PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sencur vs Rogaska Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#6
Record4-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game78.4
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 10· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sencur v Rogaska
05 Dec 2026
SENC v ROGA
upcoming
09 Mar 2026
SENC79
ROGA78
14 Feb 2026
SENC82
ROGA61
10 Jan 2025
SENC92
ROGA68
02 Mar 2024
SENC69
ROGA61
05 Jan 2024
SENC74
ROGA73
16 Apr 2023
SENC92
ROGA73
05 Nov 2022
SENC86
ROGA59
04 May 2022
SENC92
ROGA96
13 Nov 2021
SENC92
ROGA62
17 Apr 2021
SENC87
ROGA90
17 Oct 2020
SENC78
ROGA77
04 Jan 2020
SENC92
ROGA53
27 Oct 2018
SENC79
ROGA81
14 Apr 2018
SENC75
ROGA82
03 Feb 2018
SENC79
ROGA64
08 Jan 2018
SENC78
ROGA52
10 Jan 2017
SENC75
ROGA76
10 Dec 2016
SENC63
ROGA77
28 Nov 2015
SENC72
ROGA70
22 Oct 2014
SENC61
ROGA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
59avg 79
A23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
92-75
92
75
+17
91avg 79
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
99-74
99
74
+25
103avg 79
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
90avg 79
H09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
74avg 79
A14/10
ABA League 2
Gorica
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
73avg 79
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
78-98
78
98
-20
69avg 79
A27/10
Liga Nova KBM
Mornar Bar
#9
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 79
H30/10
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
73-60
73
60
+13
no box
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
87-99
87
99
-12
no box
H11/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
21-22
11-27
17-20
27-20
26-29
21-24
18-2
25-15
21-19
30-24
23-16
29-25
22-20
20-14
25-22
21-23
16-19
23-14
16-23
18-12
22-18
18-10
18-30
18-29
21-20
22-28
17-21
19-21
25-20
21-13
16-17
23-21
19-17
16-8
15-14
20-27
25-14
17-27
25-31
162.4Avg total
82.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.979.6165.4+6.371%
Season at home (3)85.380.0165.3+5.367%
Season away (4)86.279.2165.5+7.075%
Last 10 (10)82.380.1162.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)79.079.6158.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.990.1165.0-15.212%
vs Similar (4)86.596.5183.0-10.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.573.4158.9+12.194%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#5
W
97-79
97
79
+18
100avg 73
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
75avg 73
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
75-92
75
92
-17
63avg 73
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
L
49-87
49
87
-38
32avg 73
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
59avg 73
H10/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 73
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
62-97
62
97
-35
46avg 73
H20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
69-60
69
60
+9
68avg 73
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
77-66
77
66
+11
no box
H04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
A14/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
21-26
27-20
22-14
24-15
23-29
12-14
17-22
20-27
29-26
24-21
2-18
13-25
4-23
19-22
13-17
21-25
21-6
11-20
14-29
19-13
22-21
17-18
16-20
14-27
24-16
16-26
8-28
23-28
20-9
12-10
14-13
20-20
14-9
21-20
22-17
13-22
29-10
17-15
15-26
150.6Avg total
72.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.478.4146.8-10.050%
Season at home (4)70.283.8154.0-13.525%
Season away (4)66.573.0139.5-6.575%
Last 10 (10)72.078.6150.6-6.650%
Last 5 (5)71.273.6144.8-2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)72.885.8158.6-12.925%
vs Similar (8)83.182.9166.0+0.262%
vs Weaker (6)88.381.3169.7+7.067%
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -6.1-6.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -6.1-6.1
SencurRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/10
ABA League 2
Gorica
#5
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A17/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A27/10
Liga Nova KBM
Mornar Bar
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H30/10
ABA League 2
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H11/11
Liga Nova KBM
85.0Avg total
43.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.641.083.6+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.340.783.9+2.660%-
Last 30 away (15)41.941.383.3+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.685.0+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.881.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.845.285.0-5.525%-
vs Similar (4)42.245.287.5-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.938.282.1+5.867%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#5
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
L
17-48
17
48
-31
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A14/11
Liga Nova KBM
79.7Avg total
40.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.543.882.3-5.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.642.484.0-0.854%-
Last 30 away (17)36.244.881.0-8.629%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.679.7+0.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.074.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.644.680.2-9.025%-
vs Similar (8)40.041.881.8-1.850%-
vs Weaker (6)44.344.288.5+0.267%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.9
54.3%
53.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.8
33.5%
30.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.2
75.7%
70.0%16.2
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.6
52.7%
53.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.9
27.6%
30.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.414.6
68.2%
70.0%14.6
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
LWWLWLWWWL
Rogaska
WWWLWLLLLW
#4
League position
#6
+2.4
Net rating
-9.7
95.3
Offensive rating
86.3
92.9
Defensive rating
96.0
53.0%
Effective FG%
48.2%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.5%
3-point %
27.6%
65.3%
Assist %
71.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 86.3Defence92.9 · 96.0Shooting53.0% · 48.2%3-point %33.5% · 27.6%Ball care17.6% · 17.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Sencur   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Sencur wins
2
Rogaska wins
DateGameScore
26/09/26Rogaska v Sencur75-92
09/03/26Sencur v Rogaska79-78
14/02/26Sencur v Rogaska82-61
22/11/25Rogaska v Sencur62-88
10/01/25Sencur v Rogaska92-68
26/10/24Rogaska v Sencur79-67
02/03/24Sencur v Rogaska69-61
05/01/24Sencur v Rogaska74-73
28/10/23Rogaska v Sencur84-67
16/04/23Sencur v Rogaska92-73
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HPerspektiva Ilirija87-99
07/11/26HZlatorog Lasko73-60
30/10/26HMornar Bar81-71
27/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto78-98
17/10/26AGorica76-70
14/10/26AVojvodina Novi Sad76-79
09/10/26HPolzela96-81
03/10/26ATajfun Sentjur99-74
26/09/26ARogaska92-75
23/05/26ACedevita Olimpija65-94
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHelios Domzale74-73
04/11/26HPerspektiva Ilirija77-66
31/10/26AZlatorog Lasko69-60
20/10/26HKK Krka Novo mesto62-97
16/10/26AKK Triglav Kranj74-72
10/10/26HGorica67-80
03/10/26APolzela49-87
26/09/26HSencur75-92
04/05/26AZlatorog Lasko76-80
30/04/26HHelios Domzale97-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game85.985.386.2
Allowed / game79.680.079.2
Point differential+6.3+5.3+7.0
Avg total165.4165.3165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%25%75%
Points / game68.470.266.5
Allowed / game78.483.873.0
Point differential-10.0-13.5-6.5
Avg total146.8154.0139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto880100%90.468.8+21.6
2 Polzela86275%83.872.2+11.5
3 Perspektiva Ilirija86275%84.073.6+10.4
4 Sencur75271%85.979.6+6.3
5 Gorica84450%75.877.4-1.6
6 Rogaska84450%68.478.4-10.0
7 Zlatorog Lasko83538%68.577.5-9.0
8 KK Triglav Kranj71614%76.982.3-5.4
9 Helios Domzale81712%71.879.8-8.0
10 Tajfun Sentjur81712%70.085.6-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.