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Sichuan vs Guangzhou Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 25 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#19
Record2-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game93.9
vs
Position#9
Record4-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game95.1
ChinaCBARound 18· Sichuan Provincial Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sichuan v Guangzhou
25 Dec 2026
SICH v GUAN
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
SICH66
GUAN81
28 Dec 2024
SICH99
GUAN98
05 Jan 2024
SICH82
GUAN108
22 Mar 2023
SICH90
GUAN102
13 Jan 2022
SICH71
GUAN92
06 Mar 2021
SICH111
GUAN114
16 Nov 2019
SICH104
GUAN99
01 Jan 2019
SICH99
GUAN113
30 Dec 2017
SICH104
GUAN107
04 Jan 2017
SICH114
GUAN88
15 Nov 2015
SICH124
GUAN113
25 Jan 2015
SICH103
GUAN120
15 Nov 2013
SICH114
GUAN123
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sichuan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SichuanChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSichuan
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
85-101
85
101
-16
69avg 60
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
81-104
81
104
-23
63avg 60
H24/04
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
97-85
97
85
+12
no box
H17/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
A20/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
no box
A23/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
49-91
49
91
-42
no box
H25/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
H27/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
64-115
64
115
-51
no box
A29/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
89-95
89
95
-6
no box
A01/11
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
74-82
74
82
-8
no box
H03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
28-30
17-17
20-24
9-30
23-31
25-28
24-15
28-22
25-26
25-15
19-22
24-22
24-20
22-26
21-20
23-30
29-29
22-25
19-20
14-28
10-21
14-19
11-23
15-19
21-34
18-19
27-19
14-33
12-26
18-29
20-27
19-29
25-25
23-23
22-18
19-14
23-20
23-32
9-16
176.0Avg total
80.4Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.893.9173.6-14.125%
Season at home (4)75.287.2162.5-12.025%
Season away (4)84.2100.5184.8-16.225%
Last 10 (10)80.495.6176.0-15.220%
Last 5 (5)71.494.8166.2-23.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)75.699.9175.4-24.37%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
52avg 79
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
35avg 79
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
114-81
114
81
+33
no box
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
L
86-102
86
102
-16
no box
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
73-117
73
117
-44
no box
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
no box
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
93-113
93
113
-20
no box
H30/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
A01/11
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
7-25
18-16
22-17
20-23
27-29
16-18
17-20
27-11
24-21
22-19
17-28
26-16
31-24
30-22
27-19
27-28
19-24
19-18
21-32
16-32
19-32
18-30
20-23
19-21
23-15
19-27
14-12
23-23
15-31
32-34
23-25
33-21
15-24
28-18
14-16
21-24
24-35
26-18
22-23
181.0Avg total
87.4Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.295.1186.4-3.950%
Season at home (3)91.394.0185.3-2.767%
Season away (5)91.295.8187.0-4.640%
Last 10 (10)87.493.6181.0-6.240%
Last 5 (5)88.099.8187.8-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)85.694.1179.6-8.518%
vs Similar (9)91.289.2180.4+2.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)95.576.0171.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Sichuan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.2-7.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.2-7.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -1.8-1.8
SichuanGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SichuanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
32-61
32
61
-29
H24/04
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H17/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A20/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A23/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H25/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H27/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
26-59
26
59
-33
A29/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A01/11
CBA
Fujian
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H03/11
CBA
92.4Avg total
40.5Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.650.888.5-13.217%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.951.388.2-14.419%-
Last 30 away (14)38.550.388.8-11.814%-
Last 10 (10)40.551.992.4-11.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.449.884.2-15.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)37.650.888.5-13.217%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#6
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H30/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A01/11
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A03/11
CBA
91.9Avg total
43.3Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.046.690.5-2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.744.987.6-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)45.248.393.5-3.153%-
Last 10 (10)43.348.691.9-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.651.693.2-10.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)42.849.492.2-6.629%-
vs Similar (9)45.945.291.1+0.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.837.582.2+7.2100%-
This opponent (Sichuan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sichuantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sichuan: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.4
51.5%
53.8%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
35.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.914.0
70.4%
74.8%14.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.7
45.8%
53.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
35.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws28.420.6
72.5%
74.8%20.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sichuan
LLLLLLWWLL
Guangzhou
LWLWLLWWLL
#19
League position
#9
-18.7
Net rating
-11.7
90.8
Offensive rating
90.5
109.5
Defensive rating
102.2
51.4%
Effective FG%
47.4%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.43
34.2%
3-point %
33.2%
53.2%
Assist %
60.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 90.5Defence109.5 · 102.2Shooting51.4% · 47.4%3-point %34.2% · 33.2%Ball care15.2% · 14.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Sichuan   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Sichuan wins
8
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Guangzhou v Sichuan106-76
13/12/25Sichuan v Guangzhou66-81
14/03/25Guangzhou v Sichuan87-79
28/12/24Sichuan v Guangzhou99-98
03/02/24Guangzhou v Sichuan125-98
05/01/24Sichuan v Guangzhou82-108
22/03/23Sichuan v Guangzhou90-102
14/10/22Guangzhou v Sichuan106-98
13/01/22Sichuan v Guangzhou71-92
04/01/22Guangzhou v Sichuan103-110
Sichuanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HFujian74-82
01/11/26AShanxi Zhongyu89-95
29/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters64-115
27/10/26HNanjing Tongxi81-91
25/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou49-91
23/10/26ALiaoning93-104
20/10/26AJilin91-88
17/10/26HTianjin97-85
24/04/26HZhejiang Chouzhou81-104
20/04/26AJiangsu Dragons85-101
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ALiaoning93-100
01/11/26AJilin90-79
30/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu93-113
27/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters91-90 OT
25/10/26ABeijing73-117
23/10/26ATianjin86-102
20/10/26ANanjing Tongxi114-81
18/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou90-79
03/05/26AGuangdong80-90
01/05/26HGuangdong64-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sichuan
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game79.875.284.2
Allowed / game93.987.2100.5
Point differential-14.1-12.0-16.2
Avg total173.6162.5184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game91.291.391.2
Allowed / game95.194.095.8
Point differential-3.9-2.7-4.6
Avg total186.4185.3187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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