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Sendai vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 07:05
Final 94-70
28-20 22-12 22-22 22-16
Position#16
Record6-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game79.2
Sendai 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#17
Record8-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game84.5
JapanB League· Xebio Arena (Sendai)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sendai v Nagasaki
11 Feb 2027
SEND v NAGA
upcoming
29 Dec 2024
SEND76
NAGA70
28 Dec 2024
SEND66
NAGA79
12 Nov 2023
SEND81
NAGA86
11 Nov 2023
SEND94
NAGA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sendai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SendaiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSendai
Date
Competition
Osaka
#18
L
75-83
75
83
-8
68avg 73
A14/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
76-90
76
90
-14
66avg 73
A15/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
83-72
83
72
+11
76avg 73
A21/10
B League
Chiba
#9
L
90-99
90
99
-9
78avg 73
A22/10
B League
Gunma
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
89avg 73
H25/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
91-84
91
84
+7
90avg 73
A28/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
81-65
81
65
+16
78avg 73
A29/10
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
85-54
85
54
+31
84avg 73
H04/11
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
no box
H05/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
87-66
87
66
+21
57avg 73
A08/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
17-23
15-21
18-21
16-32
16-19
14-16
30-23
17-21
21-14
18-17
27-20
31-24
17-30
23-26
19-19
19-22
22-11
25-16
21-26
22-15
24-29
27-19
18-21
25-9
19-17
20-20
17-19
27-15
25-13
19-10
14-16
16-24
18-20
21-11
20-20
18-17
23-18
25-5
21-26
161.4Avg total
83.9Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.579.2160.8+2.250%
Season at home (5)79.078.4157.4+0.640%
Season away (7)83.379.9163.1+3.457%
Last 10 (10)83.977.5161.4+6.460%
Last 5 (5)85.671.2156.8+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.182.7156.8-8.69%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.279.5159.7+0.647%
vs Weaker (2)86.074.5160.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
96-84
96
84
+12
90avg 82
A14/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
94-83
94
83
+11
91avg 82
A15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
78-85
78
85
-7
65avg 82
A21/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 82
A22/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
77-73
77
73
+4
71avg 82
H25/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
82-97
82
97
-15
76avg 82
H28/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
71avg 82
H29/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
98-81
98
81
+17
92avg 82
A04/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
88-92
88
92
-4
72avg 82
A05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
97-101
97
101
-4
89avg 82
A08/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
17-26
28-15
26-18
32-20
24-21
16-27
22-15
29-26
22-14
13-25
14-20
30-23
24-18
16-23
21-10
23-11
19-25
22-16
13-21
20-31
22-17
13-23
27-26
25-25
19-15
25-23
12-13
18-19
25-20
31-20
24-22
16-15
29-31
21-22
22-24
22-25
25-19
27-28
23-29
172.8Avg total
88.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.584.5173.0+4.067%
Season at home (5)84.082.8166.8+1.280%
Season away (7)91.785.7177.4+6.057%
Last 10 (10)88.284.6172.8+3.660%
Last 5 (5)89.289.4178.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.285.8172.0+0.367%
vs Similar ◀ (2)84.579.5164.0+5.050%
vs Weaker (4)94.085.0179.0+9.075%
This opponent (Sendai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
SendaiNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SendaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A14/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A15/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A21/10
B League
Chiba
#9
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A22/10
B League
Gunma
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H25/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A28/10
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A29/10
B League
Yokohama
#19
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H04/11
B League
Yokohama
#19
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H05/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A08/11
B League
80.9Avg total
41.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.376.5-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.339.975.1-4.629%-
Last 30 away (16)38.938.877.7+0.256%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.180.9+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.435.478.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.741.075.7-6.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.938.676.6-0.741%-
vs Weaker (2)45.035.080.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A14/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A21/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A22/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H25/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H28/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H29/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A04/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A08/11
B League
89.2Avg total
46.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)46.742.288.9+4.475%-
Last 30 at home (5)44.441.085.4+3.480%-
Last 30 away (7)48.343.191.4+5.171%-
Last 10 (10)46.642.689.2+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.487.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.841.586.3+3.383%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)52.540.593.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker (4)46.544.290.8+2.250%-
This opponent (Sendai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sendaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sendai: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.924.2
49.5%
50.9%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.3
32.4%
33.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.411.5
66.1%
72.0%11.5
They take 74.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.5
53.9%
50.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.1
36.3%
33.5%33.3
🏀 Free throws17.912.5
69.8%
72.0%12.5
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sendai
WLWWWWLWLL
Nagasaki
LLWWLWWLWW
#16
League position
#17
+6.3
Net rating
+3.5
102.3
Offensive rating
109.6
96.0
Defensive rating
106.1
49.2%
Effective FG%
54.2%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.1%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.4%
3-point %
36.3%
65.5%
Assist %
61.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 109.6Defence96.0 · 106.1Shooting49.2% · 54.2%3-point %32.4% · 36.3%Ball care16.5% · 16.1%Off. rebounds30.5% · 26.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Sendai   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sendai wins
0
Nagasaki wins
No previous meetings.
Sendailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23AAkita87-66
05/11/23HYokohama84-87 OT
04/11/23HYokohama85-54
29/10/23AShinshu81-65
28/10/23AShinshu91-84
25/10/23HGunma87-75
22/10/23AChiba90-99
21/10/23AChiba83-72
15/10/23AOsaka76-90
14/10/23AOsaka75-83
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23ADiamond Dolphins97-101
05/11/23AIbaraki Robots88-92
04/11/23AIbaraki Robots98-81
29/10/23HSeaHorses Mikawa81-76
28/10/23HSeaHorses Mikawa82-97
25/10/23HShimane77-73
22/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya91-74
21/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya78-85
15/10/23AToyama94-83
14/10/23AToyama96-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sendai
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW50%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%40%57%
Points / game81.579.083.3
Allowed / game79.278.479.9
Point differential+2.2+0.6+3.4
Avg total160.8157.4163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%40%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %8%20%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL67%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %67%80%57%
Points / game88.584.091.7
Allowed / game84.582.885.7
Point differential+4.0+1.2+6.0
Avg total173.0166.8177.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1312192%80.760.5+20.2
2 NeoPhoenix1311285%87.377.5+9.8
3 Brave Thunders1210283%81.074.4+6.6
4 Diamond Dolphins1310377%84.278.0+6.2
5 Ryukyu129375%81.975.7+6.2
6 Utsunomiya Brex129375%76.570.4+6.1
7 Osaka139469%83.779.2+4.5
8 Nagasaki128467%88.584.5+4.0
9 Shimane128467%80.977.2+3.7
10 SeaHorses Mikawa137654%82.578.5+4.0
11 Chiba137654%84.885.1-0.3
12 Hiroshima D.126650%78.973.2+5.7
13 Sendai126650%81.579.2+2.2
14 Saga136746%72.373.8-1.5
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles136746%72.975.8-2.8
16 Yokohama125742%77.282.4-5.2
17 Gunma125742%76.382.3-6.0
18 Shinshu134931%76.582.8-6.3
19 Sun Rockers Shibuya123925%75.280.2-4.9
20 Hokkaido123925%72.279.6-7.4
21 Akita1331023%68.578.5-10.0
22 Kyoto1321115%72.382.4-10.1
23 Ibaraki Robots131128%76.686.6-10.0
24 Toyama120120%72.487.3-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sendai2822222294
Nagasaki2012221670
← all games of the day
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