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Sencur vs Polzela Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-94
27-26 26-23 15-24 14-21
Position#5
Record11-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Polzela 🏆
Slovenia
Position#11
Record7-17
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game85.2
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 25· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sencur v Polzela
09 Oct 2026
SENC96
POLZ81
18 Apr 2026
SENC103
POLZ98
27 Sep 2025
SENC97
POLZ65
17 Apr 2024
SENC82
POLZ94
27 Nov 2023
SENC94
POLZ95
03 Mar 2023
SENC83
POLZ68
05 Feb 2023
SENC76
POLZ63
28 Dec 2021
SENC100
POLZ82
19 Dec 2020
SENC97
POLZ65
30 Nov 2019
SENC92
POLZ90
09 Feb 2019
SENC80
POLZ85
23 Dec 2017
SENC81
POLZ76
08 Oct 2016
SENC80
POLZ91
13 Apr 2016
SENC63
POLZ58
12 Dec 2015
SENC20
POLZ0
29 Apr 2015
SENC105
POLZ90
08 Nov 2014
SENC79
POLZ72
14 Apr 2010
SENC96
POLZ119
28 Nov 2009
SENC79
POLZ98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polzela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Polzela
#11
L
60-80
60
80
-20
42avg 64
A06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
69-61
69
61
+8
59avg 64
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
72avg 64
H06/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
63-64
63
64
-1
53avg 64
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
87avg 64
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatibor
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
59avg 64
A20/03
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
68avg 64
H22/03
ABA League 2
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
81-76
81
76
+5
76avg 64
A24/03
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#3
L
69-94
69
94
-25
56avg 64
A30/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
85-74
85
74
+11
72avg 64
H03/04
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
18-20
9-13
17-18
16-19
22-16
23-14
8-12
22-20
21-22
14-15
24-18
15-18
19-10
17-22
12-14
25-20
20-25
25-28
22-27
22-18
18-28
16-14
19-27
21-25
20-18
17-18
18-18
23-20
19-18
18-19
21-19
16-28
28-20
12-22
13-24
23-19
25-21
21-18
16-16
154.1Avg total
75.1Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.979.5156.5-2.646%
Season at home (12)83.474.2157.7+9.283%
Season away (12)70.484.8155.2-14.48%
Last 10 (10)75.179.0154.1-3.940%
Last 5 (5)77.282.0159.2-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.482.7153.1-12.217%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.177.7155.8+0.450%
vs Weaker (2)79.573.0152.5+6.550%
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
LTH Castings
#7
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 71
A13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
59-77
59
77
-18
45avg 71
H20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
69-77
69
77
-8
59avg 71
A27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
80-60
80
60
+20
86avg 71
H06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
65-85
65
85
-20
61avg 71
A01/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
no box
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
77-83
77
83
-6
72avg 71
A15/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
100-86
100
86
+14
101avg 71
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
81-66
81
66
+15
71avg 71
A30/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
71avg 71
H06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
11-20
28-17
15-18
15-20
13-17
19-21
12-19
19-22
19-21
17-12
14-22
29-16
20-18
13-9
18-17
19-22
17-24
20-16
9-23
19-20
14-19
16-12
18-16
26-30
16-22
18-15
17-16
30-17
22-24
24-17
24-28
24-19
15-14
15-14
27-19
20-21
13-19
29-16
13-26
152.9Avg total
76.1Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.585.2163.8-6.729%
Season at home (12)78.983.8162.7-4.833%
Season away (12)78.286.7164.8-8.525%
Last 10 (10)76.176.8152.9-0.740%
Last 5 (5)82.878.6161.4+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.399.8180.1-19.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.479.9158.3-1.541%
vs Weaker (2)90.593.5184.0-3.050%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -3.7-3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -3.7-3.7
SencurPolzela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polzela
#11
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatibor
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/03
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H22/03
ABA League 2
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A24/03
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A30/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H03/04
Liga Nova KBM
82.3Avg total
40.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.979.2-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.239.480.6+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)37.040.677.6-3.643%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.482.3-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.086.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.942.880.7-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.238.878.9+1.469%-
vs Weaker (2)40.032.572.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LTH Castings
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A01/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A15/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A30/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H06/04
Liga Nova KBM
78.7Avg total
38.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.945.686.4-4.723%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.044.584.5-4.520%-
Last 30 away (15)41.746.788.4-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.678.7-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.080.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)43.050.893.8-7.810%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.141.980.9-2.829%-
vs Weaker (2)41.051.592.5-10.50%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.8
51.5%
52.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.1
24.6%
33.0%18.3
🏀 Free throws16.412.5
76.2%
74.0%12.5
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.6
50.0%
52.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.4
32.6%
33.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.712.3
73.7%
74.0%12.3
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
WLWLLLLWWL
Polzela
LWWLWLWLLL
#5
League position
#11
-5.0
Net rating
-3.7
98.8
Offensive rating
100.3
103.9
Defensive rating
104.0
46.1%
Effective FG%
49.6%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
20.2%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
24.6%
3-point %
32.6%
60.2%
Assist %
68.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 100.3Defence103.9 · 104.0Shooting46.1% · 49.6%3-point %24.6% · 32.6%Ball care17.3% · 20.2%Off. rebounds29.6% · 32.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Sencur   ■ Polzela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sencur wins
5
Polzela wins
DateGameScore
06/02/24Polzela v Sencur80-60
27/11/23Sencur v Polzela94-95 OT
03/03/23Sencur v Polzela83-68
05/02/23Sencur v Polzela76-63
29/11/22Polzela v Sencur82-77
28/12/21Sencur v Polzela100-82
16/10/21Polzela v Sencur77-84
19/12/20Sencur v Polzela97-65
10/10/20Polzela v Sencur84-79
08/02/20Polzela v Sencur71-66
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/24HLTH Castings85-74
30/03/24AHelios Domzale69-94
24/03/24ACedevita Junior81-76
22/03/24HSiroki Brijeg76-79
20/03/24AZlatibor75-87
16/03/24APerspektiva Ilirija92-100
13/03/24AKK Triglav Kranj63-64
06/03/24HKK Krka Novo mesto81-75
02/03/24HRogaska69-61
06/02/24APolzela60-80
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek75-82
30/03/24AKK Triglav Kranj81-66
23/03/24HTajfun Sentjur100-86
15/03/24AHelios Domzale77-83
09/03/24HLTH Castings81-76 OT
01/03/24APerspektiva Ilirija65-85
06/02/24HSencur80-60
27/01/24ARogaska69-77
20/01/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek59-77
13/01/24ALTH Castings74-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW46%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%83%8%
Points / game76.983.470.4
Allowed / game79.574.284.8
Point differential-2.6+9.2-14.4
Avg total156.5157.7155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%42%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL29%
HomeLWWWL33%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game78.578.978.2
Allowed / game85.283.886.7
Point differential-6.7-4.8-8.5
Avg total163.8162.7164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto2521484%91.275.7+15.4
2 Helios Domzale2520580%86.377.2+9.1
3 Perspektiva Ilirija25141156%81.178.8+2.3
4 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek25121348%82.584.4-1.9
5 Sencur24111346%76.979.5-2.6
6 LTH Castings25111444%80.883.8-3.0
7 Rogaska25101540%75.477.9-2.4
8 Tajfun Sentjur25101540%80.385.3-5.0
9 KK Triglav Kranj2581732%72.277.7-5.5
10 Polzela2471729%78.585.2-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur2726151482
Polzela2623242194
← all games of the day
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