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Sendai vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 72-85
26-22 20-17 17-23 9-23
Position#23
Record5-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game79.8
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#18
Record7-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game76.8
JapanB League· Xebio Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sendai v Saga
05 Apr 2026
SEND87
SAGA66
04 Apr 2026
SEND66
SAGA82
22 Dec 2024
SEND69
SAGA87
21 Dec 2024
SEND72
SAGA85
07 Jan 2024
SEND56
SAGA66
06 Jan 2024
SEND67
SAGA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sendai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SendaiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSendai
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
L
68-87
68
87
-19
56avg 70
A09/11
B League
Osaka
#13
W
96-88
96
88
+8
95avg 70
A10/11
B League
Gunma
#6
L
65-89
65
89
-24
56avg 70
H30/11
B League
Gunma
#6
L
67-78
67
78
-11
62avg 70
H01/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
78-94
78
94
-16
72avg 70
H07/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
64-81
64
81
-17
51avg 70
H08/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
60avg 70
H11/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
67-84
67
84
-17
56avg 70
A14/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
69-78
69
78
-9
60avg 70
A15/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
68-60
68
60
+8
63avg 70
A18/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
21-18
13-24
15-23
22-30
30-23
25-10
19-25
10-24
17-24
16-22
22-19
27-18
20-19
15-22
5-19
16-34
33-23
14-28
15-9
19-21
17-22
15-18
13-20
16-28
19-22
18-19
18-13
18-20
14-15
18-25
17-24
8-25
30-16
14-16
17-21
14-18
20-14
18-13
16-15
153.4Avg total
71.3Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.279.8152.0-7.523%
Season at home (13)70.279.0149.2-8.815%
Season away (9)75.280.9156.1-5.733%
Last 10 (10)71.382.1153.4-10.820%
Last 5 (5)67.877.0144.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)72.879.7152.5-7.024%
vs Similar (5)79.084.0163.0-5.020%
vs Weaker (4)84.578.8163.2+5.875%
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 67
H11/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
56avg 67
H12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
80-51
80
51
+29
79avg 67
H01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
78-93
78
93
-15
71avg 67
H02/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
70-84
70
84
-14
58avg 67
A07/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 67
A08/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
55-85
55
85
-30
40avg 67
A11/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
91-95
91
95
-4
87avg 67
H14/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 67
H15/12
B League
Osaka
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
60avg 67
A18/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
14-24
24-18
14-20
20-18
12-19
14-21
21-15
23-13
15-12
22-10
20-16
17-21
23-22
20-18
18-32
16-23
14-25
13-21
27-15
18-21
21-18
12-18
23-29
12-18
22-15
12-26
9-26
28-18
18-30
24-15
21-32
26-24
21-23
11-13
16-19
23-21
15-17
13-21
17-18
153.6Avg total
72.9Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.076.8150.9-2.832%
Season at home (9)77.978.9156.8-1.022%
Season away (13)71.475.4146.8-4.038%
Last 10 (10)72.980.7153.6-7.810%
Last 5 (5)72.484.4156.8-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.579.2147.8-10.88%
vs Similar (13)79.177.5156.6+1.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)81.673.0154.6+8.660%
This opponent (Sendai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -3.6-3.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -3.6-3.6
SendaiSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SendaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A09/11
B League
Osaka
#13
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A10/11
B League
Gunma
#6
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H30/11
B League
Gunma
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H01/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H07/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H08/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H11/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A14/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A15/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A18/12
B League
82.6Avg total
39.0Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.079.2-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.041.578.5-4.535%-
Last 30 away (13)39.840.580.2-0.746%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.682.6-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.275.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)38.540.378.8-1.843%-
vs Similar (5)37.242.079.2-4.840%-
vs Weaker (4)37.843.881.5-6.025%-
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H11/11
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H12/11
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A07/12
B League
Gunma
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/12
B League
Shimane
#8
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A11/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H14/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H15/12
B League
Osaka
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A18/12
B League
78.2Avg total
37.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.376.8-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.840.478.2-2.625%-
Last 30 away (18)37.238.675.8-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.478.2-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.081.8-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.739.873.4-6.125%-
vs Similar (13)39.638.878.5+0.831%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.839.680.4+1.280%-
This opponent (Sendai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sendaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sendai: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.1
51.9%
51.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.26.5
23.9%
33.4%19.5
🏀 Free throws15.311.0
71.9%
72.7%11.0
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.9
50.5%
51.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.5
28.9%
33.4%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.712.8
72.3%
72.7%12.8
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sendai
WLLLLLLLWL
Saga
LLLLLLLWLL
#23
League position
#18
-15.0
Net rating
-10.3
98.2
Offensive rating
100.0
113.3
Defensive rating
110.3
45.3%
Effective FG%
47.9%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
23.9%
3-point %
28.9%
66.2%
Assist %
63.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 100.0Defence113.3 · 110.3Shooting45.3% · 47.9%3-point %23.9% · 28.9%Ball care16.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds31.4% · 23.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Sendai   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sendai wins
2
Saga wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Sendai v Saga56-66
06/01/24Sendai v Saga67-77
Sendailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24AChiba68-60
15/12/24AIbaraki Robots69-78
14/12/24AIbaraki Robots67-84
11/12/24HUtsunomiya Brex71-82
08/12/24HSeaHorses Mikawa64-81
07/12/24HSeaHorses Mikawa78-94
01/12/24HGunma67-78
30/11/24HGunma65-89
10/11/24AOsaka96-88
09/11/24AOsaka68-87
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24AOsaka68-77
15/12/24HHiroshima D.74-79
14/12/24HHiroshima D.91-95
11/12/24AShimane55-85
08/12/24AGunma74-86
07/12/24AGunma70-84
02/12/24HNagasaki78-93
01/12/24HNagasaki80-51
12/11/24HRyukyu67-73
11/11/24HRyukyu72-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sendai
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW23%
HomeLLLLL15%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %23%15%33%
Points / game72.270.275.2
Allowed / game79.879.080.9
Point differential-7.5-8.8-5.7
Avg total152.0149.2156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %14%15%11%
Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL32%
HomeLWLLL22%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %32%22%38%
Points / game74.077.971.4
Allowed / game76.878.975.4
Point differential-2.8-1.0-4.0
Avg total150.9156.8146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2319483%79.370.4+8.8
2 NeoPhoenix2218482%91.178.8+12.3
3 Utsunomiya Brex2218482%82.574.3+8.2
4 Ryukyu2216673%84.176.7+7.4
5 Gunma2316770%78.770.3+8.4
6 Chiba2316770%80.875.4+5.4
7 Shimane2315865%79.973.1+6.8
8 Sun Rockers Shibuya2214864%76.170.8+5.3
9 SeaHorses Mikawa2214864%79.474.8+4.5
10 Osaka23131057%81.979.9+2.0
11 Akita23121152%71.972.2-0.3
12 Kyoto22111150%80.979.5+1.4
13 Diamond Dolphins22111150%82.482.9-0.5
14 Nagasaki22101245%72.075.0-2.9
15 Hiroshima D.23101343%77.282.5-5.3
16 Hokkaido2291341%73.978.5-4.6
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2281436%74.982.0-7.1
18 Yokohama2381535%75.680.5-4.9
19 Saga2271532%74.076.8-2.8
20 Ibaraki Robots2271532%74.581.0-6.5
21 Koshigaya Alphas2261627%76.681.5-4.9
22 Sendai2251723%72.279.8-7.5
23 Brave Thunders2241818%75.486.5-11.1
24 Shiga221215%73.986.9-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sendai262017972
Saga2217232385
← all games of the day
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