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Pistoia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 62-86
13-28 15-21 18-25 16-12
Position#16
Record5-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#1
Record19-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game77.3
ItalyLega ARound 27· PalaCarrara
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Pistoia v Virtus Bologna
19 Apr 2025
PIS62
VIR86
23 Dec 2023
PIS70
VIR91
29 Sep 2019
PIS78
VIR88
16 Dec 2018
PIS71
VIR81
29 Apr 2018
PIS61
VIR74
10 Apr 2016
PIS88
VIR76
09 Nov 2014
PIS72
VIR73
04 Jan 2014
PIS80
VIR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
60-104
60
104
-44
44avg 70
A25/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
84-90
84
90
-6
72avg 70
H02/02
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
89-91
89
91
-2
83avg 70
H08/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 70
A02/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
70avg 70
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
64-87
64
87
-23
44avg 70
A16/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
68-94
68
94
-26
58avg 70
A23/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
69-89
69
89
-20
47avg 70
H30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
63-86
63
86
-23
51avg 70
H06/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 70
A13/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
16-33
16-25
14-22
28-23
18-24
21-16
17-27
24-23
30-22
18-24
17-22
18-21
18-22
18-13
20-14
12-26
26-20
24-28
22-23
20-21
14-24
13-26
17-16
17-32
17-22
16-18
18-22
17-28
10-19
17-24
25-18
15-18
17-17
11-22
20-29
24-23
21-24
17-26
18-22
163.8Avg total
73.5Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.689.2168.8-9.519%
Season at home (13)82.590.2172.6-7.723%
Season away (13)76.888.2164.9-11.415%
Last 10 (10)73.590.3163.8-16.810%
Last 5 (5)68.890.2159.0-21.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)75.887.8163.6-12.016%
vs Similar (5)95.098.4193.4-3.420%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
L
88-93
88
93
-5
92avg 78
A16/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
67-77
67
77
-10
54avg 78
A20/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
78-85
78
85
-7
65avg 78
A22/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
52-88
52
88
-36
44avg 78
A26/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
108-64
108
64
+44
126avg 78
A28/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
69-45
69
45
+24
64avg 78
H31/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
90-70
90
70
+20
86avg 78
H04/04
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
80-74
80
74
+6
83avg 78
A07/04
Lega A
Barcelona
#6
L
87-91
87
91
-4
83avg 78
A11/04
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
91-79
91
79
+12
84avg 78
H14/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
24-24
22-25
22-24
17-15
16-27
12-23
22-12
22-17
19-20
17-20
20-28
11-28
16-23
10-18
15-19
27-15
35-18
25-11
21-20
11-11
22-16
17-11
19-7
22-9
22-20
21-13
25-28
17-17
19-17
24-17
20-23
16-23
22-22
27-26
22-20
18-29
27-24
28-9
18-17
157.6Avg total
81.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.177.3161.3+6.873%
Season at home (13)85.674.7160.3+10.992%
Season away (13)82.579.8162.4+2.754%
Last 10 (10)81.076.6157.6+4.450%
Last 5 (5)83.471.8155.2+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.389.6163.9-15.30%
vs Similar (8)80.075.5155.5+4.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.770.2152.9+12.573%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
PistoiaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
L
30-57
30
57
-27
A25/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H08/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A02/03
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A23/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H30/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H06/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A13/04
Lega A
84.2Avg total
37.6Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.045.784.7-6.727%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.347.187.5-6.820%-
Last 30 away (15)37.644.381.9-6.733%-
Last 10 (10)37.646.684.2-9.010%-
Last 5 (5)34.445.680.0-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.345.182.4-7.820%-
vs Similar (5)47.248.695.8-1.460%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A16/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A20/03
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A22/03
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A26/03
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
62-33
62
33
+29
A28/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H31/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H04/04
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A07/04
Lega A
Barcelona
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/04
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H14/04
Lega A
79.8Avg total
40.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.079.6-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.639.679.2+0.060%-
Last 30 away (15)39.640.379.9-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.579.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.676.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.945.983.8-8.030%-
vs Similar (8)39.138.877.9+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.134.876.9+7.382%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.3
46.7%
52.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.9
31.5%
35.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.112.2
67.4%
76.8%12.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.8
56.4%
52.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.6
30.5%
35.8%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.715.2
81.3%
76.8%15.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLLLLWLLL
Virtus Bologna
WLWWWWLLLL
#16
League position
#1
-23.0
Net rating
+4.4
98.0
Offensive rating
108.6
121.0
Defensive rating
104.2
46.9%
Effective FG%
52.1%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.5%
3-point %
30.5%
48.1%
Assist %
69.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 108.6Defence121.0 · 104.2Shooting46.9% · 52.1%3-point %31.5% · 30.5%Ball care17.4% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.7% · 29.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Pistoia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pistoia wins
7
Virtus Bologna wins
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25AOlimpia Milano80-95
06/04/25HSassari63-86
30/03/25HTrieste69-89
23/03/25ATortona68-94
16/03/25ATrento64-87
09/03/25HBrescia84-97
02/03/25ABasket Napoli74-70
08/02/25HScafati89-91
02/02/25HTreviso84-90
25/01/25ATrapani60-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/25HBrescia91-79
11/04/25ABarcelona87-91
07/04/25ATreviso80-74
04/04/25HOlimpia Milano90-70
31/03/25HReggiana69-45
28/03/25AAlba Berlin108-64
26/03/25ACrvena zvezda52-88
22/03/25ATrieste78-85
20/03/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv67-77
16/03/25ABasket Napoli88-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayLWLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %19%23%15%
Points / game79.682.576.8
Allowed / game89.290.288.2
Point differential-9.5-7.7-11.4
Avg total168.8172.6164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)25% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW73%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %73%92%54%
Points / game84.185.682.5
Allowed / game77.374.779.8
Point differential+6.8+10.9+2.7
Avg total161.3160.3162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2619773%94.284.5+9.7
2 Virtus Bologna2619773%84.177.3+6.8
3 Trento2618869%87.281.8+5.3
4 Brescia2618869%90.386.0+4.3
5 Olimpia Milano2718967%89.584.5+5.0
6 Reggiana27171063%80.677.5+3.0
7 Trieste26161062%86.785.1+1.7
8 Venezia26151158%82.779.0+3.7
9 Tortona27141352%86.685.6+0.9
10 Sassari27121544%81.683.4-1.8
11 Treviso27101737%84.187.8-3.7
12 Varese2791833%87.995.5-7.6
13 Basket Napoli2781930%83.588.0-4.5
14 Cremona2781930%78.984.2-5.3
15 Scafati2662023%85.292.5-7.3
16 Pistoia2652119%79.689.2-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1315181662
Virtus Bologna2821251286
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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