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Kumamoto vs Fukushima Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 101-87
21-20 28-18 25-22 27-27
Position#5
Record16-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game83.1
Kumamoto 🏆
Japan
vs
Fukushima
Japan
Position#10
Record9-17
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game82.6
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kumamoto v Fukushima
23 Feb 2025
KUMA92
FUKU60
22 Feb 2025
KUMA63
FUKU67
31 Dec 2023
KUMA89
FUKU74
30 Dec 2023
KUMA101
FUKU87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fukushima winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
91avg 75
H26/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
69-65
69
65
+4
57avg 75
H02/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 75
H03/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 75
A09/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 75
A10/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
no box
H16/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
84-74
84
74
+10
74avg 75
H17/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 75
A20/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
83-105
83
105
-22
72avg 75
A23/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 75
A24/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
25-23
21-10
27-39
19-16
16-12
12-23
22-14
22-23
14-20
26-19
19-16
27-24
20-16
19-14
24-28
19-19
18-14
22-18
21-21
25-24
26-23
25-21
22-30
22-19
20-22
18-18
24-15
18-25
13-20
32-12
15-29
26-26
20-24
22-28
15-27
20-20
13-22
17-25
23-14
169.2Avg total
85.0Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.883.1166.9+0.762%
Season at home (13)87.182.0169.1+5.185%
Season away (13)80.584.2164.7-3.638%
Last 10 (10)85.084.2169.2+0.870%
Last 5 (5)87.091.4178.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.686.6163.3-10.027%
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.379.1163.4+5.269%
vs Weaker (2)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
63avg 73
H26/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
100-76
100
76
+24
102avg 73
A02/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 73
A03/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
88-101
88
101
-13
86avg 73
A09/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
88-85
88
85
+3
90avg 73
A10/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
67-85
67
85
-18
59avg 73
H16/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
74-56
74
56
+18
66avg 73
H17/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
67-84
67
84
-17
50avg 73
H20/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
54-75
54
75
-21
45avg 73
A23/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
83-81
83
81
+2
82avg 73
A24/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
17-16
14-18
17-27
21-16
29-24
22-15
28-21
21-18
16-23
24-16
15-26
30-28
26-20
22-25
10-28
24-14
21-21
21-24
22-26
18-20
22-14
14-28
13-23
17-16
20-6
18-17
19-17
23-17
16-26
16-16
12-25
14-19
16-17
12-16
12-23
19-22
22-17
13-27
29-15
156.6Avg total
76.6Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.982.6161.5-3.735%
Season at home (13)78.380.1158.4-1.838%
Season away (13)79.585.1164.6-5.531%
Last 10 (10)76.680.0156.6-3.440%
Last 5 (5)69.076.2145.2-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.685.6158.2-13.020%
vs Similar ◀ (18)81.782.6164.2-0.939%
vs Weaker (2)89.574.0163.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -5.4-5.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -5.4-5.4
KumamotoFukushima
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H26/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H02/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A09/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A10/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H16/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A20/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A23/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A24/12
B2.League
81.3Avg total
40.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.080.6+0.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.637.780.3+4.980%-
Last 30 away (15)38.642.481.0-3.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.881.3-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.645.085.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.443.482.7-4.055%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.438.179.5+3.462%-
vs Weaker (2)42.036.578.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H26/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A02/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A03/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A09/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A10/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H16/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H17/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H20/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A23/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A24/12
B2.League
78.0Avg total
41.3Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)41.639.881.4+1.858%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.339.280.5+2.162%-
Last 30 away (13)41.940.382.2+1.654%-
Last 10 (10)41.336.778.0+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.872.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.141.282.4-0.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.039.980.9+1.156%-
vs Weaker (2)48.532.581.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.2
51.5%
52.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.1
31.8%
33.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.016.7
75.9%
71.0%16.7
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.9
48.8%
52.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.47.3
34.1%
33.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.914.5
76.7%
71.0%14.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
LLLWWWWWWW
Fukushima
WLLWLWLLWL
#5
League position
#10
-1.4
Net rating
-4.2
106.2
Offensive rating
105.6
107.6
Defensive rating
109.8
50.0%
Effective FG%
49.6%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
18.7%
Turnover %
18.1%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.8%
3-point %
34.1%
54.4%
Assist %
61.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 105.6Defence107.6 · 109.8Shooting50.0% · 49.6%3-point %31.8% · 34.1%Ball care18.7% · 18.1%Off. rebounds32.7% · 31.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Fukushima
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kumamoto wins
1
Fukushima wins
DateGameScore
15/10/23Fukushima v Kumamoto83-77
14/10/23Fukushima v Kumamoto79-97
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23AShiga73-81
23/12/23AShiga83-105
20/12/23ANara78-86
17/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas84-74
16/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas117-111 OT
10/12/23ANiigata80-72
09/12/23ANiigata90-82
03/12/23HShizuoka81-78
02/12/23HShizuoka69-65
26/11/23HAomori95-88
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23AKoshigaya Alphas83-81
23/12/23AKoshigaya Alphas54-75
20/12/23HAltiri Chiba67-84
17/12/23HNara74-56
16/12/23HNara67-85
10/12/23AKobe88-85
09/12/23AKobe88-101
03/12/23AAomori76-83
02/12/23AAomori100-76
26/11/23HFukuoka69-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL62%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%85%38%
Points / game83.887.180.5
Allowed / game83.182.084.2
Point differential+0.7+5.1-3.6
Avg total166.9169.1164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%15%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Fukushima
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW35%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayLLWLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %35%38%31%
Points / game78.978.379.5
Allowed / game82.680.185.1
Point differential-3.7-1.8-5.5
Avg total161.5158.4164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)20% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2725293%88.074.8+13.2
2 Shiga2720774%86.677.9+8.7
3 Fukuoka2619773%79.774.4+5.3
4 Kumamoto26161062%83.883.1+0.7
5 Koshigaya Alphas27161159%82.773.9+8.8
6 Aomori26151158%86.587.2-0.7
7 Kobe27141352%80.179.1+1.0
8 Yamagata Wyverns26131350%81.284.6-3.3
9 Shizuoka27131448%80.478.9+1.5
10 Nara27121544%73.577.9-4.4
11 Fukushima2691735%78.982.6-3.7
12 Iwate2872125%70.276.0-5.8
13 Ehime Orange Vikings2872125%78.586.0-7.6
14 Niigata261254%70.484.3-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto21282527101
Fukushima2018222787
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