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Sencur vs Gorica Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#5
Record4-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game77.4
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 13· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sencur v Gorica
09 Jan 2027
SENC v GORI
upcoming
08 Mar 2023
SENC74
GORI72
20 Oct 2020
SENC93
GORI62
30 Oct 2018
SENC91
GORI68
30 Oct 2017
SENC103
GORI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Gorica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
59avg 78
A23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
92-75
92
75
+17
91avg 78
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
99-74
99
74
+25
103avg 78
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
90avg 78
H09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
74avg 78
A14/10
ABA League 2
Gorica
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
73avg 78
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
78-98
78
98
-20
69avg 78
A27/10
Liga Nova KBM
Mornar Bar
#9
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 78
H30/10
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
73-60
73
60
+13
no box
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
87-99
87
99
-12
no box
H11/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
21-22
11-27
17-20
27-20
26-29
21-24
18-2
25-15
21-19
30-24
23-16
29-25
22-20
20-14
25-22
21-23
16-19
23-14
16-23
18-12
22-18
18-10
18-30
18-29
21-20
22-28
17-21
19-21
25-20
21-13
16-17
23-21
19-17
16-8
15-14
20-27
25-14
17-27
25-31
162.4Avg total
82.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.979.6165.4+6.371%
Season at home (3)85.380.0165.3+5.367%
Season away (4)86.279.2165.5+7.075%
Last 10 (10)82.380.1162.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)79.079.6158.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.990.1165.0-15.212%
vs Similar (4)86.596.5183.0-10.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.573.4158.9+12.194%
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 74
H17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Jazine
#2
L
95-104
95
104
-9
no box
H18/10
Prva Liga
Polzela
#2
L
67-74
67
74
-7
56avg 74
A24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Hermes
#4
L
59-67
59
67
-8
no box
A25/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#14
W
95-73
95
73
+22
no box
H31/10
Prva Liga
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
75-71
75
71
+4
66avg 74
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Dakovo
#6
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A07/11
Prva Liga
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
102-80
102
80
+22
no box
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
65-96
65
96
-31
no box
A10/11
Liga Nova KBM
Marsonia
#8
L
72-85
72
85
-13
no box
H14/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
18-22
10-18
30-18
32-24
15-24
20-28
28-28
10-25
24-13
17-21
16-15
9-20
23-20
12-11
15-16
19-16
28-18
30-17
18-22
24-22
17-20
15-8
19-21
17-21
17-23
23-19
20-23
30-24
21-23
22-20
29-13
13-23
18-19
20-31
14-23
19-19
17-22
14-19
22-25
158.9Avg total
77.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.877.4153.1-1.650%
Season at home (3)86.775.0161.7+11.767%
Season away (5)69.278.8148.0-9.640%
Last 10 (10)77.781.2158.9-3.530%
Last 5 (5)78.283.6161.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.684.8156.4-13.114%
vs Similar (9)89.783.6173.2+6.167%
vs Weaker (7)86.975.7162.6+11.186%
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.7+0.7
SencurGorica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/10
ABA League 2
Gorica
#5
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A27/10
Liga Nova KBM
Mornar Bar
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H30/10
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H11/11
Liga Nova KBM
85.0Avg total
43.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.083.6+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.340.783.9+2.660%-
Last 30 away (15)41.941.383.3+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.685.0+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.881.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.845.285.0-5.525%-
vs Similar (4)42.245.287.5-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.938.282.1+5.867%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Jazine
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H18/10
Prva Liga
Polzela
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Hermes
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A25/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#14
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/10
Prva Liga
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Dakovo
#6
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A07/11
Prva Liga
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/11
Liga Nova KBM
Marsonia
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H14/11
Prva Liga
79.9Avg total
38.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.182.6-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.543.287.7+1.254%-
Last 30 away (17)35.643.078.6-7.46%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.679.9-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.742.779.4-6.07%-
vs Similar (9)42.145.887.9-3.733%-
vs Weaker (7)41.640.482.0+1.157%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.9
54.3%
53.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.8
33.5%
30.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.2
75.7%
70.0%16.2
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.0
49.9%
53.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.4
29.8%
30.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.611.8
63.4%
70.0%11.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
LWWLWLWWWL
Gorica
LLWLWWLLLL
#4
League position
#5
+2.4
Net rating
-5.5
95.3
Offensive rating
85.5
92.9
Defensive rating
91.0
53.0%
Effective FG%
47.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.5%
3-point %
29.8%
65.3%
Assist %
65.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 85.5Defence92.9 · 91.0Shooting53.0% · 47.7%3-point %33.5% · 29.8%Ball care17.6% · 17.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Sencur   ■ Gorica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Sencur wins
0
Gorica wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Gorica v Sencur70-76
15/10/24Gorica v Sencur78-108
08/03/23Sencur v Gorica74-72
20/10/20Sencur v Gorica93-62
13/10/20Gorica v Sencur75-98
30/10/18Sencur v Gorica91-68
23/10/18Gorica v Sencur68-119
30/10/17Sencur v Gorica103-64
26/10/17Gorica v Sencur47-112
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HPerspektiva Ilirija87-99
07/11/26HZlatorog Lasko73-60
30/10/26HMornar Bar81-71
27/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto78-98
17/10/26AGorica76-70
14/10/26AVojvodina Novi Sad76-79
09/10/26HPolzela96-81
03/10/26ATajfun Sentjur99-74
26/09/26ARogaska92-75
23/05/26ACedevita Olimpija65-94
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMarsonia72-85
10/11/26AKK Krka Novo mesto65-96
07/11/26HKK Triglav Kranj102-80
07/11/26ADakovo77-86
31/10/26ATajfun Sentjur75-71
31/10/26HMladost95-73
25/10/26AHermes59-67
24/10/26APolzela67-74
18/10/26HJazine95-104
17/10/26HSencur70-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game85.985.386.2
Allowed / game79.680.079.2
Point differential+6.3+5.3+7.0
Avg total165.4165.3165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gorica
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game75.886.769.2
Allowed / game77.475.078.8
Point differential-1.6+11.7-9.6
Avg total153.1161.7148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto880100%90.468.8+21.6
2 Polzela86275%83.872.2+11.5
3 Perspektiva Ilirija86275%84.073.6+10.4
4 Sencur75271%85.979.6+6.3
5 Gorica84450%75.877.4-1.6
6 Rogaska84450%68.478.4-10.0
7 Zlatorog Lasko83538%68.577.5-9.0
8 KK Triglav Kranj71614%76.982.3-5.4
9 Helios Domzale81712%71.879.8-8.0
10 Tajfun Sentjur81712%70.085.6-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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