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Kumamoto vs Fukushima Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 89-74
30-22 21-13 16-18 22-21
Position#5
Record17-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game83.2
Kumamoto 🏆
Japan
vs
Fukushima
Japan
Position#10
Record9-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game83.3
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kumamoto v Fukushima
23 Feb 2025
KUMA92
FUKU60
22 Feb 2025
KUMA63
FUKU67
31 Dec 2023
KUMA89
FUKU74
30 Dec 2023
KUMA101
FUKU87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fukushima winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
W
69-65
69
65
+4
57avg 76
H02/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 76
H03/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 76
A09/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 76
A10/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
no box
H16/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
84-74
84
74
+10
74avg 76
H17/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 76
A20/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
83-105
83
105
-22
72avg 76
A23/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 76
A24/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
101-87
101
87
+14
97avg 76
H30/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
16-12
12-23
22-14
22-23
14-20
26-19
19-16
27-24
20-16
19-14
24-28
19-19
18-14
22-18
21-21
25-24
26-23
25-21
22-30
22-19
20-22
18-18
24-15
18-25
13-20
32-12
15-29
26-26
20-24
22-28
15-27
20-20
13-22
17-25
23-14
21-20
28-18
25-22
27-27
169.7Avg total
85.6Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.483.2167.7+1.263%
Season at home (14)88.182.4170.4+5.786%
Season away (13)80.584.2164.7-3.638%
Last 10 (10)85.684.1169.7+1.570%
Last 5 (5)83.886.6170.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.287.4165.6-9.230%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.379.5164.8+5.871%
vs Weaker (2)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
100-76
100
76
+24
102avg 73
A02/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 73
A03/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
88-101
88
101
-13
86avg 73
A09/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
88-85
88
85
+3
90avg 73
A10/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
67-85
67
85
-18
59avg 73
H16/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
74-56
74
56
+18
66avg 73
H17/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
67-84
67
84
-17
50avg 73
H20/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
54-75
54
75
-21
45avg 73
A23/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
83-81
83
81
+2
82avg 73
A24/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
87-101
87
101
-14
78avg 73
A30/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
29-24
22-15
28-21
21-18
16-23
24-16
15-26
30-28
26-20
22-25
10-28
24-14
21-21
21-24
22-26
18-20
22-14
14-28
13-23
17-16
20-6
18-17
19-17
23-17
16-26
16-16
12-25
14-19
16-17
12-16
12-23
19-22
22-17
13-27
29-15
20-21
18-28
22-25
27-27
161.1Avg total
78.4Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.283.3162.5-4.033%
Season at home (13)78.380.1158.4-1.838%
Season away (14)80.186.2166.3-6.129%
Last 10 (10)78.482.7161.1-4.340%
Last 5 (5)73.079.4152.4-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.685.6158.2-13.020%
vs Similar ◀ (18)81.683.9165.4-2.333%
vs Weaker (2)89.574.0163.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -4.4-4.4
KumamotoFukushima
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H02/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A09/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A10/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H16/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A20/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A23/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A24/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H30/12
B2.League
81.4Avg total
40.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.181.0+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.037.780.7+5.381%-
Last 30 away (14)38.642.881.4-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.740.781.4+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.283.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.544.083.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.938.179.9+3.865%-
vs Weaker (2)42.036.578.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A02/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A03/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A09/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A10/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H16/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H17/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H20/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A23/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A24/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A30/12
B2.League
80.0Avg total
41.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)41.540.181.6+1.456%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.339.280.5+2.162%-
Last 30 away (14)41.640.982.6+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)41.338.780.0+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.874.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.141.282.4-0.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.840.581.3+0.453%-
vs Weaker (2)48.532.581.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.9
52.4%
52.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.9
32.0%
33.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.217.1
77.0%
71.0%17.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.620.8
48.8%
52.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.3
33.6%
33.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.014.5
76.3%
71.0%14.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
WLLLWWWWWW
Fukushima
LWLLWLWLLW
#5
League position
#10
+1.8
Net rating
-5.6
108.0
Offensive rating
106.7
106.2
Defensive rating
112.3
50.7%
Effective FG%
49.4%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
18.6%
Turnover %
17.9%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.0%
3-point %
33.6%
52.1%
Assist %
61.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 106.7Defence106.2 · 112.3Shooting50.7% · 49.4%3-point %32.0% · 33.6%Ball care18.6% · 17.9%Off. rebounds33.1% · 33.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Fukushima
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kumamoto wins
1
Fukushima wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23Kumamoto v Fukushima101-87
15/10/23Fukushima v Kumamoto83-77
14/10/23Fukushima v Kumamoto79-97
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HFukushima101-87
24/12/23AShiga73-81
23/12/23AShiga83-105
20/12/23ANara78-86
17/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas84-74
16/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas117-111 OT
10/12/23ANiigata80-72
09/12/23ANiigata90-82
03/12/23HShizuoka81-78
02/12/23HShizuoka69-65
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23AKumamoto87-101
24/12/23AKoshigaya Alphas83-81
23/12/23AKoshigaya Alphas54-75
20/12/23HAltiri Chiba67-84
17/12/23HNara74-56
16/12/23HNara67-85
10/12/23AKobe88-85
09/12/23AKobe88-101
03/12/23AAomori76-83
02/12/23AAomori100-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW63%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %63%86%38%
Points / game84.488.180.5
Allowed / game83.282.484.2
Point differential+1.2+5.7-3.6
Avg total167.7170.4164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%21%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Fukushima
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game79.278.380.1
Allowed / game83.380.186.2
Point differential-4.0-1.8-6.1
Avg total162.5158.4166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)20% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2826293%88.675.4+13.1
2 Shiga2821775%86.977.8+9.2
3 Fukuoka2719870%79.674.7+4.9
4 Kumamoto27171063%84.483.2+1.2
5 Koshigaya Alphas28161257%82.674.2+8.4
6 Aomori27151256%86.086.7-0.8
7 Yamagata Wyverns27141352%81.384.2-3.0
8 Kobe28141450%80.680.0+0.6
9 Shizuoka28131546%80.279.6+0.6
10 Nara28131546%73.877.9-4.1
11 Fukushima2791833%79.283.3-4.0
12 Iwate2872125%70.276.0-5.8
13 Ehime Orange Vikings2872125%78.586.0-7.6
14 Niigata272257%70.683.9-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto3021162289
Fukushima2213182174
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