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Nagasaki vs Alvark Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 84-94
15-20 20-27 34-27 15-20
Position#17
Record12-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Alvark 🏆
Japan
Position#2
Record17-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game64.5
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagasaki v Alvark
24 Jan 2027
NAGA v ALVA
upcoming
08 May 2026
NAGA96
ALVA56
07 May 2026
NAGA93
ALVA78
08 Mar 2026
NAGA70
ALVA91
07 Mar 2026
NAGA78
ALVA93
08 Dec 2024
NAGA81
ALVA83
07 Dec 2024
NAGA52
ALVA89
17 Dec 2023
NAGA84
ALVA94
16 Dec 2023
NAGA62
ALVA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
88-92
88
92
-4
72avg 78
A05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
97-101
97
101
-4
89avg 78
A08/11
B League
Sendai
#16
L
70-94
70
94
-24
60avg 78
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#16
W
86-81
86
81
+5
86avg 78
A12/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
no box
H02/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
W
92-85
92
85
+7
90avg 78
H03/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
82avg 78
A06/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 78
H09/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 78
H10/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
58avg 78
H16/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
29-31
21-22
22-24
22-25
25-19
27-28
23-29
20-28
12-22
22-22
16-22
29-24
24-15
15-22
18-20
11-24
22-16
17-16
20-14
27-23
17-21
23-20
25-21
24-17
20-21
20-16
27-27
20-22
22-22
14-11
15-29
14-19
21-14
23-20
14-14
16-17
14-20
10-16
22-18
164.2Avg total
80.6Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.282.8167.0+1.360%
Season at home (10)79.480.1159.5-0.760%
Season away (10)88.985.6174.5+3.360%
Last 10 (10)80.683.6164.2-3.040%
Last 5 (5)77.677.6155.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.183.4166.6-0.356%
vs Similar (7)79.980.9160.7-1.057%
vs Weaker (4)94.085.0179.0+9.075%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
97-72
97
72
+25
100avg 76
H04/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
79-60
79
60
+19
78avg 76
H08/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
78-48
78
48
+30
83avg 76
A11/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
76-67
76
67
+9
71avg 76
A12/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
88-75
88
75
+13
88avg 76
H02/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
61-76
61
76
-15
45avg 76
H03/12
B League
Gunma
#13
L
82-91
82
91
-9
68avg 76
H06/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
89-66
89
66
+23
89avg 76
A09/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
92-67
92
67
+25
90avg 76
A10/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
71-62
71
62
+9
62avg 76
A16/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
27-21
23-19
23-14
19-15
19-17
27-9
14-19
23-8
13-15
28-17
14-8
27-20
21-16
17-11
11-20
31-12
18-26
14-11
25-26
20-19
16-15
12-20
13-22
20-24
24-19
16-25
22-23
16-17
30-23
21-11
22-15
22-17
21-16
34-21
15-13
17-16
20-14
16-10
18-22
149.7Avg total
81.3Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.464.5144.9+15.985%
Season at home (9)78.668.9147.4+9.767%
Season away (11)81.960.9142.8+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.368.4149.7+12.980%
Last 5 (5)79.072.4151.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.291.2158.5-24.00%
vs Similar (7)76.676.7153.3-0.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)80.764.4145.1+16.389%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.5-0.5
NagasakiAlvark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A08/11
B League
Sendai
#16
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#16
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A12/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H02/12
B League
Brave Thunders
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/12
B League
Saga
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A06/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H09/12
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H10/12
B League
Alvark
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H16/12
B League
82.0Avg total
40.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)43.641.685.2+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (10)40.640.380.9+0.350%-
Last 30 away (10)46.742.989.6+3.870%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.582.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.278.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.841.182.9+0.756%-
vs Similar (7)44.440.785.1+3.771%-
vs Weaker (4)46.544.290.8+2.250%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H04/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A11/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A12/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H02/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H03/12
B League
Gunma
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H06/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A09/12
B League
Toyama
#24
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A10/12
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A16/12
B League
77.6Avg total
42.8Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.435.073.4+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.536.575.0+2.155%-
Last 30 away (19)38.334.172.4+4.268%-
Last 10 (10)42.834.877.6+8.0100%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.077.2+5.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.547.075.5-18.50%-
vs Similar (7)33.137.670.7-4.414%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.431.573.9+10.995%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.9
52.5%
50.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.9
33.0%
33.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.912.0
71.0%
72.0%12.0
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.8
51.4%
50.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.6
34.2%
33.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.716.1
74.2%
72.0%16.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LWLWWLWLLL
Alvark
WWWLLWWWWW
#17
League position
#2
-2.3
Net rating
+18.5
103.1
Offensive rating
113.7
105.3
Defensive rating
95.2
51.2%
Effective FG%
51.4%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
18.4%
Turnover %
15.4%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.0%
3-point %
34.2%
67.4%
Assist %
71.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 113.7Defence105.3 · 95.2Shooting51.2% · 51.4%3-point %33.0% · 34.2%Ball care18.4% · 15.4%Off. rebounds27.3% · 34.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Alvark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
1
Alvark wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Nagasaki v Alvark62-71
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HAlvark62-71
10/12/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles72-67
09/12/23HNagoya Fighting Eagles71-84
06/12/23ASaga91-81
03/12/23HBrave Thunders92-85
02/12/23HBrave Thunders77-80 OT
12/11/23ASendai86-81
11/11/23ASendai70-94
08/11/23ADiamond Dolphins97-101
05/11/23AIbaraki Robots88-92
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23ANagasaki71-62
10/12/23AToyama92-67
09/12/23AToyama89-66
06/12/23HGunma82-91
03/12/23HHiroshima D.61-76
02/12/23HHiroshima D.88-75
12/11/23AAkita76-67
11/11/23AAkita78-48
08/11/23HIbaraki Robots79-60
04/11/23HSun Rockers Shibuya97-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeLWLWL60%
AwayLLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game84.279.488.9
Allowed / game82.880.185.6
Point differential+1.3-0.7+3.3
Avg total167.0159.5174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Alvark
B League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW85%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %85%67%100%
Points / game80.478.681.9
Allowed / game64.568.960.9
Point differential+15.9+9.7+21.0
Avg total144.9147.4142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%67%73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2017385%80.464.5+15.9
2 NeoPhoenix2017385%90.079.0+10.9
3 Utsunomiya Brex2016480%77.868.0+9.7
4 Ryukyu2016480%81.777.5+4.2
5 Diamond Dolphins2014670%82.778.8+3.9
6 Brave Thunders2114767%80.976.0+4.9
7 Shimane2113862%84.177.4+6.7
8 SeaHorses Mikawa2012860%82.877.5+5.2
9 Nagasaki2012860%84.282.8+1.3
10 Chiba2011955%83.583.8-0.2
11 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2011955%74.274.5-0.3
12 Hiroshima D.20101050%79.075.5+3.5
13 Saga20101050%75.374.8+0.5
14 Sendai2091145%81.680.6+1.0
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya2091145%76.576.5-0.1
16 Osaka2091145%77.579.5-2.0
17 Akita2091145%71.675.8-4.2
18 Gunma2091145%75.780.0-4.2
19 Yokohama2081240%76.281.0-4.8
20 Kyoto2051525%75.483.7-8.3
21 Hokkaido2151624%73.781.2-7.6
22 Shinshu2141719%75.384.5-9.2
23 Ibaraki Robots201195%74.285.6-11.4
24 Toyama201195%72.887.8-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1520341584
Alvark2027272094
← all games of the day
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