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Nara vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 86-78
25-18 20-13 12-32 29-15
Position#11
Record8-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game77.7
Nara 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#5
Record16-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game82.1
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nara v Kumamoto
01 Dec 2024
NARA69
KUMA73
30 Nov 2024
NARA88
KUMA74
17 Mar 2024
NARA84
KUMA87
16 Mar 2024
NARA87
KUMA77
20 Dec 2023
NARA86
KUMA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
76-62
76
62
+14
69avg 63
A20/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
82-77 OT
82
77
+5
no box
A21/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 63
A25/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
77-71
77
71
+6
79avg 63
A26/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
68-60
68
60
+8
63avg 63
H02/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
64-84
64
84
-20
59avg 63
H03/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 63
A09/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
79-97
79
97
-18
72avg 63
A10/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
83avg 63
A16/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
56-74
56
74
-18
40avg 63
A17/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
27-10
19-19
15-18
23-15
21-21
10-22
17-13
21-22
22-14
13-16
24-17
15-17
21-26
22-5
19-23
22-14
10-16
16-13
20-17
11-21
12-23
18-22
23-18
26-26
14-14
19-13
13-26
20-18
15-25
21-23
23-31
20-18
14-22
28-14
23-13
16-17
6-20
17-18
17-19
147.9Avg total
73.9Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)71.877.7149.5-6.035%
Season at home (10)68.680.2148.8-11.630%
Season away (13)74.275.8150.1-1.638%
Last 10 (10)73.974.0147.9-0.160%
Last 5 (5)71.280.2151.4-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)67.382.8150.1-15.65%
vs Similar ◀ (9)71.871.8143.6+0.056%
vs Weaker (2)79.069.5148.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
W
99-75
99
75
+24
98avg 76
A17/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
83-91
83
91
-8
81avg 76
A18/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 76
H25/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
91avg 76
H26/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
69-65
69
65
+4
57avg 76
H02/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 76
H03/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 76
A09/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 76
A10/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
no box
H16/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
84-74
84
74
+10
74avg 76
H17/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
19-18
28-17
25-24
23-24
21-15
14-21
25-31
17-31
31-20
21-24
20-25
22-16
25-23
21-10
27-39
19-16
16-12
12-23
22-14
22-23
14-20
26-19
19-16
27-24
20-16
19-14
24-28
19-19
18-14
22-18
21-21
25-24
26-23
25-21
22-30
22-19
20-22
18-18
24-15
172.3Avg total
88.7Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.682.1166.7+2.570%
Season at home (13)87.182.0169.1+5.185%
Season away (10)81.382.2163.5-0.950%
Last 10 (10)88.783.6172.3+5.180%
Last 5 (5)90.483.4173.8+7.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.987.2161.2-13.325%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.778.6163.3+6.173%
vs Weaker (2)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.4-1.4
NaraKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A20/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A21/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A26/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H02/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H03/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A09/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A17/12
B2.League
72.5Avg total
35.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.739.872.4-7.128%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.740.571.2-9.823%-
Last 30 away (16)34.339.273.5-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)35.137.472.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)30.840.871.6-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)30.941.472.4-10.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.938.472.3-4.633%-
vs Weaker (2)43.030.573.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A17/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A18/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H25/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H26/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H02/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A09/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A10/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H16/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/12
B2.League
82.8Avg total
43.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.980.5+0.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.838.781.5+4.176%-
Last 30 away (13)37.741.479.1-3.746%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.582.8+3.880%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.883.4+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.743.181.8-4.458%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.137.679.7+4.567%-
vs Weaker (2)42.036.578.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.417.6
45.8%
52.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.5
37.4%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.413.0
74.7%
71.0%13.0
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.5
51.4%
52.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.8%
33.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.015.5
73.8%
71.0%15.5
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
LWLLLWWWWW
Kumamoto
WWWWWWWLLW
#11
League position
#5
+1.4
Net rating
+0.7
105.4
Offensive rating
108.4
104.0
Defensive rating
107.7
49.7%
Effective FG%
50.6%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
18.4%
Turnover %
16.7%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.4%
3-point %
32.8%
62.5%
Assist %
55.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 108.4Defence104.0 · 107.7Shooting49.7% · 50.6%3-point %37.4% · 32.8%Ball care18.4% · 16.7%Off. rebounds33.2% · 32.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Nara   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nara wins
1
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
25/10/23Kumamoto v Nara64-62
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23AFukushima56-74
16/12/23AFukushima85-67
10/12/23AShiga79-97
09/12/23AShiga72-79
03/12/23HFukuoka64-84
02/12/23HFukuoka68-60
26/11/23AIwate77-71
25/11/23AIwate80-69
21/11/23ANiigata82-77 OT
20/11/23ANiigata76-62
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas84-74
16/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas117-111 OT
10/12/23ANiigata80-72
09/12/23ANiigata90-82
03/12/23HShizuoka81-78
02/12/23HShizuoka69-65
26/11/23HAomori95-88
25/11/23HAomori89-100
18/11/23AFukuoka83-91
17/11/23AFukuoka99-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL35%
HomeLLWWL30%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %35%30%38%
Points / game71.868.674.2
Allowed / game77.780.275.8
Point differential-6.0-11.6-1.6
Avg total149.5148.8150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%10%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %70%85%50%
Points / game84.687.181.3
Allowed / game82.182.082.2
Point differential+2.5+5.1-0.9
Avg total166.7169.1163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%15%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2321291%88.976.2+12.7
2 Fukuoka2317674%80.474.8+5.6
3 Shiga2316770%86.578.0+8.5
4 Kumamoto2316770%84.682.1+2.5
5 Aomori2315865%86.987.0-0.2
6 Koshigaya Alphas2314961%83.674.3+9.3
7 Kobe23131057%81.678.6+3.0
8 Shizuoka23111248%80.078.6+1.4
9 Yamagata Wyverns23101343%80.084.7-4.7
10 Fukushima2381535%80.382.9-2.6
11 Nara2381535%71.877.7-6.0
12 Ehime Orange Vikings2361726%78.487.2-8.8
13 Iwate2351822%70.376.3-6.0
14 Niigata231224%69.784.5-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara2520122986
Kumamoto1813321578
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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