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Saga vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 61-68
16-20 20-12 9-17 16-19
Position#18
Record9-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#12
Record9-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game80.7
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
29 Dec 2024
SAGA74
NAGO79
28 Dec 2024
SAGA61
NAGO68
11 Feb 2024
SAGA73
NAGO80
10 Feb 2024
SAGA72
NAGO94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#16
W
80-51
80
51
+29
79avg 67
H01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
78-93
78
93
-15
71avg 67
H02/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
70-84
70
84
-14
58avg 67
A07/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 67
A08/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
55-85
55
85
-30
40avg 67
A11/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
91-95
91
95
-4
87avg 67
H14/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 67
H15/12
B League
Osaka
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
60avg 67
A18/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
85-72
85
72
+13
75avg 67
A21/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 67
A22/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
15-12
22-10
20-16
17-21
23-22
20-18
18-32
16-23
14-25
13-21
27-15
18-21
21-18
12-18
23-29
12-18
22-15
12-26
9-26
28-18
18-30
24-15
21-32
26-24
21-23
11-13
16-19
23-21
15-17
13-21
17-18
22-26
17-20
23-17
23-9
15-20
23-21
26-19
23-9
155.3Avg total
76.2Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.076.3151.3-1.238%
Season at home (9)77.978.9156.8-1.022%
Season away (15)73.374.7148.1-1.447%
Last 10 (10)76.279.1155.3-2.930%
Last 5 (5)81.078.4159.4+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.579.2147.8-10.88%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.075.2153.2+2.845%
vs Weaker (7)82.972.3155.1+10.671%
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
94-90
94
90
+4
78avg 67
A30/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
71-101
71
101
-30
59avg 67
A01/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
80-89
80
89
-9
67avg 67
H07/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
89-74
89
74
+15
88avg 67
H08/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
84avg 67
A11/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
77-89
77
89
-12
67avg 67
A14/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
76-63
76
63
+13
68avg 67
A15/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
77-93
77
93
-16
62avg 67
H18/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
62-58
62
58
+4
48avg 67
H21/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
69-74
69
74
-5
59avg 67
H22/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
28-23
24-24
17-25
20-28
12-32
13-24
26-17
26-35
18-21
20-10
16-23
26-18
26-21
11-20
26-15
32-20
16-24
18-22
18-17
18-17
29-22
22-24
8-26
19-19
6-17
24-12
27-15
18-31
22-27
15-11
22-24
16-7
14-20
15-12
17-19
19-19
20-20
12-17
18-18
159.3Avg total
77.9Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.180.7154.8-6.638%
Season at home (13)73.982.2156.1-8.231%
Season away (11)74.479.0153.4-4.645%
Last 10 (10)77.981.4159.3-3.550%
Last 5 (5)72.275.4147.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.085.9158.9-12.925%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.378.6151.9-5.233%
vs Weaker (10)80.773.2153.9+7.580%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
SagaNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#16
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H01/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A07/12
B League
Gunma
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/12
B League
Shimane
#8
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A11/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H14/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H15/12
B League
Osaka
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A18/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A21/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A22/12
B League
79.7Avg total
38.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.376.8-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.939.977.8-2.027%-
Last 30 away (19)37.239.076.2-1.842%-
Last 10 (10)38.940.879.7-1.920%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.085.6-2.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.739.873.4-6.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.838.077.8+1.836%-
vs Weaker (7)40.140.780.9-0.657%-
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A30/11
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
32-60
32
60
-28
A01/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H07/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H08/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A11/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A15/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H18/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H21/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H22/12
B League
84.9Avg total
41.0Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.180.3-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.643.983.5-4.333%-
Last 30 away (15)38.938.277.1+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.984.9-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.876.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.445.082.4-7.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.042.180.1-4.133%-
vs Weaker (10)42.336.779.0+5.670%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.4
52.2%
51.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.1
29.5%
33.4%18.3
🏀 Free throws19.014.1
74.2%
72.7%14.1
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.9
50.6%
51.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.5
32.3%
33.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.011.8
69.4%
72.7%11.8
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WWLLLLLLLW
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
LWLWLWWLLW
#18
League position
#12
-4.4
Net rating
-4.5
105.8
Offensive rating
104.3
110.2
Defensive rating
108.8
49.5%
Effective FG%
49.8%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.6%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.5%
3-point %
32.3%
63.6%
Assist %
59.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 104.3Defence110.2 · 108.8Shooting49.5% · 49.8%3-point %29.5% · 32.3%Ball care16.2% · 15.6%Off. rebounds28.4% · 27.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Saga   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
2
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
DateGameScore
11/02/24Saga v Nagoya Fighting Eagles73-80
10/02/24Saga v Nagoya Fighting Eagles72-94
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24ASendai87-69
21/12/24ASendai85-72
18/12/24AOsaka68-77
15/12/24HHiroshima D.74-79
14/12/24HHiroshima D.91-95
11/12/24AShimane55-85
08/12/24AGunma74-86
07/12/24AGunma70-84
02/12/24HNagasaki78-93
01/12/24HNagasaki80-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HRyukyu69-74
21/12/24HRyukyu62-58
18/12/24HYokohama77-93
15/12/24ASun Rockers Shibuya76-63
14/12/24ASun Rockers Shibuya77-89
11/12/24ASeaHorses Mikawa84-83
08/12/24HHiroshima D.89-74
07/12/24HHiroshima D.80-89
01/12/24AKoshigaya Alphas71-101
30/11/24AKoshigaya Alphas94-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeLWLLL22%
AwayLLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24915
Win %38%22%47%
Points / game75.077.973.3
Allowed / game76.378.974.7
Point differential-1.2-1.0-1.4
Avg total151.3156.8148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%22%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeLWLWL31%
AwayWLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %38%31%45%
Points / game74.173.974.4
Allowed / game80.782.279.0
Point differential-6.6-8.2-4.6
Avg total154.8156.1153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%23%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix2420483%91.278.8+12.5
2 Alvark2420483%79.070.1+8.8
3 Utsunomiya Brex2419579%82.875.4+7.5
4 Gunma2417771%79.170.9+8.2
5 Ryukyu2417771%82.675.8+6.8
6 Chiba2417771%81.275.6+5.5
7 SeaHorses Mikawa2416867%80.574.6+5.9
8 Shimane2415962%80.173.7+6.4
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya2415962%76.971.5+5.4
10 Kyoto24131154%82.079.7+2.3
11 Osaka24131154%81.980.3+1.6
12 Diamond Dolphins24121250%82.883.2-0.4
13 Akita24121250%71.572.2-0.7
14 Nagasaki24121250%73.975.4-1.5
15 Hiroshima D.24101442%77.082.6-5.6
16 Saga2491538%75.076.3-1.2
17 Yokohama2491538%76.080.2-4.2
18 Hokkaido2491538%74.279.7-5.5
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2491538%74.180.7-6.6
20 Ibaraki Robots2471729%74.982.1-7.2
21 Koshigaya Alphas2461825%77.182.5-5.5
22 Sendai2451921%72.180.3-8.2
23 Brave Thunders2442017%75.187.0-11.9
24 Shiga242228%74.286.8-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga162091661
Nagoya Fighting Eagles2012171968
← all games of the day
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