2-7.420%-
Last 30 away (15)38.743.281.9-4.540%-
Last 10 (10)37.344.381.6-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)35.442.077.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.644.782.3-7.023%-
vs Similar (4)48.547.295.8+1.275%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H09/02
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H08/03
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A16/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A23/03
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H30/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A06/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H13/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A18/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H28/04
Lega A
84.0Avg total
41.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.180.0-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.541.481.9-0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)37.540.778.2-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.484.0-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.484.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.641.879.3-4.239%-
vs Similar (10)41.940.482.3+1.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)37.038.075.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.1
48.7%
52.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.6
31.3%
35.8%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.012.6
66.3%
76.8%12.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.4
52.9%
52.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.212.1
40.1%
35.8%36.3
🏀 Free throws18.413.5
73.4%
76.8%13.5
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WLLLLLLLWL
Cremona
LLLWWLLWLW
#16
League position
#13
-19.2
Net rating
-8.0
100.0
Offensive rating
113.3
119.2
Defensive rating
121.3
48.0%
Effective FG%
56.3%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
17.2%
Turnover %
14.4%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.3%
3-point %
40.1%
48.3%
Assist %
63.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 113.3Defence119.2 · 121.3Shooting48.0% · 56.3%3-point %31.3% · 40.1%Ball care17.2% · 14.4%Off. rebounds27.9% · 22.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Pistoia   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Pistoia wins
4
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
13/10/24Cremona v Pistoia65-66
10/03/24Cremona v Pistoia67-74
07/01/24Pistoia v Cremona64-60
30/04/23Pistoia v Cremona73-68
08/04/23Cremona v Pistoia85-80
15/12/19Pistoia v Cremona84-71
10/03/19Cremona v Pistoia90-80
11/11/18Pistoia v Cremona73-90
04/02/18Pistoia v Cremona76-65
15/10/17Cremona v Pistoia92-77
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25AVenezia93-90
19/04/25HVirtus Bologna62-86
13/04/25AOlimpia Milano80-95
06/04/25HSassari63-86
30/03/25HTrieste69-89
23/03/25ATortona68-94
16/03/25ATrento64-87
09/03/25HBrescia84-97
02/03/25ABasket Napoli74-70
08/02/25HScafati89-91
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/25HTrieste81-101
18/04/25AOlimpia Milano83-118
13/04/25HTrento86-89
06/04/25AVarese87-85 OT
30/03/25HTreviso94-77
23/03/25ASassari89-93
16/03/25AVenezia70-87
08/03/25HBasket Napoli94-85
02/03/25ABrescia87-99
09/02/25HTrapani85-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW21%
HomeLLLLL21%
AwayWLLLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %21%21%21%
Points / game79.581.077.9
Allowed / game89.189.988.3
Point differential-9.6-8.9-10.4
Avg total168.5170.9166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)25% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Cremona
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL29%
HomeWWWLL36%
AwayLLLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %29%36%21%
Points / game79.080.677.3
Allowed / game84.882.587.1
Point differential-5.9-1.9-9.9
Avg total163.8163.1164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %14%14%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2821775%94.884.8+10.0
2 Virtus Bologna2821775%84.976.4+8.5
3 Trento2921872%87.681.2+6.3
4 Brescia2820871%89.784.8+5.0
5 Olimpia Milano2819968%89.483.9+5.5
6 Trieste28171161%87.385.2+2.0
7 Reggiana29171259%79.477.8+1.7
8 Venezia28151354%83.580.6+2.9
9 Tortona28141450%85.985.6+0.3
10 Sassari28121643%81.583.9-2.4
11 Treviso28111739%84.487.8-3.4
12 Varese2891932%87.195.8-8.7
13 Basket Napoli2882029%83.288.2-5.0
14 Cremona2882029%79.084.8-5.9
15 Scafati2862221%84.892.2-7.5
16 Pistoia2862221%79.589.1-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1519141765
Cremona2127221989
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