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Sencur vs Polzela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 97-65
32-12 21-24 25-13 19-16
Position#4
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Polzela
Slovenia
Position#8
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 1· Grbic G.
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sencur v Polzela
09 Oct 2026
SENC96
POLZ81
18 Apr 2026
SENC103
POLZ98
27 Sep 2025
SENC97
POLZ65
17 Apr 2024
SENC82
POLZ94
27 Nov 2023
SENC94
POLZ95
03 Mar 2023
SENC83
POLZ68
05 Feb 2023
SENC76
POLZ63
28 Dec 2021
SENC100
POLZ82
19 Dec 2020
SENC97
POLZ65
30 Nov 2019
SENC92
POLZ90
09 Feb 2019
SENC80
POLZ85
23 Dec 2017
SENC81
POLZ76
08 Oct 2016
SENC80
POLZ91
13 Apr 2016
SENC63
POLZ58
12 Dec 2015
SENC20
POLZ0
29 Apr 2015
SENC105
POLZ90
08 Nov 2014
SENC79
POLZ72
14 Apr 2010
SENC96
POLZ119
28 Nov 2009
SENC79
POLZ98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polzela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#3
W
94-77
94
77
+17
86avg 69
H09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
69avg 69
A14/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#5
W
90-89
90
89
+1
no box
H17/12
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
66-61
66
61
+5
58avg 69
H21/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#10
W
94-75
94
75
+19
86avg 69
A04/01
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
92-68
92
68
+24
93avg 69
H10/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
67-62
67
62
+5
62avg 69
H20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
W
92-66
92
66
+26
86avg 69
A27/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 69
H01/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
69-96
69
96
-27
54avg 69
A05/02
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
23-20
30-11
21-25
13-23
27-20
15-29
18-20
19-23
16-15
26-22
29-29
22-18
15-13
14-17
15-13
39-11
18-16
19-23
18-25
22-21
19-20
36-11
15-16
19-11
21-22
18-11
9-18
16-20
18-19
27-11
31-16
14-16
20-15
23-29
26-20
12-27
28-23
10-23
19-23
158.6Avg total
82.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.076.6158.6+5.480%
Last 5 (5)80.674.4155.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.587.3165.8-8.820%
vs Similar (12)81.881.7163.5+0.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.169.9149.0+9.386%
This opponent (Polzela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
Sencur
#5
W
94-82
94
82
+12
no box
A17/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
no box
H22/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
68-84
68
84
-16
no box
A29/04
Liga Nova KBM
Miklavz
#35
W
111-47
111
47
+64
no box
A08/10
Slovenian Cup
Branik Maribor
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
no box
A12/11
Slovenian Cup
Branik Maribor
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
no box
H19/11
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
A10/12
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
W
89-76
89
76
+13
no box
H17/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
74avg 72
H15/01
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
70-77
70
77
-7
71avg 72
A28/01
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
23-26
24-15
21-14
22-32
25-13
22-23
17-18
15-13
20-27
10-23
23-21
33-11
24-10
34-15
20-11
21-18
19-17
22-19
10-9
24-23
26-23
28-22
30-15
15-21
12-17
28-23
19-22
19-17
18-19
22-23
30-17
13-19
19-21
20-13
23-19
18-21
15-18
21-18
16-20
162.1Avg total
85.9Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.976.2162.1+9.770%
Last 5 (5)83.278.2161.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)79.892.5172.3-12.717%
vs Similar (17)79.980.5160.4-0.553%
vs Weaker (6)84.380.3164.7+4.067%
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.3+4.3
SencurPolzela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H17/12
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H21/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#10
W
57-27
57
27
+30
A04/01
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H10/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H01/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A05/02
Liga Nova KBM
77.5Avg total
40.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.381.5-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.541.583.0+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)39.041.180.1-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.137.477.5+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.876.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.544.783.2-6.220%-
vs Similar (12)40.242.182.3-1.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.634.976.4+6.771%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#5
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A17/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H22/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A29/04
Liga Nova KBM
Miklavz
#35
W
57-21
57
21
+36
A08/10
Slovenian Cup
Branik Maribor
#15
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A12/11
Slovenian Cup
Branik Maribor
#15
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H19/11
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A10/12
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H17/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H15/01
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A28/01
Slovenian Cup
80.0Avg total
40.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.081.9-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.642.081.6-2.438%-
Last 30 away (17)40.241.982.2-1.729%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.380.0+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.875.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.346.288.5-3.833%-
vs Similar (17)38.341.179.4-2.829%-
vs Weaker (6)39.543.883.3-4.333%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.2
53.4%
54.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.6
31.1%
33.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.914.4
76.2%
72.9%14.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.5
50.3%
54.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.3
36.9%
33.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.915.2
76.4%
72.9%15.2
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
LWWWWWWWLW
Polzela
LWWLWWWLWW
#4
League position
#8
+4.9
Net rating
-1.7
106.3
Offensive rating
103.7
101.3
Defensive rating
105.4
50.9%
Effective FG%
52.1%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
21.7%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.1%
3-point %
36.9%
58.7%
Assist %
70.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 103.7Defence101.3 · 105.4Shooting50.9% · 52.1%3-point %31.1% · 36.9%Ball care18.6% · 21.7%Off. rebounds32.5% · 31.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Sencur   ■ Polzela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sencur wins
5
Polzela wins
DateGameScore
17/04/24Sencur v Polzela82-94
06/02/24Polzela v Sencur80-60
27/11/23Sencur v Polzela94-95 OT
03/03/23Sencur v Polzela83-68
05/02/23Sencur v Polzela76-63
29/11/22Polzela v Sencur82-77
28/12/21Sencur v Polzela100-82
16/10/21Polzela v Sencur77-84
19/12/20Sencur v Polzela97-65
10/10/20Polzela v Sencur84-79
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25AKK Krka Novo mesto69-96
01/02/25HKK Triglav Kranj83-80
27/01/25ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek92-66
20/01/25HTajfun Sentjur67-62
10/01/25HRogaska92-68
04/01/25ALTH Castings94-75
21/12/24HZlatorog Lasko66-61
17/12/24HKK Triglav Kranj90-89
14/12/24APerspektiva Ilirija73-92
09/12/24HHelios Domzale94-77
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/25ATajfun Sentjur70-77
15/01/25HTajfun Sentjur75-72
17/12/24HZlatorog Lasko89-76
10/12/24AZlatorog Lasko74-83
19/11/24HBranik Maribor108-83
12/11/24ABranik Maribor72-63
08/10/24AMiklavz111-47
29/04/24ARogaska68-84
22/04/24HKK Krka Novo mesto98-95 OT
17/04/24ASencur94-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto110100%116.081.0+35.0
2 Perspektiva Ilirija110100%95.093.0+2.0
3 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek1010%93.095.0-2.0
4 Zlatorog Lasko1010%81.0116.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur3221251997
Polzela1224131665
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