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Siauliai vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 16:10
Final 93-78
19-19 31-16 17-19 26-24
Position#4
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#8
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game94.0
LithuaniaLKL· Siauliu arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Siauliai v Jonava
16 May 2027
SIA v JON
upcoming
24 Jan 2027
SIA v JON
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
SIA96
JON77
12 Nov 2025
SIA86
JON76
27 Sep 2025
SIA93
JON78
09 Mar 2025
SIA90
JON94
16 Dec 2024
SIA103
JON93
04 Dec 2024
SIA90
JON104
03 Mar 2024
SIA89
JON86
04 Jan 2024
SIA80
JON77
20 Mar 2023
SIA73
JON84
06 Nov 2022
SIA85
JON89
03 Nov 2022
SIA83
JON79
08 May 2022
SIA79
JON65
03 May 2022
SIA88
JON66
25 Oct 2021
SIA93
JON87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
L
101-106
101
106
-5
95avg 87
A04/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
89-104
89
104
-15
83avg 87
H06/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
79-102
79
102
-23
71avg 87
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
96-103
96
103
-7
91avg 87
A13/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
104-92
104
92
+12
106avg 87
A17/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
53avg 87
H21/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-127
81
127
-46
63avg 87
A25/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
84-110
84
110
-26
76avg 87
H27/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
93-85
93
85
+8
84avg 87
A21/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
63avg 87
A24/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
24-29
24-23
31-25
25-21
25-37
17-19
22-27
19-22
23-26
22-26
15-28
33-30
25-21
13-37
25-15
36-29
17-17
26-23
25-23
17-23
23-12
11-21
15-15
17-28
24-30
22-37
18-32
24-34
19-25
22-31
19-20
23-21
18-22
24-23
28-19
20-23
9-27
25-20
18-23
185.8Avg total
86.5Scored
99.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.589.0171.5-6.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)82.589.0171.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)86.599.3185.8-12.820%
Last 5 (5)79.297.2176.4-18.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)84.197.9181.9-13.817%
vs Similar (9)91.489.2180.7+2.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)109.092.3201.3+16.767%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
W
102-98
102
98
+4
101avg 79
H26/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
61-73
61
73
-12
46avg 79
A29/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
74-98
74
98
-24
63avg 79
H31/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 79
A03/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
90-83
90
83
+7
79avg 79
A11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
85-104
85
104
-19
74avg 79
H13/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-92
78
92
-14
68avg 79
A16/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
61avg 79
H18/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
66avg 79
H20/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
74-101
74
101
-27
66avg 79
A23/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
32-22
22-18
23-32
17-16
10-22
25-14
9-21
18-26
28-27
13-31
15-14
25-28
15-18
18-22
20-18
23-22
17-21
19-22
31-18
21-17
21-27
20-28
23-32
18-16
25-23
13-24
22-29
22-15
15-16
19-31
17-19
14-22
11-19
25-21
28-25
13-21
17-31
21-21
23-28
169.6Avg total
79.3Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.094.0170.0-18.00%
Season at home (1)78.087.0165.0-9.00%
Season away (1)74.0101.0175.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)79.390.3169.6-11.020%
Last 5 (5)77.693.0170.6-15.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.990.4169.3-11.419%
vs Similar (12)96.292.0188.2+4.283%
vs Weaker (2)111.570.5182.0+41.0100%
This opponent (Siauliai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
SiauliaiJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A04/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H06/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A13/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A17/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H21/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A25/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H27/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A21/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A24/09
LKL
94.9Avg total
44.3Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.248.394.4-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.446.995.3+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)44.249.493.7-5.225%-
Last 10 (10)44.350.694.9-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.849.087.8-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)45.850.195.9-4.339%-
vs Similar (9)43.945.689.4-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)55.045.3100.3+9.7100%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H26/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A29/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H31/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A03/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H13/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H18/06
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H20/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A23/09
LKL
82.2Avg total
38.7Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.842.786.4+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.541.087.5+5.564%-
Last 30 away (16)41.444.185.5-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)38.743.582.2-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.441.476.8-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.144.483.5-5.425%-
vs Similar (12)47.541.989.4+5.667%-
vs Weaker (2)59.033.092.0+26.0100%-
This opponent (Siauliai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.024.8
55.1%
55.4%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.0
32.0%
35.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.014.5
72.5%
74.3%14.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.6
50.2%
55.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.1
34.5%
35.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws22.315.8
70.9%
74.3%15.8
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Siauliai
LWLLLWLLLL
Jonava
LLLLLWLLLW
#4
League position
#8
-17.3
Net rating
-15.1
108.2
Offensive rating
107.2
125.5
Defensive rating
122.2
52.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
61.7%
Opp. effective FG%
62.4%
19.3%
Turnover %
16.6%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.0%
3-point %
34.5%
56.9%
Assist %
56.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 107.2Defence125.5 · 122.2Shooting52.8% · 50.7%3-point %32.0% · 34.5%Ball care19.3% · 16.6%Off. rebounds33.4% · 30.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Siauliai   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Siauliai wins
6
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
04/05/25Jonava v Siauliai106-101
09/03/25Siauliai v Jonava90-94
16/12/24Siauliai v Jonava103-93
04/12/24Siauliai v Jonava90-104
10/10/24Jonava v Siauliai87-84
05/10/24Jonava v Siauliai104-93
02/04/24Jonava v Siauliai81-80
03/03/24Siauliai v Jonava89-86
20/01/24Jonava v Siauliai72-83
04/01/24Siauliai v Jonava80-77
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/25AZalgiris Kaunas72-93
21/09/25AGargzdai93-85
27/05/25HRytas84-110
25/05/25ARytas81-127
21/05/25HZalgiris Kaunas66-71
17/05/25ANevezis104-92
13/05/25ARytas96-103
10/05/25AJuventus79-102
06/05/25HLietkabelis89-104
04/05/25AJonava101-106
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/25ALietkabelis74-101
20/09/25HZalgiris Kaunas78-87
18/06/25HLietkabelis73-81
16/06/25ALietkabelis78-92
13/06/25HLietkabelis85-104
11/06/25ALietkabelis90-83
03/06/25AZalgiris Kaunas78-86
31/05/25HZalgiris Kaunas74-98
29/05/25AZalgiris Kaunas61-73
26/05/25HBC Wolves102-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siauliai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game82.5-82.5
Allowed / game89.0-89.0
Point differential-6.5--6.5
Avg total171.5-171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Jonava
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.078.074.0
Allowed / game94.087.0101.0
Point differential-18.0-9.0-27.0
Avg total170.0165.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas220100%90.568.5+22.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%88.073.7+14.3
3 Lietkabelis21150%92.585.0+7.5
4 Neptunas21150%83.584.0-0.5
5 Nevezis21150%77.083.0-6.0
6 Siauliai21150%82.589.0-6.5
7 Juventus1010%84.090.0-6.0
8 Gargzdai2020%79.096.0-17.0
9 Jonava2020%76.094.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Siauliai1931172693
Jonava1916192478
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