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Gargzdai vs Siauliai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 13:50
Final 85-93
21-23 22-18 23-24 19-28
Position#5
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#4
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaLKL· Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Gargzdai v Siauliai
22 Apr 2027
GAR v SIA
upcoming
20 Sep 2026
GAR90
SIA79
15 Apr 2026
GAR78
SIA81
05 Nov 2025
GAR102
SIA91
21 Sep 2025
GAR85
SIA93
11 Dec 2023
GAR89
SIA94
24 Apr 2023
GAR56
SIA60
07 Oct 2022
GAR76
SIA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siauliai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
74-97
74
97
-23
no box
H19/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
no box
A22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
no box
A25/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
80-92
80
92
-12
no box
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H11/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
79-110
79
110
-31
no box
A16/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
73-105
73
105
-32
no box
A28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
H08/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
81-100
81
100
-19
no box
A14/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
28-12
21-21
10-27
21-20
26-20
18-25
9-32
22-19
17-26
25-18
27-18
16-18
21-20
17-17
12-22
22-23
19-25
23-18
16-26
28-25
21-19
24-24
16-26
25-22
15-37
15-22
24-29
13-24
20-21
20-32
20-28
18-15
21-30
24-24
19-24
28-17
12-30
22-29
19-24
172.6Avg total
79.3Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.393.3172.6-14.010%
Last 5 (5)80.8100.4181.2-19.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)75.289.3164.4-14.115%
vs Similar ◀ (3)88.087.7175.7+0.367%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSiauliai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
95-90
95
90
+5
88avg 86
A27/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
122-96
122
96
+26
124avg 86
H30/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
101-106
101
106
-5
95avg 86
A04/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
89-104
89
104
-15
83avg 86
H06/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
79-102
79
102
-23
71avg 86
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
96-103
96
103
-7
91avg 86
A13/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
104-92
104
92
+12
106avg 86
A17/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
53avg 86
H21/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-127
81
127
-46
63avg 86
A25/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
84-110
84
110
-26
76avg 86
H27/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
19-19
27-14
23-29
33-26
33-30
22-17
34-23
22-29
24-29
24-23
31-25
25-21
25-37
17-19
22-27
19-22
23-26
22-26
15-28
33-30
25-21
13-37
25-15
36-29
17-17
26-23
25-23
17-23
23-12
11-21
15-15
17-28
24-30
22-37
18-32
24-34
19-25
22-31
19-20
191.8Avg total
91.7Scored
100.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.7100.1191.8-8.430%
Last 5 (5)86.2100.6186.8-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)84.998.7183.6-13.717%
vs Similar ◀ (9)92.690.1182.7+2.456%
vs Weaker (3)109.092.3201.3+16.767%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -8.4-8.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -8.4-8.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
GargzdaiSiauliai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#3
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H19/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/11
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H11/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A16/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A28/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H08/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A14/01
LKL
85.9Avg total
41.2Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.944.483.3-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.945.484.3-6.629%-
Last 30 away (16)38.943.682.5-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)41.244.785.9-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.088.2-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)38.344.282.5-5.926%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)44.346.390.7-2.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Siauliai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SiauliaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A27/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H30/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A04/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H06/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A10/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A13/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A17/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H21/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A25/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H27/05
LKL
100.0Avg total
48.4Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.848.495.2-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.847.295.0+0.662%-
Last 30 away (14)45.649.995.4-4.329%-
Last 10 (10)48.451.6100.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.049.896.8-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)46.750.597.2-3.839%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.145.389.4-1.244%-
vs Weaker (3)55.045.3100.3+9.7100%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.6
51.6%
55.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.0
30.1%
35.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.214.9
61.6%
74.3%14.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siauliaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siauliai: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.624.2
58.2%
55.4%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.2
36.4%
35.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws20.014.5
72.5%
74.3%14.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LLLLLLLWLL
Siauliai
LLLWLLLLWW
#5
League position
#4
-19.1
Net rating
-11.2
102.3
Offensive rating
114.7
121.4
Defensive rating
125.9
48.9%
Effective FG%
56.8%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
62.6%
18.2%
Turnover %
18.0%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.1%
3-point %
36.4%
65.2%
Assist %
59.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 114.7Defence121.4 · 125.9Shooting48.9% · 56.8%3-point %30.1% · 36.4%Ball care18.2% · 18.0%Off. rebounds32.4% · 31.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Siauliai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gargzdai wins
3
Siauliai wins
DateGameScore
11/12/23Gargzdai v Siauliai89-94
22/10/23Siauliai v Gargzdai79-97
24/04/23Gargzdai v Siauliai56-60
16/02/23Siauliai v Gargzdai92-99 OT
07/10/22Gargzdai v Siauliai76-78
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24ANeptunas81-100
08/01/24HMazeikiai82-93
28/12/23AJonava73-105
16/12/23ARytas79-110
11/12/23HSiauliai89-94
04/12/23ANevezis80-92
25/11/23AMazeikiai66-77
22/11/23AMazeikiai91-81
19/11/23HJuventus74-97
16/11/23ANeptunas78-84
Siauliailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/25HRytas84-110
25/05/25ARytas81-127
21/05/25HZalgiris Kaunas66-71
17/05/25ANevezis104-92
13/05/25ARytas96-103
10/05/25AJuventus79-102
06/05/25HLietkabelis89-104
04/05/25AJonava101-106
30/04/25HMazeikiai122-96
27/04/25ANeptunas95-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Siauliai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Neptunas110100%96.084.0+12.0
2 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%87.078.0+9.0
3 Jonava1010%78.087.0-9.0
4 Lietkabelis1010%84.096.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai2122231985
Siauliai2318242893
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