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Shiga vs Fukushima Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 105-89
23-19 20-23 35-18 27-29
Position#2
Record24-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game78.7
Shiga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#10
Record12-20
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game83.7
JapanB2.League· Shiga Daihatsu Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shiga v Fukushima
28 Jan 2024
SHIG105
FUKU108
27 Jan 2024
SHIG105
FUKU89
28 Dec 2014
SHIG72
FUKU86
27 Dec 2014
SHIG82
FUKU81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shiga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fukushima winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
W
111-107
111
107
+4
105avg 83
A16/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
67-61
67
61
+6
62avg 83
A20/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
105-83
105
83
+22
107avg 83
H23/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
81-73
81
73
+8
76avg 83
H24/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
no box
H29/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
97-74
97
74
+23
98avg 83
H30/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
100-89
100
89
+11
96avg 83
A05/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
87-81
87
81
+6
87avg 83
A06/01
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
89-80
89
80
+9
93avg 83
A20/01
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
81-92
81
92
-11
78avg 83
A21/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
16-25
39-25
35-27
29-15
13-19
10-10
15-17
26-26
24-20
28-22
27-15
20-20
22-13
25-17
14-23
22-21
23-18
17-28
19-14
15-18
21-20
36-21
25-15
23-22
21-17
29-32
27-18
22-18
18-22
15-14
32-27
30-20
23-16
14-23
22-21
26-20
19-22
14-25
22-25
174.5Avg total
91.3Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)87.278.7165.9+8.575%
Season at home (15)85.875.8161.6+10.073%
Season away (17)88.581.3169.8+7.276%
Last 10 (10)91.383.2174.5+8.190%
Last 5 (5)90.883.2174.0+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.091.0175.0-7.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)87.177.1164.2+9.982%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Nara
#11
W
74-56
74
56
+18
66avg 73
H17/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
67-84
67
84
-17
50avg 73
H20/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
54-75
54
75
-21
45avg 73
A23/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
83-81
83
81
+2
82avg 73
A24/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
87-101
87
101
-14
78avg 73
A30/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 73
A31/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
95-86
95
86
+9
94avg 73
H06/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
84-104
84
104
-20
68avg 73
H07/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
77-72
77
72
+5
74avg 73
H20/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
81-78
81
78
+3
79avg 73
H21/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
20-6
18-17
19-17
23-17
16-26
16-16
12-25
14-19
16-17
12-16
12-23
19-22
22-17
13-27
29-15
20-21
18-28
22-25
27-27
22-30
13-21
18-16
21-22
25-25
18-18
22-18
30-25
19-25
13-33
28-27
24-19
28-15
11-20
20-10
18-27
27-22
23-13
12-31
19-12
160.2Avg total
77.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.783.7163.3-4.038%
Season at home (17)79.781.2160.9-1.547%
Season away (15)79.786.4166.1-6.727%
Last 10 (10)77.682.6160.2-5.050%
Last 5 (5)82.285.8168.0-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.586.9164.4-9.430%
vs Similar (18)79.183.0162.1-3.933%
vs Weaker (2)89.574.0163.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
ShigaFukushima
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A16/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A20/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H23/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H24/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H29/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H30/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A05/01
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A06/01
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A20/01
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A21/01
B2.League
83.6Avg total
43.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.082.2+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.880.5+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)44.739.383.9+5.473%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.283.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.082.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.049.083.0-15.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)43.938.382.2+5.575%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#11
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H17/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H20/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A23/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A24/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A30/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A31/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H06/01
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-58
32
58
-26
H07/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H20/01
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H21/01
B2.League
79.5Avg total
38.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.881.8+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.240.181.3+1.259%-
Last 30 away (13)40.841.882.5-1.046%-
Last 10 (10)38.441.179.5-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.844.484.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.443.183.5-2.740%-
vs Similar (18)40.640.481.0+0.156%-
vs Weaker (2)48.532.581.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.6
57.5%
52.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.3
35.6%
33.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.018.6
77.5%
71.0%18.6
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.1
52.4%
52.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.5
31.4%
33.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.412.5
71.8%
71.0%12.5
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shiga
LWWWWWWWWW
Fukushima
WWLWLLWLLW
#2
League position
#10
+7.6
Net rating
-5.7
115.9
Offensive rating
103.9
108.3
Defensive rating
109.5
56.0%
Effective FG%
50.4%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.8%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.6%
3-point %
31.4%
70.6%
Assist %
58.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 103.9Defence108.3 · 109.5Shooting56.0% · 50.4%3-point %35.6% · 31.4%Ball care16.9% · 17.8%Off. rebounds29.3% · 29.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Shiga   ■ Fukushima
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Shiga wins
1
Fukushima wins
DateGameScore
28/12/14Shiga v Fukushima72-86
27/12/14Shiga v Fukushima82-81
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24ANiigata81-92
20/01/24ANiigata89-80
06/01/24AEhime Orange Vikings87-81
05/01/24AEhime Orange Vikings100-89
30/12/23HShizuoka97-74
29/12/23HShizuoka95-92 OT
24/12/23HKumamoto81-73
23/12/23HKumamoto105-83
20/12/23AIwate67-61
16/12/23AKobe111-107
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HIwate81-78
20/01/24HIwate77-72
07/01/24HAltiri Chiba84-104
06/01/24HAltiri Chiba95-86
31/12/23AKumamoto74-89
30/12/23AKumamoto87-101
24/12/23AKoshigaya Alphas83-81
23/12/23AKoshigaya Alphas54-75
20/12/23HAltiri Chiba67-84
17/12/23HNara74-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shiga
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWWWL76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %75%73%76%
Points / game87.285.888.5
Allowed / game78.775.881.3
Point differential+8.5+10.0+7.2
Avg total165.9161.6169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%53%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%13%0%
Fukushima
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW38%
HomeLWLWW47%
AwayWLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %38%47%27%
Points / game79.779.779.7
Allowed / game83.781.286.4
Point differential-4.0-1.5-6.7
Avg total163.3160.9166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%18%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)43% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3229391%88.775.4+13.2
2 Shiga3224875%87.278.7+8.5
3 Kumamoto32221069%84.280.8+3.5
4 Koshigaya Alphas33211264%83.873.6+10.2
5 Fukuoka33211264%77.675.1+2.5
6 Yamagata Wyverns32181456%82.484.3-1.9
7 Aomori32171553%84.987.1-2.2
8 Shizuoka32141844%79.879.9-0.2
9 Kobe32141844%79.179.6-0.5
10 Nara32141844%73.177.6-4.6
11 Fukushima32122038%79.783.7-4.0
12 Iwate3272522%69.875.6-5.8
13 Ehime Orange Vikings3272522%78.687.0-8.4
14 Niigata3252716%71.582.3-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shiga23203527105
Fukushima1923182989
← all games of the day
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