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Saga vs Nagoya Fighting Eagles Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 74-79
12-13 21-17 10-32 31-17
Position#18
Record9-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#12
Record10-15
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game79.9
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Nagoya Fighting Eagles
29 Dec 2024
SAGA74
NAGO79
28 Dec 2024
SAGA61
NAGO68
11 Feb 2024
SAGA73
NAGO80
10 Feb 2024
SAGA72
NAGO94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagoya Fighting Eagles winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#16
L
78-93
78
93
-15
71avg 66
H02/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
70-84
70
84
-14
58avg 66
A07/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
74-86
74
86
-12
66avg 66
A08/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
55-85
55
85
-30
40avg 66
A11/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
91-95
91
95
-4
87avg 66
H14/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 66
H15/12
B League
Osaka
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
60avg 66
A18/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
85-72
85
72
+13
75avg 66
A21/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 66
A22/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
61-68
61
68
-7
43avg 66
H28/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
23-22
20-18
18-32
16-23
14-25
13-21
27-15
18-21
21-18
12-18
23-29
12-18
22-15
12-26
9-26
28-18
18-30
24-15
21-32
26-24
21-23
11-13
16-19
23-21
15-17
13-21
17-18
22-26
17-20
23-17
23-9
15-20
23-21
26-19
23-9
16-20
20-12
9-17
16-19
155.1Avg total
74.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.576.0150.4-1.536%
Season at home (10)76.277.8154.0-1.620%
Season away (15)73.374.7148.1-1.447%
Last 10 (10)74.380.8155.1-6.520%
Last 5 (5)75.073.0148.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.579.2147.8-10.88%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.674.6151.2+2.042%
vs Weaker (6)82.269.7151.8+12.583%
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEagles
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
71-101
71
101
-30
59avg 68
A01/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
80-89
80
89
-9
67avg 68
H07/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
89-74
89
74
+15
88avg 68
H08/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
84avg 68
A11/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
77-89
77
89
-12
67avg 68
A14/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
76-63
76
63
+13
68avg 68
A15/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
77-93
77
93
-16
62avg 68
H18/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
62-58
62
58
+4
48avg 68
H21/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
69-74
69
74
-5
59avg 68
H22/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
68-61
68
61
+7
68avg 68
A28/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
12-32
13-24
26-17
26-35
18-21
20-10
16-23
26-18
26-21
11-20
26-15
32-20
16-24
18-22
18-17
18-17
29-22
22-24
8-26
19-19
6-17
24-12
27-15
18-31
22-27
15-11
22-24
16-7
14-20
15-12
17-19
19-19
20-20
12-17
18-18
20-16
12-20
17-9
19-16
153.8Avg total
75.3Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)73.979.9153.8-6.040%
Season at home (13)73.982.2156.1-8.231%
Season away (12)73.877.5151.3-3.750%
Last 10 (10)75.378.5153.8-3.250%
Last 5 (5)70.469.8140.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.085.9158.9-12.925%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.977.2150.2-4.338%
vs Weaker (9)79.073.9152.9+5.178%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
SagaNagoya Fighting Eagles
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#16
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H02/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A07/12
B League
Gunma
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/12
B League
Shimane
#8
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A11/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H14/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H15/12
B League
Osaka
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A18/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A21/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A22/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/12
B League
80.2Avg total
38.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.875.8-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.839.277.0-1.533%-
Last 30 away (18)36.538.575.0-2.039%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.580.2-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.880.4-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.739.873.4-6.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.537.577.0+2.042%-
vs Weaker (6)38.739.578.2-0.850%-
This opponent (Nagoya Fighting Eagles) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nagoya Fighting EaglesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#20
L
32-60
32
60
-28
A01/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H07/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H08/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A11/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A15/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H18/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H21/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H22/12
B League
Saga
#18
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A28/12
B League
82.3Avg total
38.9Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.780.3-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.643.983.5-4.333%-
Last 30 away (15)37.739.477.1-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)38.943.482.3-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.239.272.4-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.445.082.4-7.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.541.679.2-4.131%-
vs Weaker (9)41.438.880.2+2.767%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.0
51.3%
51.2%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.2
28.6%
33.4%18.6
🏀 Free throws17.412.7
73.0%
72.7%12.7
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagoya Fighting Eaglestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagoya Fighting Eagles: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.7
50.5%
51.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.0
31.7%
33.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.311.1
68.1%
72.7%11.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LWWLLLLLLL
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
WLWLWLWWLL
#18
League position
#12
-9.3
Net rating
-4.1
102.1
Offensive rating
102.0
111.4
Defensive rating
106.1
48.4%
Effective FG%
49.4%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.6%
3-point %
31.7%
61.4%
Assist %
60.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 102.0Defence111.4 · 106.1Shooting48.4% · 49.4%3-point %28.6% · 31.7%Ball care16.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds27.5% · 28.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Saga   ■ Nagoya Fighting Eagles
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
3
Nagoya Fighting Eagles wins
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles61-68
22/12/24ASendai87-69
21/12/24ASendai85-72
18/12/24AOsaka68-77
15/12/24HHiroshima D.74-79
14/12/24HHiroshima D.91-95
11/12/24AShimane55-85
08/12/24AGunma74-86
07/12/24AGunma70-84
02/12/24HNagasaki78-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24ASaga68-61
22/12/24HRyukyu69-74
21/12/24HRyukyu62-58
18/12/24HYokohama77-93
15/12/24ASun Rockers Shibuya76-63
14/12/24ASun Rockers Shibuya77-89
11/12/24ASeaHorses Mikawa84-83
08/12/24HHiroshima D.89-74
07/12/24HHiroshima D.80-89
01/12/24AKoshigaya Alphas71-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251015
Win %36%20%47%
Points / game74.576.273.3
Allowed / game76.077.874.7
Point differential-1.5-1.6-1.4
Avg total150.4154.0148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%20%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW40%
HomeLWLWL31%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %40%31%50%
Points / game73.973.973.8
Allowed / game79.982.277.5
Point differential-6.0-8.2-3.7
Avg total153.8156.1151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%23%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix2521484%91.078.8+12.1
2 Alvark2520580%78.370.3+8.0
3 Utsunomiya Brex2520580%83.375.5+7.8
4 Gunma2518772%78.970.5+8.4
5 Ryukyu2518772%83.075.6+7.4
6 SeaHorses Mikawa2517868%80.774.4+6.3
7 Chiba2517868%81.276.0+5.2
8 Shimane2516964%80.374.0+6.3
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya25151060%76.671.4+5.2
10 Kyoto25131252%81.680.2+1.3
11 Osaka25131252%81.580.5+1.0
12 Akita25131252%72.072.2-0.2
13 Diamond Dolphins25131252%82.382.7-0.4
14 Nagasaki25131252%74.175.0-0.9
15 Hiroshima D.25101540%77.183.0-6.0
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles25101540%73.979.9-6.0
17 Saga2591636%74.576.0-1.5
18 Yokohama2591636%76.280.4-4.2
19 Hokkaido2591636%74.080.0-5.9
20 Ibaraki Robots2571828%74.982.1-7.2
21 Koshigaya Alphas2461825%77.182.5-5.5
22 Sendai2552020%71.880.2-8.4
23 Brave Thunders2552020%75.486.5-11.1
24 Shiga242228%74.286.8-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1221103174
Nagoya Fighting Eagles1317321779
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